H2H, prediction of Varvara Lepchenko vs Heather Watson at the Australian Open with odds, preview, pick | 8th January 2025

PREVIEW. Melbourne. Lepchenko and Watson will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Australian Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Wednesday the 8th of January

By
Mark Hall
-
Prediction and head to head Varvara Lepchenko vs. Heather Watson

Varvara Lepchenko and Heather Watson will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Australian Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 10:00 am on Kia Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Heather Watson who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Heather Watson is the pick to win this match.
Heather Watson -> 1.57
Varvara Lepchenko -> 2.34

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

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Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Varvara Lepchenko vs. Heather Watson

This will be the 4th time that Varvara Lepchenko and Heather Watson clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Watson (see full H2H stats), but Lepchenko has a winning record of 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Watson won 7-6(5) 6-2 in the 1st round in Eastbourne back in 2015.

Varvara Lepchenko

Varvara Lepchenko
Varvara Lepchenko

1 - 0win/loss

Hard
1-0
I Hard
0-0
Rank
128
High
19
W
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 55-37 22-15 26-17 6-3 1-2 0-0
2023 33-20 25-14 6-3 2-2 0-0 0-1
2022 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 24-12 11-5 11-5 0-0 2-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 128, Lepchenko reached the qualifications after defeating Hanna Chang 6-1 6-3.

In the qualifications, Lepchenko had a good straight sets win against Chang (6-1 6-3). During the match, Lepchenko scored 66 points vs Chang’s 43. The American was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Lepchenko fired 3 aces and she was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Varvara Lepchenko was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (30/42) of her 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Varvara broke Chang 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).

Lepchenko has winning record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (242-184). 1-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Lepchenko has a compiled 133-100 match record in the last years on hard.

Varvara has an aggregate 1-0 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Lepchenko
Australian Open
Lepchenko's Record

Heather Watson

Heather Watson
Heather Watson

1 - 1win/loss

Hard
1-1
I Hard
0-0
Rank
166
High
38
WL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 26-20 16-11 1-4 8-2 1-3 0-0
2023 32-25 18-13 2-4 6-3 6-5 0-0
2022 29-26 14-13 4-6 6-3 5-4 0-0
2021 11-21 6-13 0-3 1-1 4-4 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 166, Watson reached the qualifications after beating Lola Radivojevic 7-5 6-7(14) 6-2.

In the qualifications, Watson defeated Radivojevic (7-5 6-714 6-2). During the match Watson scored 122 points vs Radivojevic’s 104. Watson was pretty aggressive to blast 62 winners.

About the serving games, Watson made 11 aces and she was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Heather Watson lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Watson put 75% of her first serves in, winning 75% (62/83) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Radivojevic 5 times after converting 33% of her break points (5/15).

Watson has an overall 1-1 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2013. See her history.

Watson
Australian Open
Watson's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

V.Lepchenko
H.Watson
1h:19
1h:19
Time on court​
!
2h:36
2h:36
1h:19
1h:19
Last match​
!
2h:36
2h:36
1
1
Match played
1
1
16
16
Games Played​
33
33
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
66
66
Total points​
122
122
66
66
Avg point​
122
122
30
30
Winners
62
62
30
30
Avg Winners​
62
62
45%
45%
Ratio winners
51%
51%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
11
11
3
3
Avg Aces
!
11
11
0
0
Double Faults
0
0
0
0
Avg Double Faults
0
0
30/42
30/42
1st won total​
62/83
62/83
!
71%
71%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
11/19
11/19
2nd won total​
13/28
13/28
58%
58%
2nd won %
46%
46%
-- Break Points --
4/5
4/5
BP won
5/15
5/15
4/5
4/5
Avg BP won
5/15
5/15
!
80%
80%
Won
33%
33%
8
8
Conceded
6
6
8
8
Avg Conceded
6
6
0
0
Broken
2
2
!
0
0
Avg Broken
2
2
8
8
Saved
4
4
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Lepchenko Watson
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 16 33
Pts 66-43 122-104
Total Points 109 226
Winners 30 62
%Winners 45% 51%

Both Lepchenko and Watson played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Heather Watson surrendered 1 set while Varvara Lepchenko hasn’t conceded a set so far. Lepchenko has played 1 set(s) less than Watson (2 vs 3). Therefore, Lepchenko played 17 games less than Watson. Lepchenko scored 30 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit recorded 62 winners (51%).

Serve Performance

Serve Lepchenko Watson
Aces 3 11
Avg per match 3 11
1st in 42/61 83/111
%1st in 69% 75%
1st pts 30/42 62/83
%1st pts 71% 75%
2nd pts 11/19 13/28
%2nd pts 58% 46%

Lepchenko blasted 3 aces . Watson bagged 11 aces . Lepchenko won 71% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Watson won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Lepchenko Watson
Won 4 5
Converted 4/5 5/15
% Converted 80% 33%
Conceded 8 6
Saved 8 4
% Saved 100% 67%
Times Broken 0 2

The American broke her opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Varvara was rock solid on her serve as she has never lost a single service game after saving 8 break points. Watson broke her opponent 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. Watson conceded her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Lepchenko
Q1
Chang		 Total
Score 6-1 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 66-43 66-43
Total points 109 109
Winners 30 30
%Winners 45% 45%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 42/61 42/61
% 1st in 69% 69%
1st pts 30/42 30/42
% 1st pts 71% 71%
2nd pts 11/19 11/19
% 2nd pts 58% 58%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/5 4/5
Converted % 80% 80%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 8/8 8
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Watson
Q1
Radivojevic		 Total
Score 7-5 6-714 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 33 33
pts 122-104 122-104
Total points 226 226
Winners 62 62
%Winners 51% 51%
SERVE
Aces 11 11
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 83/111 83/111
% 1st in 75% 75%
1st pts 62/83 62/83
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 13/28 13/28
% 2nd pts 46% 46%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/15 5/15
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 4/6 4
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 2 2

Head 2 Head

Varvara Lepchenko
  • 0Slam
  • 0Main
  • 14ITF
  • 0Minor
Heather Watson
  • 0Slam
  • 4Main
  • 7ITF
  • 1Minor

Varvara
Lepchenko

1:2

Heather
Watson

Rank

128

High

19

1h:19Played

1Hard0

0Grass2

Rank

166

High

38

2h:36Played
Win Loss
Lepchenko
W
Watson
WL
2025 2024 2023
1 - 0
1 - 1
1-0
Hard
1-1

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

Lepchenko
Varvara Lepchenko
More Stats
Click here
Watson
Heather Watson