Felix Auger-Aliassime and Aleksandar Kovacevic will face off in the final of the Open Occitanie for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on COURT PATRICE DOMINGUEZ. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Felix Auger-Aliassime who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Felix Auger-Aliassime is the pick to win this match.
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 1.36
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 3.14
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic
This will be the 2nd time that Felix Auger-Aliassime and Aleksandar Kovacevic clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Auger-Aliassime (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Auger-Aliassime won 6-3 6-1 in the 1st round in Cincinnati back in 2024.
Felix Auger-Aliassime
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 50-25 | 24-10 | 3-6 | 17-5 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-25 | 6-10 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 13-13 | 1-3 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 60-27 | 14-9 | 11-7 | 31-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-24 | 19-10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, the Canadian reached the final after beating Unknown Player bye, Arthur Cazaux 6-4 7-6(5), Bu Yunchaokete 6-3 6-4 and Jesper De Jong 6-4 7-6(4).
In the semifinal, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against De Jong (6-4 7-64). During the match, Auger-Aliassime scored 82 points vs De Jong’s 74. Auger-Aliassime was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Auger-Aliassime fired 12 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Felix Auger-Aliassime was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (31/42) of his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Auger-Aliassime broke De Jong twice after converting 15% of his break points (2/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Auger-Aliassime hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Auger-Aliassime has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (337-202). 3-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Auger-Aliassime has a compiled 86-40 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Adelaide where he overcame Sebastian Korda in the final 6-3 3-6 6-1.
The Canadian has an overall 9-2 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montpellier
Aleksandar Kovacevic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-33 | 13-14 | 4-7 | 16-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-35 | 20-17 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-27 | 34-15 | 0-5 | 7-2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-31 | 22-18 | 4-4 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-17 | 11-10 | 2-3 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 102, Kovacevic got to the final after defeating Robin Bertrand 7-6(4) 6-4, Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-3 7-6(4), David Goffin 6-2 3-6 6-4, Mattia Bellucci 7-5 7-6(5), Alexander Bublik 6-3 6-2 and Andrey Rublev 7-5 6-4.
In the semifinal, The American had a good straight sets win against Rublev (7-5 6-4). During the match Kovacevic scored 69 points vs Rublev’s 63. The American was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Kovacevic made 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Aleksandar Kovacevic lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kovacevic put 53% of his first serves in, winning 80% (33/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (18/36) on the 2nd serve. Aleksandar broke Rublev 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kovacevic started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Oeiras 2 Challenger where he defeated Zsombor Piros in the final 6-4 7-6(4).
Aleksandar has a compiled 13-3 win-loss record in 2025, 12-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montpellier
Aleksandar has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Auger-Aliassime | Kovacevic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 65 | 136 |
| Pts | 212-175 | 454-399 |
| Total Points | 387 | 853 |
| Winners | 97 | 212 |
| %Winners | 46% | 47% |
Auger-Aliassime played 3 matches while Kovacevic competed in 6 matches. Kovacevic started his run from the qualifications while Auger-Aliassime had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Aleksandar Kovacevic lost 1 set while Felix Auger-Aliassime hasn’t conceded a set so far. Auger-Aliassime has played 7 set(s) less than Kovacevic (6 vs 13). Therefore, Auger-Aliassime played 71 games less than Kovacevic. Felix scored 97 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The American recorded 212 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Auger-Aliassime | Kovacevic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 34 | 51 |
| Avg per match | 11.3 | 8.5 |
| 1st in | 120/176 | 251/423 |
| %1st in | 68% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 97/120 | 212/251 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 34/56 | 89/172 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 52% |
Auger-Aliassime made 34 aces (11.3 per match). Kovacevic struck 51 aces (8.5 per match). Auger-Aliassime won 81% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Kovacevic won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Auger-Aliassime | Kovacevic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 14 |
| Converted | 6/24 | 14/36 |
| % Converted | 25% | 39% |
| Conceded | 4 | 31 |
| Saved | 2 | 26 |
| % Saved | 50% | 84% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
The Canadian broke his opponents 6 times with a 25% conversion rate. The Canadian lost his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Kovacevic broke his opponents 14 times with a 39% conversion rate. Kovacevic conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 84% of the break points that he conceded.
| Auger-Aliassime | |||||
| R2 Cazaux |
1/4 Yunchaokete |
1/2 De |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-65 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 19 | 23 | 65 | |
| pts | 71-56 | 59-45 | 82-74 | 212-175 | |
| Total points | 127 | 104 | 156 | 387 | |
| Winners | 36 | 30 | 31 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 51% | 38% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 43/55 | 35/51 | 42/70 | 120/176 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 69% | 60% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 36/43 | 30/35 | 31/42 | 97/120 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 86% | 74% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 11/16 | 16/28 | 34/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 69% | 57% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/5 | 2/13 | 6/24 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 40% | 15% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | 67% | 22% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Kovacevic | ||||||||
| Q1 Bertrand |
Q3 Carreno-Busta |
R1 Goffin |
R2 Bellucci |
1/4 Bublik |
1/2 Rublev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-4 | 6-3 7-64 | 6-2 3-6 6-4 | 7-5 7-65 | 6-3 6-2 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 22 | 27 | 25 | 17 | 22 | 136 | |
| pts | 84-72 | 78-63 | 79-79 | 74-68 | 70-54 | 69-63 | 454-399 | |
| Total points | 156 | 141 | 158 | 142 | 124 | 132 | 853 | |
| Winners | 31 | 40 | 38 | 39 | 31 | 33 | 212 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 51% | 48% | 53% | 44% | 48% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 51 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 38/69 | 45/64 | 46/83 | 44/71 | 37/59 | 41/77 | 251/423 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 70% | 55% | 62% | 63% | 53% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 31/38 | 40/45 | 38/46 | 39/44 | 31/37 | 33/41 | 212/251 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 89% | 83% | 89% | 84% | 80% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 10/19 | 16/37 | 17/27 | 11/22 | 18/36 | 89/172 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 53% | 43% | 63% | 50% | 50% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 1/7 | 3/6 | 1/1 | 3/9 | 3/5 | 14/36 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 14% | 50% | 100% | 33% | 60% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 31 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 2/2 | 4/6 | 1/1 | 8/8 | 4/5 | 26 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 80% | 175% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLWWWWW
LLLWLWWLWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-1) – H2H and prediction
