August Holmgren and Francesco Maestrelli will play each other in the semifinal of the Rovereto Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is August Holmgren who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, August Holmgren is the pick to win this match.
August Holmgren -> 1.533
Francesco Maestrelli -> 2.375
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Prediction and head to head August Holmgren vs. Francesco Maestrelli
There is no head to head record between August Holmgren and Francesco Maestrelli since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
August Holmgren
37 - 25win/loss
200
163
LWWWLLWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-25 | 24-12 | 6-6 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 33-14 | 9-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-12 | 18-4 | 10-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-8 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 197, August got to the semifinal after beating Jules Marie 6-1 6-2, Federico Arnaboldi 6-3 6-1 and Alexey Vatutin 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter, Holmgren had a good straight sets win against Vatutin (6-4 6-4). During the match, Holmgren scored 56 points vs Vatutin’s 49. The Dane was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Holmgren made 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. August Holmgren lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Holmgren put 70% of his first serves in, winning 81% (30/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 31% (5/16) on the 2nd serve. Holmgren broke Vatutin 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
August hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 59% of the points he played.
Holmgren has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 66% of his matches (172-90). 7-6 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Holmgren has a composed15-15 win-loss record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Pozoblanco Challenger where he defeated Antoine Escoffier in the final 3-6 6-3 6-4 and the Porto Challenger where he overcame Alejandro Moro Canas in the final 7-6(3) 7-6(6).
Holmgren has an overall 37-24 win-loss record in 2024, 7-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Rovereto Challenger
The Dane has never competed in this tournament before.
Francesco Maestrelli
37 - 35win/loss
242
149
LWWWWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-36 | 11-7 | 21-23 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 9-10 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-24 | 5-4 | 34-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-18 | 8-3 | 18-12 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 284, the Italian reached the semifinal after beating Pierre-Hugues Herbert 7-6(5) 6-3, Michael Agwi 7-6(10) 6-7(5) 6-2 and Dino Prizmic 3-6 6-1 7-6(1).
In the quarter against Prizmic, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 7-61). During the match Maestrelli scored 103 points vs Prizmic’s 87. Maestrelli was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Maestrelli managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Francesco Maestrelli lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Maestrelli put 59% of his first serves in, winning 69% (38/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (22/38) on the 2nd serve. Francesco broke Prizmic 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Maestrelli has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Italian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Monastir.
The Italian has a compiled 36-35 win-loss record in 2024, 4-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Holmgren | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 51 | 85 |
| Pts | 168-118 | 301-261 |
| Total Points | 286 | 562 |
| Winners | 73 | 120 |
| %Winners | 43% | 40% |
Both Holmgren and Maestrelli played 3 matches. At the moment, Francesco Maestrelli surrendered 2 sets while August Holmgren hasn’t dropped a set so far. Holmgren has played 2 set(s) less than Maestrelli (6 vs 8). Therefore, Holmgren played 34 games less than Maestrelli. August scored 73 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Maestrelli managed to score 120 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Holmgren | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 6.7 |
| 1st in | 95/148 | 158/282 |
| %1st in | 64% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 73/95 | 120/158 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 30/53 | 73/124 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 59% |
Holmgren struck 15 aces (5 per match). Maestrelli scored 20 aces (6.7 per match). Holmgren won 77% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Maestrelli won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Holmgren | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 10 |
| Converted | 13/22 | 10/15 |
| % Converted | 59% | 67% |
| Conceded | 13 | 21 |
| Saved | 10 | 15 |
| % Saved | 77% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 6 |
August broke his opponents 13 times with a 59% conversion rate. August conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Maestrelli broke his opponents 10 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Holmgren | |||||
| R1 Marie |
R2 Arnaboldi |
1/4 Vatutin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 16 | 20 | 51 | |
| pts | 54-33 | 58-36 | 56-49 | 168-118 | |
| Total points | 87 | 94 | 105 | 286 | |
| Winners | 24 | 19 | 30 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 33% | 54% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 31/49 | 27/46 | 37/53 | 95/148 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 59% | 70% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 19/27 | 30/37 | 73/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 70% | 81% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 13/19 | 5/16 | 30/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 68% | 31% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 5/10 | 4/6 | 13/22 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 67% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 4 | 2 | 13 | |
| Saved | 7/7 | 3/4 | 0/2 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 0% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Maestrelli | |||||
| R1 Herbert |
R2 Agwi |
1/4 Prizmic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-3 | 7-610 6-75 6-2 | 3-6 6-1 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 34 | 29 | 85 | |
| pts | 81-75 | 117-99 | 103-87 | 301-261 | |
| Total points | 156 | 216 | 190 | 562 | |
| Winners | 37 | 45 | 38 | 120 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 38% | 37% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 9 | 5 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 47/88 | 56/101 | 55/93 | 158/282 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 55% | 59% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 37/47 | 45/56 | 38/55 | 120/158 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 80% | 69% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/41 | 30/45 | 22/38 | 73/124 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 67% | 58% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 4/8 | 4/5 | 10/15 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 50% | 80% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 9 | 21 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 3/5 | 6/9 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 60% | 67% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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LWWWWLWLWW Tennis Scores in Rovereto Challenger
- Theo Arribage/Francisco CabralArribage/Francisco Cabral – Jakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner (7-66 3-6 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
- N.Sriram Balaji/Rithvik Choudary BollipalliBalaji/Rithvik Choudary Bollipalli – Oleg Prihodko/Jelle SelsPrihodko/Jelle Sels (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – August HolmgrenHolmgren (0-0) – H2H and prediction
