Hiroki Moriya and Alafia Ayeni will square off in the qualifications of the Yokkaichi Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 10:00 am on SUB-CENTRE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hiroki Moriya who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hiroki Moriya is the pick to win this match.
Hiroki Moriya -> 1.63
Alafia Ayeni -> 2.17
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Prediction and head to head Hiroki Moriya vs. Alafia Ayeni
There is no head to head record between Hiroki Moriya and Alafia Ayeni since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Hiroki Moriya
37 - 31win/loss
380
143
WWLWWLWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38-31 | 36-27 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-28 | 31-27 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-30 | 18-19 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| 2021 | 22-28 | 13-17 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 5-5 | 1-2 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 379, the Japanese got to the qualifications after beating Alexander Merino 6-4 6-1.
In the qualifications, Hiroki had a good straight sets win against Merino (6-4 6-1). During the match, Moriya scored 69 points vs Merino’s 48. The Japanese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Moriya wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Hiroki Moriya was very effective on serve to win 77% (24/31) of his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Moriya broke Merino 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Moriya has a losing match record in the last 10 years having won only 48% of his matches (271-293). 35-27 on hard in 2024. . Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Moriya has a compiled 214-202 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Hiroki’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in M25 Traralgon,M25 Takasaki and M25 Cairns.
The Japanese has an aggregate 37-31 win-loss record in 2024, 35-27 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Yokkaichi Challenger
Alafia Ayeni
31 - 31win/loss
480
395
LWLLWWLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-32 | 25-22 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-22 | 17-13 | 1-3 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-19 | 22-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-20 | 12-10 | 3-2 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2020 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
Ranked no. 471, Alafia reached the qualifications after beating Thanapet Chanta 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications, The American had a good straight sets win against Chanta (6-3 6-4). During the match Ayeni scored 68 points vs Chanta’s 59. Ayeni was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Ayeni managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Alafia Ayeni lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Ayeni put 68% of his first serves in, winning 71% (36/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (10/24) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Chanta 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
The American’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 San Diego and M25 Astana.
The American has a compiled 31-31 win-loss record in 2024, 25-21 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Yokkaichi Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Moriya | Ayeni |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 |
| Pts | 69-48 | 68-59 |
| Total Points | 117 | 127 |
| Winners | 24 | 36 |
| %Winners | 35% | 53% |
Both Moriya and Ayeni played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Moriya and Ayeni have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Moriya played 2 games less than Ayeni. Moriya scored 24 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Ayeni blasted 36 winners (53%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Moriya | Ayeni |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 4 |
| 1st in | 31/59 | 51/75 |
| %1st in | 53% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 36/51 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 10/24 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 42% |
Moriya didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Ayeni fired 4 aces . Moriya won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Ayeni won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Moriya | Ayeni |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/10 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 50% | 60% |
| Conceded | 8 | 7 |
| Saved | 7 | 6 |
| % Saved | 88% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Hiroki broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Hiroki lost his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Ayeni conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Moriya | |||
| Q1 Merino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 69-48 | 69-48 | |
| Total points | 117 | 117 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 31/59 | 31/59 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 24/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 15/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Ayeni | |||
| Q1 Chanta |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 68-59 | 68-59 | |
| Total points | 127 | 127 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 53% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 51/75 | 51/75 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 36/51 | 36/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/24 | 10/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWLWLWL
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