H2H, prediction of Ben Shelton vs Jack Draper in Indian Wells with odds, preview, pick | 13th March 2025

PREVIEW. Indian Wells. Shelton and Draper will square off in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Thursday the 13th of March

Prediction and head to head Ben Shelton vs. Jack Draper

Ben Shelton and Jack Draper will square off in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 5:00 pm on STADIUM 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.9
Ben Shelton -> 1.9

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Ben Shelton vs. Jack Draper

There is no head to head record between Ben Shelton and Jack Draper since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Ben Shelton

Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton

10 - 4win/loss

Hard
9-3
I Hard
1-1
Rank
12
High
12
WWWLWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 10-4 9-3 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 42-26 22-13 8-4 8-5 4-4 0-0
2023 28-26 21-13 4-8 1-2 2-3 0-0
2022 40-11 16-9 0-0 24-2 0-0 0-0
2021 18-7 7-3 5-2 6-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 12 (career-high), Shelton got to the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye, Mariano Navone 6-3 6-2, Karen Khachanov 6-3 7-5 and Brandon Nakashima 7-6(6) 6-1.

In the 4th round, Ben had a good straight sets win against Nakashima (7-66 6-1). During the match, Shelton scored 70 points vs Nakashima’s 53. Ben was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Shelton managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Ben Shelton was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 73% (29/40) of his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Ben broke Nakashima 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.

Shelton has a solid win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 65% of his matches (138-74). 9-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shelton has a composed75-41 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.

Shelton’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal at the Australian Open .

The American has an aggregate 10-4 win-loss record in 2025, 9-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Shelton
Indian Wells
Shelton's Record

Jack Draper

Jack Draper
Jack Draper

10 - 2win/loss

Hard
10-2
I Hard
0-0
Rank
14
High
12
WWWLWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 10-2 10-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 39-22 19-10 5-7 7-3 8-2 0-0
2023 34-15 15-8 3-3 16-4 0-0 0-0
2022 46-19 12-6 2-2 26-7 6-4 0-0
2021 18-16 6-6 7-5 3-2 2-2 0-1

Ranked no. 14, Draper got to the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye, Joao Fonseca 6-4 6-0, Jenson Brooksby 7-5 6-4 and Taylor Fritz 7-5 6-4.

In the 4th round, Draper had a good straight sets win against Fritz (7-5 6-4). During the match Draper scored 61 points vs Fritz’s 53. The Brit was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

About the serving games, Draper fired 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jack Draper lost the serve once. Furthermore, Draper put 61% of his first serves in, winning 91% (32/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Fritz 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jack hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Draper’s best result of the season was reaching the final Doha.

Jack has a composed 10-2 win-loss record in 2025, 10-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2023. See his history.

Draper
Indian Wells
Draper's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

B.Shelton
J.Draper
4h:26
4h:26
Time on court​
4h:14
4h:14
1h:34
1h:34
Last match​
1h:18
1h:18
3
3
Match played
3
3
58
58
Games Played​
60
60
6
6
Set played​​
6
6
201
201
Total points​
200
200
67
67
Avg point​
66.7
66.7
90
90
Winners
84
84
30
30
Avg Winners​
28
28
45%
45%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
19
19
Aces
18
18
6.3
6.3
Avg Aces
6
6
5
5
Double Faults
11
11
1.7
1.7
Avg Double Faults
3.7
3.7
90/123
90/123
1st won total​
84/98
84/98
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
86%
86%
40/71
40/71
2nd won total​
38/75
38/75
56%
56%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
9/21
9/21
BP won
11/17
11/17
3/7
3/7
Avg BP won
3.7/5.7
3.7/5.7
43%
43%
Won
!
65%
65%
9
9
Conceded
10
10
3
3
Avg Conceded
3.3
3.3
2
2
Broken
3
3
!
0.7
0.7
Avg Broken
1
1
7
7
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Shelton Draper
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 6 6
Tot Games 58 60
Pts 201-162 200-157
Total Points 363 357
Winners 90 84
%Winners 45% 42%

Both Shelton and Draper played 3 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Shelton and Draper have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Shelton played 2 games less than Draper. Ben scored 90 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Draper bagged 84 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Shelton Draper
Aces 19 18
Avg per match 6.3 6
1st in 123/194 98/173
%1st in 63% 57%
1st pts 90/123 84/98
%1st pts 73% 86%
2nd pts 40/71 38/75
%2nd pts 56% 51%

Shelton struck 19 aces (6.3 per match). Draper bagged 18 aces (6 per match). Shelton won 73% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Draper won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Shelton Draper
Won 9 11
Converted 9/21 11/17
% Converted 43% 65%
Conceded 9 10
Saved 7 7
% Saved 78% 70%
Times Broken 2 3

The American broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Ben dropped his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Draper broke his opponents 11 times with a 65% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Shelton
R2
Navone
R3
Khachanov
R4
Nakashima
Total
Score 6-3 6-2 6-3 7-5 7-66 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 17 21 20 58
pts 57-45 74-64 70-53 201-162
Total points 102 138 123 363
Winners 28 33 29 90
%Winners 49% 45% 41% 45%
SERVE
Aces 5 8 6 19
Double Faults 1 3 1 5
1st in 35/56 48/77 40/61 123/194
% 1st in 63% 62% 66% 63%
1st pts 28/35 33/48 29/40 90/123
% 1st pts 80% 69% 73% 73%
2nd pts 10/21 16/29 14/21 40/71
% 2nd pts 48% 55% 67% 56%
Breaks
Won 3 3 3 9
Converted 3/6 3/10 3/5 9/21
Converted % 50% 30% 60% 43%
Conceded 0 5 4 9
Saved 0/0 4/5 3/4 7
Saved % 80% 75% 52%
Times Broken 0 1 1 2
Draper
R2
Fonseca
R3
Brooksby
R4
Fritz
Total
Score 6-4 6-0 7-5 6-4 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 16 22 22 60
pts 61-45 78-59 61-53 200-157
Total points 106 137 114 357
Winners 25 27 32 84
%Winners 41% 35% 52% 42%
SERVE
Aces 6 4 8 18
Double Faults 6 3 2 11
1st in 33/60 30/56 35/57 98/173
% 1st in 55% 54% 61% 57%
1st pts 25/33 27/30 32/35 84/98
% 1st pts 76% 90% 91% 86%
2nd pts 12/27 16/26 10/22 38/75
% 2nd pts 44% 62% 45% 51%
Breaks
Won 5 3 3 11
Converted 5/8 3/5 3/4 11/17
Converted % 63% 60% 75% 65%
Conceded 7 2 1 10
Saved 6/7 1/2 0/1 7
Saved % 86% 50% 0% 45%
Times Broken 1 1 1 3

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Shelton
WWWLWLWLWW
Draper
WWWLWWWWLW
2025 2024 2023
10 - 4
10 - 2
9-3
Hard
10-2
1-1
I Hard
0-0

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

  • Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate PavicMatteo Berrettini/Lorenzo SonegoBerrettini/Lorenzo Sonego (7-66 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Christian Harrison/Evan KingHarrison/Evan KingMaximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Fernando Romboli/John-Patrick SmithRomboli/John-Patrick SmithYuki Bhambri/Andre GoranssonBhambri/Andre Goransson (7-65 3-6 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoorHolger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (2-0) – H2H and prediction
  • Francisco CerundoloCerundoloCarlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-1) – H2H and prediction