Lukas Neumayer and Carlos Sanchez Jover will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Kigali 1 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 10:00 am on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lukas Neumayer who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lukas Neumayer is the pick to win this match.
Lukas Neumayer -> 1.68
Carlos Sanchez Jover -> 2.08
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Prediction and head to head Lukas Neumayer vs. Carlos Sanchez Jover
This will be the 2nd time that Lukas Neumayer and Carlos Sanchez Jover play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Neumayer (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Neumayer won 7-6(6) 6-3 in the 1st round in the Buenos Aires Challenger back in 2024.
Lukas Neumayer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-31 | 3-6 | 33-21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-32 | 2-2 | 38-29 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-32 | 2-1 | 38-28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 53-26 | 12-4 | 41-21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-25 | 8-10 | 16-14 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 211, Lukas got to the 2nd round after beating Gabriele Pennaforti 4-6 6-2 6-4.
In the 1st round against Pennaforti, Neumayer recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-4). During the match, Neumayer scored 96 points vs Pennaforti’s 86. Neumayer was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Neumayer struck 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Lukas Neumayer lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Neumayer put 61% of his first serves in, winning 70% (37/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (19/34) on the 2nd serve. The Austrian broke Pennaforti 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Neumayer has a winning win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 57% of his matches (164-123). 2-0 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Neumayer has a compiled135-94 record in the last 6 years on clay.
Lukas has a composed 5-5 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kigali 1 Challenger
The Austrian has never competed in this tournament before.
Carlos Sanchez Jover
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 49-26 | 0-0 | 49-25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 49-27 | 1-1 | 48-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-31 | 7-4 | 44-27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-29 | 4-9 | 30-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 52-28 | 4-3 | 48-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 263 (career-high), Sanchez reached the 2nd round after beating Corentin Denolly 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Denolly (6-3 6-3). During the match Sanchez scored 67 points vs Denolly’s 46. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Sanchez recorded 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Carlos Sanchez Jover was quite efficient on serve to win 74% (28/38) of his 1st serve and 73% (8/11) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Spaniard broke Denolly 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
The Spaniard’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Antalya and M15 Valencia.
Carlos has a compiled 16-1 win-loss record in 2025, 16-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Neumayer | Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 18 |
| Pts | 96-86 | 67-46 |
| Total Points | 182 | 113 |
| Winners | 37 | 28 |
| %Winners | 39% | 42% |
Both Neumayer and Sanchez played 1 match. At the moment, Lukas Neumayer dropped 1 set while Carlos Sanchez Jover hasn’t lost a set so far. Neumayer has played 1 set more than Sanchez (3 vs 2). Therefore, Neumayer played 10 games more than Sanchez. Neumayer scored 37 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Sanchez managed to score 28 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Neumayer | Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3 |
| 1st in | 53/87 | 38/49 |
| %1st in | 61% | 78% |
| 1st pts | 37/53 | 28/38 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 8/11 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 73% |
Neumayer bagged 4 aces . Sanchez struck 3 aces . Neumayer won 70% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Sanchez won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 73% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Neumayer | Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/10 |
| % Converted | 44% | 40% |
| Conceded | 7 | 4 |
| Saved | 5 | 3 |
| % Saved | 71% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
The Austrian broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Austrian lost his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Sanchez conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Neumayer | |||
| R1 Pennaforti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 96-86 | 96-86 | |
| Total points | 182 | 182 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 53/87 | 53/87 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 37/53 | 37/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 19/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Sanchez | |||
| R1 Denolly |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 67-46 | 67-46 | |
| Total points | 113 | 113 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 38/49 | 38/49 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 28/38 | 28/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/11 | 8/11 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 73% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLLWLL
LWWWLWWWWW Tennis Scores in Kigali 1 Challenger
- Maximilian NeuchristNeuchrist – Calvin HemeryHemery (6-4 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Neil OberleitnerOberleitner – Manuel GuinardGuinard (7-5 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Eliakim CoulibalyCoulibaly – Daniel MichalskiMichalski (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Guy Den OudenDen Ouden – Clement TaburTabur (7-63 6-4) – See score progression
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Mathys ErhardErhard – Maximus JonesJones (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrej MartinMartin – Jesper De JongDe Jong (7-61 6-3) – See score progression
- Joel SchwaerzlerSchwaerzler – Zdenek KolarKolar (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex Marti PujolrasMarti Pujolras – Dominik KellovskyKellovsky (7-611 6-2) – See score progression
- Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu – Nicholas David IonelDavid Ionel (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Max HoukesHoukes – Maxime JanvierJanvier (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Lukas NeumayerNeumayer – Gabriele PennafortiPennaforti (4-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Valentin RoyerRoyer – Maxime ChazalChazal (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos Sanchez JoverSanchez Jover – Corentin DenollyDenolly (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos TabernerTaberner – Andrea PicchionePicchione (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrej MartinMartin – Jesper De JongDe Jong (7-6(1) 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex Marti PujolrasMarti Pujolras – Dominik KellovskyKellovsky (7-6(11) 6-2) – See score progression
- Mathys ErhardErhard – Maximus JonesJones (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Maximilian NeuchristNeuchrist – Calvin HemeryHemery (6-4 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Joel SchwaerzlerSchwaerzler – Zdenek KolarKolar (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Eliakim CoulibalyCoulibaly – Daniel MichalskiMichalski (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu – Nicholas David IonelDavid Ionel (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Neil OberleitnerOberleitner – Manuel GuinardGuinard (7-5 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Guy Den OudenDen Ouden – Clement TaburTabur (7-6(3) 6-4) – See score progression
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrej MartinMartin – Alex Marti PujolrasMarti Pujolras (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maximilian NeuchristNeuchrist – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Carlos TabernerTaberner (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mathys ErhardErhard – Luka PavlovicPavlovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu – Neil OberleitnerOberleitner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Max HoukesHoukes – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
