Valentin Royer and Guy Den Ouden will play each other in the final of the Kigali 2 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Valentin Royer who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Valentin Royer is the pick to win this match.
Valentin Royer -> 1.39
Guy Den Ouden -> 2.81
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Valentin Royer vs. Guy Den Ouden
This will be the 2nd time that Valentin Royer and Guy Den Ouden face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Royer (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Royer won 4-6 6-1 7-6(4) in the 2nd round in the Kigali 1 Challenger back in February 2025.
Valentin Royer
15 - 5win/loss
151
151
WWWWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-5 | 1-2 | 10-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-30 | 6-5 | 32-13 | 10-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-20 | 24-7 | 22-10 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-25 | 8-4 | 30-15 | 13-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-17 | 1-2 | 13-8 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 151 (career-high), Valentin got to the final after beating Oriol Roca Batalla 6-2 4-6 6-3, Franco Agamenone 7-6(3) 7-6(2), Gabriele Pennaforti 6-3 7-6(5) and Max Houkes 7-6(7) 6-2.
In the semifinal, Valentin had a good straight sets win against Houkes (7-67 6-2). During the match, Royer scored 68 points vs Houkes’s 53. Royer was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Royer struck 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Valentin Royer was pretty efficient on serve to win 80% (32/40) of his 1st serve and 75% (12/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player broke Houkes 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Valentin has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Royer has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (223-121). 9-0 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Royer has a compiled113-50 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Kigali 1 Challenger where he beat Andrej Martin in the final 6-1 6-2.
Royer has an aggregate 15-5 win-loss record in 2025, 9-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kigali 2 Challenger
Royer has never competed in this tournament before.
Guy Den Ouden
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 12-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-24 | 3-7 | 28-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-19 | 35-9 | 24-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 14-12 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-13 | 16-5 | 13-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 317, the Dutch got to the final after defeating Filip Misolic 6-2 6-2, Nicholas David Ionel 7-5 6-1, Calvin Hemery 6-7(3) 6-0 2-0 ret. and Luka Pavlovic 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, Den had a good straight sets win against Pavlovic (6-3 6-4). During the match Den scored 62 points vs Pavlovic’s 39. Guy was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Den recorded 5 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Guy Den Ouden was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 91% (29/32) of his 1st serve and 73% (11/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Guy was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Pavlovic twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Dutch hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Guy’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Antalya.
The Dutch has a composed 13-4 win-loss record in 2025, 12-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Royer | Den |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 96 | 75 |
| Pts | 320-264 | 276-194 |
| Total Points | 584 | 470 |
| Winners | 148 | 107 |
| %Winners | 46% | 39% |
Both Royer and Den played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Valentin Royer conceded 1 set, while Guy Den Ouden surrendered 1 set. Royer has played 1 set(s) less than Den (9 vs 10). However, it’s interesting to notice that Royer played 21 games more than Den. Royer scored 148 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Den made 107 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Royer | Den |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 3.8 |
| 1st in | 183/291 | 138/234 |
| %1st in | 63% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 148/183 | 107/138 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 66/108 | 54/96 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 56% |
Royer scored 21 aces (5.3 per match). Den scored 15 aces (3.8 per match). Royer won 81% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Den won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Royer | Den |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 16 |
| Converted | 8/20 | 16/30 |
| % Converted | 40% | 53% |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 |
| Saved | 7 | 7 |
| % Saved | 70% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Royer broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. The French player surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. The Dutch broke his opponents 16 times with a 53% conversion rate. Guy conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Royer | ||||||
| R1 Roca Batalla |
R2 Agamenone |
1/4 Pennaforti |
1/2 Houkes |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | 7-63 7-62 | 6-3 7-65 | 7-67 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 26 | 22 | 21 | 96 | |
| pts | 94-73 | 76-67 | 82-71 | 68-53 | 320-264 | |
| Total points | 167 | 143 | 153 | 121 | 584 | |
| Winners | 38 | 42 | 36 | 32 | 148 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 55% | 44% | 47% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 50/86 | 49/72 | 44/77 | 40/56 | 183/291 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 68% | 57% | 71% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 38/50 | 42/49 | 36/44 | 32/40 | 148/183 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 86% | 82% | 80% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/36 | 16/23 | 16/33 | 12/16 | 66/108 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 70% | 48% | 75% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 0/1 | 2/7 | 3/6 | 8/20 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 0% | 29% | 50% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Den | ||||||
| R1 Misolic |
R2 David Ionel |
1/4 Hemery |
1/2 Pavlovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 7-5 6-1 | 6-73 6-0 2-0 ret. | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 75 | |
| pts | 74-54 | 69-51 | 71-50 | 62-39 | 276-194 | |
| Total points | 128 | 120 | 121 | 101 | 470 | |
| Winners | 27 | 26 | 25 | 29 | 107 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 38% | 35% | 47% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 36/67 | 31/59 | 39/61 | 32/47 | 138/234 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 53% | 64% | 68% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 27/36 | 26/31 | 25/39 | 29/32 | 107/138 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 84% | 64% | 91% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/31 | 14/28 | 13/22 | 11/15 | 54/96 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 50% | 59% | 73% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/9 | 6/7 | 2/2 | 16/30 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 44% | 86% | 100% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 3/4 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 0% | – | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
LWWWWLWWWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Valentin RoyerRoyer – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
