Luka Pavlovic and Adrian Oetzbach will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Kigali 2 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 10:00 am on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luka Pavlovic who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luka Pavlovic is the pick to win this match.
Luka Pavlovic -> 1.193
Adrian Oetzbach -> 4.25
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Prediction and head to head Luka Pavlovic vs. Adrian Oetzbach
There is no head to head record between Luka Pavlovic and Adrian Oetzbach since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Luka Pavlovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 44-18 | 0-0 | 42-16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-12 | 0-1 | 38-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-14 | 1-1 | 15-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 364, Pavlovic got to the qualifications after defeating Julien De Cuyper 6-1 6-3.
In the qualifications, Luka had a good straight sets win against De Cuyper (6-1 6-3). During the match, Pavlovic scored 57 points vs De Cuyper’s 29. Luka was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pavlovic blasted 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Luka Pavlovic was pretty effective on serve to win 92% (22/24) of his 1st serve and 83% (10/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The French player broke De Cuyper 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Pavlovic has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (187-117). 5-2 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Pavlovic has an overall 169-93 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
The French player has a compiled 5-2 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kigali 2 Challenger
Luka has never competed in this tournament before.
Adrian Oetzbach
8 - 6win/loss
654
502
LWLWLWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-7 | 4-2 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 2024 | 35-37 | 7-8 | 25-23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 2023 | 57-40 | 11-13 | 38-20 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 38-26 | 16-9 | 19-13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| 2021 | 29-16 | 9-4 | 20-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 663, Adrian got to the qualifications after beating Neil Oberleitner 7-5 3-6 7-6(5).
In the qualifications, Oetzbach defeated Oberleitner (7-5 3-6 7-65).During the match Oetzbach scored less points (1) than Oberleitner. In fact, the world no. 364 won 111 points vs Oberleitner’s. That means that Oetzbach was more focused during the important points. The German was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.
About the serving games, Oetzbach managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Adrian Oetzbach lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Oetzbach put 68% of his first serves in, winning 67% (45/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Oberleitner 4 times after converting 27% of his break points (4/15).
Adrian has an aggregate 8-6 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pavlovic | Oetzbach |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 34 |
| Pts | 57-29 | 111-112 |
| Total Points | 86 | 223 |
| Winners | 22 | 45 |
| %Winners | 39% | 41% |
Both Pavlovic and Oetzbach played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Adrian Oetzbach surrendered 1 set while Luka Pavlovic hasn’t conceded a set so far. Pavlovic has played 1 set(s) less than Oetzbach (2 vs 3). Therefore, Pavlovic played 18 games less than Oetzbach. Pavlovic scored 22 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Oetzbach made 45 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pavlovic | Oetzbach |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 9 |
| 1st in | 24/36 | 67/99 |
| %1st in | 67% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 22/24 | 45/67 |
| %1st pts | 92% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 10/12 | 17/32 |
| %2nd pts | 83% | 53% |
Pavlovic recorded 8 aces . Oetzbach scored 9 aces . Pavlovic won 92% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 83% of the points. On the other side, Oetzbach won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pavlovic | Oetzbach |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/15 |
| % Converted | 50% | 27% |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
The French player broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The French player quite strong on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. Adrian broke his opponent 4 times with a 27% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Pavlovic | |||
| Q1 De |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 57-29 | 57-29 | |
| Total points | 86 | 86 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 24/36 | 24/36 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 22/24 | 22/24 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 92% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/12 | 10/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 83% | 83% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Oetzbach | |||
| Q1 Oberleitner |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 3-6 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
| pts | 111-112 | 111-112 | |
| Total points | 223 | 223 | |
| Winners | 45 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 67/99 | 67/99 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 45/67 | 45/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/32 | 17/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/15 | 4/15 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWLWWW
LWLWLWLWWL 
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