Li Tu and Shintaro Mochizuki will fight against each other in the quarter of the Yokkaichi Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on SUB-CENTRE. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Li Tu who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Li Tu is the pick to win this match.
Li Tu -> 1.666
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 2.11
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Prediction and head to head Li Tu vs. Shintaro Mochizuki
This will be the 3rd time that Li Tu and Shintaro Mochizuki square off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Tu won 6-1 3-6 6-3 in the 1st round in the Kobe Challenger back in November 2024.
Li Tu
43 - 27win/loss
172
172
WWLWWWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-27 | 37-20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-32 | 29-19 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-25 | 34-16 | 15-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-7 | 28-4 | 0-0 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 172 (career-high), the Australian reached the quarter after beating Yua Taka 6-2 6-3 and Elias Ymer 6-4 3-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Li defeated Ymer (6-4 3-6 6-4). During the match, Tu scored 96 points vs Ymer’s 89. Tu was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Tu fired 3 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Li Tu lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Tu put 60% of his first serves in, winning 83% (38/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 32% (10/31) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Ymer 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Li has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Tu has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 65% of his matches (172-92). 37-20 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tu has an aggregate128-59 match record in the last 5 years on hard.
The Australian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Traralgon,the Lexington Challenger and the Yokohama Challenger.
Tu has a composed 43-27 win-loss record in 2024, 37-20 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Yokkaichi Challenger
Shintaro Mochizuki
27 - 32win/loss
248
129
WLWLLWWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-32 | 18-21 | 7-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 14-12 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 248, the Japanese got to the quarter after beating James McCabe 7-5 6-4 and Yoshihito Nishioka w/o.
In the 2nd round, Mochizuki defeated Nishioka (w/o). During the match Mochizuki and Nishioka scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 172 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Shintaro was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
About the serving games, Mochizuki couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Shintaro Mochizuki conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Mochizuki has a composed 27-32 win-loss record in 2024, 18-21 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Yokkaichi Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tu | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 46 | 22 |
| Pts | 159-132 | 84-66 |
| Total Points | 291 | 150 |
| Winners | 55 | 29 |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% |
Tu played 2 matches while Mochizuki competed in 1 match. At the moment, Li Tu dropped 1 set while Shintaro Mochizuki hasn’t dropped a set so far. Tu has played 3 sets more than Mochizuki (5 vs 2). Therefore, Tu played 24 games more than Mochizuki. Li scored 55 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Shintaro made 29 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tu | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 1 |
| 1st in | 69/123 | 42/70 |
| %1st in | 56% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 55/69 | 29/42 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 27/54 | 14/28 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 50% |
Tu managed to score 8 aces (4 per match). Mochizuki recorded 1 ace . Tu won 80% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Mochizuki won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tu | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 5 |
| Converted | 9/24 | 5/6 |
| % Converted | 38% | 83% |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 |
| Saved | 4 | 6 |
| % Saved | 44% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 |
Tu broke his opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. Li dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tu | ||||
| R1 Taka |
R2 Ymer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 29 | 46 | |
| pts | 63-43 | 96-89 | 159-132 | |
| Total points | 106 | 185 | 291 | |
| Winners | 17 | 38 | 55 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 40% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 8 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 23/46 | 46/77 | 69/123 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 60% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 17/23 | 38/46 | 55/69 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 83% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/23 | 10/31 | 27/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 74% | 32% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 5/12 | 9/24 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 42% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 8 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 4/8 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Mochizuki | ||||
| R1 McCabe |
R2 Nishioka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | – | 22 | |
| pts | 84-66 | – | 84-66 | |
| Total points | 150 | – | 150 | |
| Winners | 29 | – | 29 | |
| %Winners | 35% | – | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | – | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | – | 3 | |
| 1st in | 42/70 | – | 42/70 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | – | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 29/42 | – | 29/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | – | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/28 | – | 14/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | – | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | – | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | – | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | – | 83% | |
| Conceded | 9 | – | 9 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | – | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | – | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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