Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tristan Boyer will square off in the semifinal of the Montevideo Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.59
Tristan Boyer -> 2.24
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Tristan Boyer
This will be the 3rd time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tristan Boyer clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Ugo Carabelli and Boyer (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Boyer won 6-3 5-4 ret. in the semifinal in the Campinas Challenger back in October 2024.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
54 - 28win/loss
108
91
WWWLWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-28 | 2-4 | 52-23 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 108, the Argentine got to the semifinal after defeating Vit Kopriva 6-4 6-2, Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco 6-7(4) 7-5 6-3 and Genaro Alberto Olivieri 6-2 6-2.
In the quarter, Camilo had a good straight sets win against Alberto Olivieri (6-2 6-2). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 61 points vs Alberto Olivieri’s 38. Ugo Carabelli was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Camilo Ugo Carabelli was pretty effective on serve to win 86% (25/29) of his 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Argentine broke Alberto Olivieri 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Camilo has lost 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (342-196). 52-23 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ugo Carabelli has a composed313-167 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he beat Federico Coria in the final 7-5 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he overcame Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco in the final 6-4 6-2 and the Villa Maria Challenger where he defeated Jesper De Jong in the final 7-6(3) 3-6 6-4.
Ugo Carabelli has a compiled 54-28 win-loss record in 2024, 52-23 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Montevideo Challenger
Tristan Boyer
42 - 29win/loss
161
159
WWWLLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-29 | 15-12 | 25-15 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-23 | 15-11 | 18-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 5-2 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-12 | 11-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 161, Tristan reached the semifinal after beating Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-4 6-4, Gastao Elias 7-5 7-5 and Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter, Boyer had a good straight sets win against Moura Monteiro (6-3 6-4). During the match Boyer scored 69 points vs Moura Monteiro’s 59. Tristan was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Boyer bagged 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Tristan Boyer was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Moura Monteiro 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Boyer hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Merida Challenger where he defeated Juan Pablo Ficovich in the final 7-6(6) 6-2 and the Campinas Challenger where he overcame Juan Pablo Ficovich in the final 6-2 3-6 6-3.
Tristan has a composed 42-29 win-loss record in 2024, 25-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Montevideo Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Boyer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 68 | 63 |
| Pts | 258-210 | 240-209 |
| Total Points | 468 | 449 |
| Winners | 91 | 86 |
| %Winners | 35% | 36% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Boyer played 3 matches. At the moment, Camilo Ugo Carabelli conceded 1 set while Tristan Boyer hasn’t conceded a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set more than Boyer (7 vs 6). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 5 games more than Boyer. Ugo Carabelli scored 91 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The American fired 86 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Boyer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 135/230 | 127/215 |
| %1st in | 59% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 91/135 | 86/127 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 52/95 | 45/88 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 51% |
Ugo Carabelli fired 4 aces (1.3 per match). Boyer recorded 9 aces (3 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 67% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Boyer won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Boyer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 13 |
| Converted | 15/31 | 13/40 |
| % Converted | 48% | 33% |
| Conceded | 18 | 18 |
| Saved | 12 | 11 |
| % Saved | 67% | 61% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 7 |
Camilo broke his opponents 15 times with a 48% conversion rate. Camilo surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 13 times with a 33% conversion rate. Tristan conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | |||||
| R1 Kopriva |
R2 Alejandro Dellien Velasco |
1/4 Alberto Olivieri |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-74 7-5 6-3 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 34 | 16 | 68 | |
| pts | 69-55 | 128-117 | 61-38 | 258-210 | |
| Total points | 124 | 245 | 99 | 468 | |
| Winners | 21 | 45 | 25 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 35% | 41% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 38/69 | 68/119 | 29/42 | 135/230 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 57% | 69% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 21/38 | 45/68 | 25/29 | 91/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 55% | 66% | 86% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/31 | 26/51 | 7/13 | 52/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 51% | 54% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 6/14 | 4/8 | 15/31 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 43% | 50% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 7 | 0 | 18 | |
| Saved | 9/11 | 3/7 | 0/0 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 82% | 43% | – | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | |
| Boyer | |||||
| R1 Manuel |
R2 Elias |
1/4 Moura Monteiro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 7-5 7-5 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 24 | 19 | 63 | |
| pts | 78-66 | 93-84 | 69-59 | 240-209 | |
| Total points | 144 | 177 | 128 | 449 | |
| Winners | 28 | 32 | 26 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 34% | 38% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 43/73 | 51/82 | 33/60 | 127/215 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 62% | 55% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 28/43 | 32/51 | 26/33 | 86/127 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 63% | 79% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/30 | 16/31 | 15/27 | 45/88 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 52% | 56% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/18 | 3/11 | 13/40 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 28% | 27% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 7 | 3 | 18 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 4/7 | 2/3 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 57% | 67% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWWLWWW
WWWLLWWWWW Tennis Scores in Montevideo Challenger
- Mariano Kestelboim/Franco RoncadelliKestelboim/Franco Roncadelli – Karol Drzewiecki/Piotr MatuszewskiDrzewiecki/Piotr Matuszewski (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Hugo DellienDellien – Federico CoriaCoria (5-4) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Tristan BoyerBoyer (1-1) – H2H and prediction
