Aslan Karatsev and Lorenzo Giustino will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Hersonissos 1 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:00 pm on COURT 20. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aslan Karatsev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aslan Karatsev is the pick to win this match.
Aslan Karatsev -> 1.107
Lorenzo Giustino -> 5.8
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Prediction and head to head Aslan Karatsev vs. Lorenzo Giustino
This will be the 2nd time that Aslan Karatsev and Lorenzo Giustino square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Karatsev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Karatsev won 7-6(3) 6-3 in the 2nd round in the Sopot Challenger back in 2019.
Aslan Karatsev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-5 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 12-18 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-22 | 13-10 | 14-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-31 | 8-9 | 5-9 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 23-9 | 9-6 | 4-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 207, Karatsev reached the 2nd round after beating Unknown Player bye, Petros Tsitsipas 6-2 2-1 ret. and Dino Prizmic 6-4 7-6(3).
In the 1st round, Karatsev had a good straight sets win against Prizmic (6-4 7-63). During the match, Karatsev scored 86 points vs Prizmic’s 76. Karatsev was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Karatsev blasted 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Aslan Karatsev lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Karatsev put 68% of his first serves in, winning 69% (36/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. Karatsev broke Prizmic 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Karatsev has positive record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (284-198). 9-4 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Karatsev has a composed 139-73 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Nonthaburi 1 Challenger where he beat Gregoire Barrere in the final 7-6(5) 7-5.
Karatsev has an aggregate 9-4 win-loss record in 2025, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Hersonissos 1 Challenger
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Lorenzo Giustino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-33 | 7-5 | 47-23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 14-16 | 10-19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-37 | 3-5 | 19-26 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-39 | 3-8 | 14-26 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 269, the Italian got to the 2nd round after defeating Alexandr Binda 6-3 7-5.
In the 1st round, Giustino had a good straight sets win against Binda (6-3 7-5). During the match Giustino scored 86 points vs Binda’s 70. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Giustino made 4 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Giustino was pretty efficient on serve to win 71% (30/42) of his 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Giustino broke Binda 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).
Giustino has an overall 3-5 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Karatsev | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 21 |
| Pts | 128-105 | 86-70 |
| Total Points | 233 | 156 |
| Winners | 56 | 30 |
| %Winners | 44% | 35% |
Karatsev played 2 matches while Giustino competed in 1 match. Karatsev started his run from the qualifications while Giustino had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Karatsev has played 3 sets more than Giustino (5 vs 2). Therefore, Karatsev played 13 games more than Giustino. Karatsev scored 56 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Giustino managed to score 30 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Karatsev | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 77/114 | 42/74 |
| %1st in | 68% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 56/77 | 30/42 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 17/37 | 17/32 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 53% |
Karatsev blasted 6 aces (3 per match). Giustino recorded 4 aces . Karatsev won 73% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Giustino won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Karatsev | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 4 |
| Converted | 6/14 | 4/16 |
| % Converted | 43% | 25% |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Saved | 4 | 4 |
| % Saved | 67% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Aslan broke his opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Aslan lost his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Lorenzo broke his opponent 4 times with a 25% conversion rate. Giustino conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Karatsev | ||||
| Q3 Tsitsipas |
R1 Prizmic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 2-1 ret. | 6-4 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 11 | 23 | 34 | |
| pts | 42-29 | 86-76 | 128-105 | |
| Total points | 71 | 162 | 233 | |
| Winners | 20 | 36 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 42% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 25/38 | 52/76 | 77/114 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 20/25 | 36/52 | 56/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 69% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/13 | 12/24 | 17/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 50% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/10 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 30% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Giustino | ||||
| R1 Binda |
Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | |||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | ||
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | ||
| pts | 86-70 | 86-70 | ||
| Total points | 156 | 156 | ||
| Winners | 30 | 30 | ||
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | ||
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | ||
| Double Faults | 9 | 9 | ||
| 1st in | 42/74 | 42/74 | ||
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | ||
| 1st pts | 30/42 | 30/42 | ||
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | ||
| 2nd pts | 17/32 | 17/32 | ||
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | ||
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | ||
| Converted | 4/16 | 4/16 | ||
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | ||
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | ||
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | ||
| Saved % | 67% | 34% | ||
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | ||
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLWLLW
LLWLWLLWLL Tennis Scores in Hersonissos 1 Challenger
- Henry SearleSearle – Milos KarolKarol (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – Alexandr BindaBinda (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Khumoun SultanovSultanov – Marcello SerafiniSerafini (7-66 7-5) – See score progression
- Dimitar Kuzmanov/Timofey SkatovKuzmanov/Timofey Skatov – Alexander Merino/Christoph NegrituMerino/Christoph Negritu (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Dino PrizmicPrizmic (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Ryan PenistonPeniston – Adria Soriano BarreraSoriano Barrera (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Christoph NegrituNegritu – Matthew DellavedovaDellavedova (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Dennis NovakNovak – Pavlos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Stefanos SakellaridisSakellaridis – Juan Carlos Prado AngeloCarlos Prado Angelo (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Timofey SkatovSkatov – Jiri VeselyVesely (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Zsombor PirosPiros – Jelle SelsSels (6-4 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Javier Barranco CosanoBarranco Cosano – Martin KlizanKlizan (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Ricardas BerankisBerankis – Tung-Lin WuWu (7-63 7-5) – See score progression
- Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov – Arthur GeaGea (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Edas ButvilasButvilas – Keegan SmithSmith (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Stuart ParkerParker – Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo (7-5 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Chris RodeschRodesch – Ergi KirkinKirkin (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov – Richard BerankisBerankis (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ryan PenistonPeniston – Khumoun SultanovSultanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Chris RodeschRodesch – Stuart ParkerParker (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Timofey SkatovSkatov – Dennis NovakNovak (1-0) – H2H and prediction
