Gustavo Heide and Matias Soto will square off in the quarter of the Sao Paulo Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on QUADRA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gustavo Heide who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gustavo Heide is the pick to win this match.
Gustavo Heide -> 1.47
Matias Soto -> 2.53
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Prediction and head to head Gustavo Heide vs. Matias Soto
This will be the 2nd time that Gustavo Heide and Matias Soto clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Soto (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Soto won 6-3 3-6 6-1 in the 2nd round in the Medellin Challenger back in 2023.
Gustavo Heide
34 - 24win/loss
172
142
LWWLWWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-25 | 2-2 | 32-21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-22 | 9-5 | 24-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-13 | 3-2 | 24-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-14 | 4-5 | 27-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 173, Gustavo reached the quarter after defeating Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 6-3 6-4 and Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Heide had a good straight sets win against Kovacevic (6-3 6-4). During the match, Heide scored 69 points vs Kovacevic’s 57. Heide was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Heide overwhelmed his opponent with 20 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Gustavo Heide conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Heide put 66% of his first serves in, winning 78% (39/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. Heide broke Kovacevic twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gustavo hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Heide has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 63% of his matches (137-79). 2-1 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Heide has an aggregate18-13 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Asuncion Challenger where he overcame Joao Fonseca in the final 7-5 6-7(6) 6-1.
Gustavo has an aggregate 34-24 win-loss record in 2024, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sao Paulo Challenger
Matias Soto
51 - 24win/loss
248
246
LWWWWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 57-27 | 10-9 | 43-17 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-19 | 4-4 | 14-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-7 | 7-3 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-9 | 6-3 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 273 (career-high), Matias reached the quarter after defeating Federico Agustin Gomez 7-5 7-6(4) and Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Soto had a good straight sets win against Carlos Prado Angelo (6-3 6-4). During the match Soto scored 66 points vs Carlos Prado Angelo’s 51. The Chilean was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Soto bagged 14 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Matias Soto was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (32/42) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Chilean broke Carlos Prado Angelo 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Soto hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Soto’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the San Luis Potosi Challenger,M25 Trelew,M25 Arequipa,M15 Recife and M25 Sao Paulo.
Soto has a composed 51-24 win-loss record in 2024, 8-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Heide | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 38 | 44 |
| Pts | 133-107 | 148-128 |
| Total Points | 240 | 276 |
| Winners | 67 | 65 |
| %Winners | 50% | 44% |
Both Heide and Soto played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Heide and Soto have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Heide played 6 games less than Soto. The Brazilian scored 67 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Matias blasted 65 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Heide | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 29 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 14.5 | 10.5 |
| 1st in | 87/140 | 83/143 |
| %1st in | 62% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 67/87 | 65/83 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 31/53 | 36/60 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 60% |
Heide bagged 29 aces (14.5 per match). Soto fired 21 aces (10.5 per match). Heide won 77% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Soto won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Heide | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/10 |
| % Converted | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded | 9 | 8 |
| Saved | 9 | 7 |
| % Saved | 100% | 88% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
The Brazilian broke his opponents 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Brazilian was rock solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 9 break points. The Chilean broke his opponents 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Soto conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.
| Heide | ||||
| R1 Lucas Reis Da |
R2 Kovacevic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | 38 | |
| pts | 64-50 | 69-57 | 133-107 | |
| Total points | 114 | 126 | 240 | |
| Winners | 28 | 39 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 57% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 20 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 37/64 | 50/76 | 87/140 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 66% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 39/50 | 67/87 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 78% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/27 | 13/26 | 31/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 50% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 2/5 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 40% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 5/5 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Soto | ||||
| R1 Agustin |
R2 Carlos Prado Angelo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-64 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 19 | 44 | |
| pts | 82-77 | 66-51 | 148-128 | |
| Total points | 159 | 117 | 276 | |
| Winners | 33 | 32 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 48% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 14 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 41/77 | 42/66 | 83/143 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 64% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 33/41 | 32/42 | 65/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 76% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/36 | 13/24 | 36/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 54% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Converted | 1/4 | 3/6 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 50% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 4/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 80% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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