Stefanos Tsitsipas and Lorenzo Musetti will face off in the quarter of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 6^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 6:30 pm on COURT RAINIER III. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stefanos Tsitsipas who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Stefanos Tsitsipas is the pick to win this match.
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 1.57
Lorenzo Musetti -> 2.4

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Prediction and head to head Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Lorenzo Musetti

This will be the 6^th time that Stefanos Tsitsipas and Lorenzo Musetti square off. The head to head is 5-0 for Tsitsipas (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on clay.

The last time that they played, Tsitsipas won 7-5 7-5 in the 4^th round in Rome back in 2023.

Highlights Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti – Rome 16-May-2023

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Ranked no. 8, Stefanos got to the quarter after beating Unknown Player bye, Jordan Thompson 4-6 6-4 6-2 and Nuno Borges 6-1 6-1.

In the 3^rd round, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Borges (6-1 6-1). During the match, Tsitsipas scored 62 points vs Borges’s 40. Tsitsipas was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Regarding the service games, Tsitsipas struck 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Stefanos Tsitsipas lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Tsitsipas put 57% of his first serves in, winning 72% (23/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Stefanos broke Borges 6 times after converting 86% of his break points (6/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Stefanos has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Tsitsipas has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 69% of his matches (470-213). 2-0 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tsitsipas has an overall 177-52 match record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Dubai where he defeated Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 6-3 6-3.

Stefanos has an aggregate 13-6 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranked no. 16, Musetti got to the quarter after defeating Bu Yunchaokete 4-6 7-5 6-3, Jiri Lehecka 1-6 7-5 6-2 and Matteo Berrettini 6-3 6-3.

In the 3^rd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Berrettini (6-3 6-3). During the match Musetti scored 67 points vs Berrettini’s 51. Musetti was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Musetti was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Lorenzo Musetti was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 73% (27/37) of his 1st serve and 77% (10/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Musetti broke Berrettini 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Lorenzo has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Musetti has a composed 10-4 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Tsitsipas	Musetti
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	5	8
Tot Games	42	76
Pts	148-114	263-227
Total Points	262	490
Winners	55	108
%Winners	37%	41%

Tsitsipas played 2 matches while Musetti competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Stefanos Tsitsipas surrendered 1 set, while Lorenzo Musetti dropped 2 sets. Tsitsipas has played 3 set(s) less than Musetti (5 vs 8). Therefore, Tsitsipas played 34 games less than Musetti. Tsitsipas scored 55 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian scored 108 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Tsitsipas	Musetti
Aces	9	4
Avg per match	4.5	1.3
1st in	72/138	159/216
%1st in	52%	74%
1st pts	55/72	108/159
%1st pts	76%	68%
2nd pts	36/66	37/57
%2nd pts	55%	65%

Tsitsipas recorded 9 aces (4.5 per match). Musetti made 4 aces (1.3 per match). Tsitsipas won 76% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Tsitsipas	Musetti
Won	10	10
Converted	10/16	10/34
% Converted	63%	29%
Conceded	13	8
Saved	10	2
% Saved	77%	25%
Times Broken	3	6

Stefanos broke his opponents 10 times with a 63% conversion rate. Stefanos surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Lorenzo broke his opponents 10 times with a 29% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded.

Tsitsipas
	R2 Thompson	R3 Borges	Total
Score	4-6 6-4 6-2	6-1 6-1
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	28	14	42
pts	86-74	62-40	148-114
Total points	160	102	262
Winners	32	23	55
%Winners	37%	37%	37%
SERVE
Aces	6	3	9
Double Faults	2	2	4
1st in	40/82	32/56	72/138
% 1st in	49%	57%	52%
1st pts	32/40	23/32	55/72
% 1st pts	80%	72%	76%
2nd pts	25/42	11/24	36/66
% 2nd pts	60%	46%	55%
Breaks
Won	4	6	10
Converted	4/9	6/7	10/16
Converted %	44%	86%	63%
Conceded	7	6	13
Saved	5/7	5/6	10
Saved %	71%	83%	77%
Times Broken	2	1	3

Musetti
	R1 Yunchaokete	R2 Lehecka	R3 Berrettini	Total
Score	4-6 7-5 6-3	1-6 7-5 6-2	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	2	8
Tot Games	31	27	18	76
pts	100-91	96-85	67-51	263-227
Total points	191	181	118	490
Winners	49	32	27	108
%Winners	49%	33%	40%	41%
SERVE
Aces	1	3	0	4
Double Faults	1	0	1	2
1st in	69/90	53/76	37/50	159/216
% 1st in	77%	70%	74%	74%
1st pts	49/69	32/53	27/37	108/159
% 1st pts	71%	60%	73%	68%
2nd pts	11/21	16/23	10/13	37/57
% 2nd pts	52%	70%	77%	65%
Breaks
Won	3	4	3	10
Converted	3/6	4/18	3/10	10/34
Converted %	50%	22%	30%	29%
Conceded	2	6	0	8
Saved	0/2	2/6	0/0	2
Saved %	0%	33%	–	17%
Times Broken	2	4	0	6

Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters

• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-3 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Andrey RublevRublev (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Jack DraperDraper (6-3 6-7⁶ 6-4) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-3 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (2-3) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-5) – H2H and prediction