Michael Agwi and Luca Castagnola will face off in the qualifications of the Rovereto Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 3:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Michael Agwi who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Michael Agwi is the pick to win this match.
Michael Agwi -> 1.14
Luca Castagnola -> 5.05
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Prediction and head to head Michael Agwi vs. Luca Castagnola
There is no head to head record between Michael Agwi and Luca Castagnola since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Michael Agwi
49 - 16win/loss
408
408
LWWWLLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50-17 | 1-1 | 23-9 | 22-6 | 0-0 | 4-1 |
| 2023 | 30-15 | 2-2 | 28-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 16-9 | 0-0 | 16-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 421 (career-high), Michael got to the qualifications after defeating Oscar Jose Gutierrez 6-1 7-6(13).
In the qualifications, Agwi had a good straight sets win against Jose Gutierrez (6-1 7-613). During the match, Agwi scored 80 points vs Jose Gutierrez’s 59. The Irish was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Agwi bagged 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Michael Agwi was quite effective on serve to win 76% (39/51) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Michael was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Jose Gutierrez 4 times.
Agwi has a fantastic match record in the last 3 years having won 70% of his matches (94-40). 20-5 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Agwi has an overall20-5 match record in the last 3 years on indoor hard courts.
The Irish’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Cadolzburg,M15 Oberhaching,M15 Meerbusch,M15 Antalya,M15 Wroclaw and M15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki.
Agwi has a composed 48-16 win-loss record in 2024, 20-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Rovereto Challenger
The Irish has never competed in this tournament before.
Luca Castagnola
28 - 30win/loss
704
625
LWLWWWLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-30 | 14-11 | 10-17 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-31 | 10-6 | 31-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-31 | 5-3 | 44-27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-20 | 14-9 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 711, the Italian got to the qualifications after defeating Edoardo Lavagno 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, Castagnola had a good straight sets win against Lavagno (6-4 6-2). During the match Castagnola scored 62 points vs Lavagno’s 40. Castagnola was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Castagnola was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Luca Castagnola was pretty efficient on serve to win 75% (27/36) of his 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Lavagno 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Luca’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M15 Monastir,M15 Litija and M15 Selva Gardena.
Castagnola has a composed 28-29 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Agwi | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 18 |
| Pts | 80-59 | 62-40 |
| Total Points | 139 | 102 |
| Winners | 39 | 27 |
| %Winners | 49% | 44% |
Both Agwi and Castagnola played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Agwi and Castagnola have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Agwi played 2 games more than Castagnola. Michael scored 39 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Luca made 27 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Agwi | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 0 |
| 1st in | 51/68 | 36/48 |
| %1st in | 75% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 39/51 | 27/36 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 7/12 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 58% |
Agwi fired 6 aces . Castagnola didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Agwi won 76% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Castagnola won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Agwi | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 100% | 57% |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 |
| Saved | 0 | 0 |
| % Saved | 0% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
The Irish broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. Agwi dropped his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Castagnola broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Castagnola conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Agwi | |||
| Q1 Jose Gutierrez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-613 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 80-59 | 80-59 | |
| Total points | 139 | 139 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 51/68 | 51/68 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 39/51 | 39/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 10/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/4 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Castagnola | |||
| Q1 Lavagno |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 62-40 | 62-40 | |
| Total points | 102 | 102 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 36/48 | 36/48 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 27/36 | 27/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 7/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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