Marcello Serafini and Bogdan Pavel will play each other in the qualifications of the Hersonissos 2 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 10:00 am on COURT 21. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marcello Serafini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Marcello Serafini is the pick to win this match.
Marcello Serafini -> 1.43
Bogdan Pavel -> 2.66
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Prediction and head to head Marcello Serafini vs. Bogdan Pavel
There is no head to head record between Marcello Serafini and Bogdan Pavel since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Marcello Serafini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-31 | 0-0 | 19-22 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 6-2 |
| 2023 | 33-32 | 0-2 | 30-21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| 2022 | 34-24 | 14-6 | 20-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-21 | 12-6 | 15-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 535,he will start his run in the Hersonissos 2 Challenger after he played his last match in the Hersonissos 2 Challenger where he defeated 6-1 6-2 to Kountourakis in the qualifications on the 9th of March.
Marcello has an overall 3-5 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Talking about his overall career, Marcello has an overall 130-113 record. He has a positive 28-15 record on hard.
Previously in the Hersonissos 2 Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2025. See his history.
Bogdan Pavel
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-25 | 3-2 | 16-21 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-9 | 0-0 | 24-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 14-6 | 0-0 | 14-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 745, the Romanian got to the qualifications after beating Petros Tsitsipas 4-6 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications against Tsitsipas, Pavel recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-2). During the match Pavel scored 92 points vs Tsitsipas’s 78. Pavel was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Pavel struck 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Bogdan Pavel was pretty effective on serve to win 80% (37/46) of his 1st serve and 58% (23/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Romanian broke Tsitsipas 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Bogdan has a compiled 4-3 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Serafini | Pavel |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 27 |
| Pts | 64-40 | 92-78 |
| Total Points | 104 | 170 |
| Winners | 28 | 37 |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% |
Both Serafini and Pavel played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Bogdan Pavel dropped 1 set while Marcello Serafini hasn’t conceded a set so far. Serafini has played 1 set(s) less than Pavel (2 vs 3). Therefore, Serafini played 12 games less than Pavel. Serafini scored 28 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Pavel made 37 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Serafini | Pavel |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 7 |
| 1st in | 36/57 | 46/86 |
| %1st in | 63% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 28/36 | 37/46 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 12/21 | 23/40 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 58% |
Serafini struck 1 ace . Pavel also blasted 7 aces . Serafini won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Pavel won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Serafini | Pavel |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 3/9 |
| % Converted | 57% | 33% |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 |
| Saved | 4 | 1 |
| % Saved | 100% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Marcello broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Italian pretty solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points. Bogdan broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Pavel conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Serafini | ||
| Total | ||
|---|---|---|
| Score | ||
| Tot Set | 0 | |
| Tot Games | 0 | |
| pts | 0-0 | |
| Total points | 0 | |
| Winners | 0 | |
| %Winners | 0% | |
| SERVE | ||
| Aces | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | |
| 1st in | 0/0 | |
| % 1st in | 0% | |
| 1st pts | 0/0 | |
| % 1st pts | % | |
| 2nd pts | 0/0 | |
| % 2nd pts | 0% | |
| Breaks | ||
| Won | 0 | |
| Converted | 0/0 | |
| Converted % | 0% | |
| Conceded | 0 | |
| Saved | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | |
| Pavel | |||
| Q1 Tsitsipas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 92-78 | 92-78 | |
| Total points | 170 | 170 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 46/86 | 46/86 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 37/46 | 37/46 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/40 | 23/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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