Jannik Sinner and Casper Ruud will play each other in the semifinal of the the Nitto ATP Finals for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 8:30 pm on Center Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.084
Casper Ruud -> 8.3
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Casper Ruud
This will be the 3rd time that Jannik Sinner and Casper Ruud square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Sinner won 7-5 6-1 in the quarter in Vienna back in 2021.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud – Vienna 29-October-2021
Jannik Sinner
69 - 6win/loss
1
1
WWWWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 73-6 | 40-3 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 2-6 | 7-3 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Italian reached the semifinal after defeating Daniil Medvedev 6-3 6-4, Alex De Minaur 6-3 6-4 and Taylor Fritz 6-4 6-4.
In the previous match, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Medvedev (6-3 6-4). During the match, Sinner scored 58 points vs Medvedev’s 43. Sinner was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner fired 4 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 82% (23/28) of his 1st serve and 71% (15/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Jannik broke Medvedev 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sinner hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 74% of his matches (341-119). 8-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has an aggregate95-25 match record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Miami where he defeated Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-3 6-1 and in Halle where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 7-6(8) 7-6(2) and in Cincinnati where he beat Frances Tiafoe in the final 7-6(4) 6-2 and at the U.S. Open where he beat Taylor Fritz in the final 6-3 6-4 7-5 and in Shanghai where he overcame Novak Djokovic in the final 7-6(4) 6-3.
Jannik has a compiled 68-6 win-loss record in 2024, 8-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals
Casper Ruud
51 - 25win/loss
6
2
LWLWLLLLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-25 | 21-9 | 24-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-13 | 4-5 | 17-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, the Norwegian reached the semifinal after beating Carlos Alcaraz 6-1 7-5 and Andrey Rublev 6-4 5-7 6-2.
In the previous match, The Norwegian defeated Rublev (6-4 5-7 6-2). During the match Ruud scored 85 points vs Rublev’s 76. Ruud was extremely aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Talking about serving, Ruud scored 15 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Casper Ruud lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ruud put 75% of his first serves in, winning 80% (51/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (8/21) on the 2nd serve. Ruud broke Rublev 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Norwegian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Barcelona where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 7-5 6-3 and in Geneva where he beat Tomas Machac in the final 7-5 6-3.
Casper has an aggregate 51-24 win-loss record in 2024, 5-7 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 58 | 49 |
| Pts | 191-144 | 152-127 |
| Total Points | 335 | 279 |
| Winners | 79 | 85 |
| %Winners | 41% | 56% |
Sinner played 3 matches while Ruud competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Casper Ruud lost 1 set while Jannik Sinner hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sinner has played 1 set more than Ruud (6 vs 5). Therefore, Sinner played 9 games more than Ruud. Sinner scored 79 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Norwegian scored 85 winners (56%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 10 |
| 1st in | 99/164 | 114/159 |
| %1st in | 60% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 79/99 | 85/114 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 44/65 | 22/45 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 49% |
Sinner scored 18 aces (6 per match). Ruud bagged 20 aces (10 per match). Sinner won 80% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Ruud won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 7 |
| Converted | 8/18 | 7/8 |
| % Converted | 44% | 88% |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 |
| Saved | 2 | 8 |
| % Saved | 50% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Jannik broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. Jannik conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Ruud broke his opponents 7 times with a 88% conversion rate. Casper conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | |||||
| Round Robin Medvedev |
Round Robin Fritz |
Round Robin De Minaur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 19 | 58 | |
| pts | 58-43 | 70-60 | 63-41 | 191-144 | |
| Total points | 101 | 130 | 104 | 335 | |
| Winners | 23 | 30 | 26 | 79 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 43% | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 39/66 | 32/49 | 99/164 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 59% | 65% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 30/39 | 26/32 | 79/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 77% | 81% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 16/27 | 13/17 | 44/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 59% | 76% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 2/6 | 3/7 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 33% | 43% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Ruud | |||||
| Round Robin Rublev |
Round Robin Zverev |
Round Robin Alcaraz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 5-7 6-2 | 7-63 6-3 | 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 22 | 19 | 71 | |
| pts | 85-76 | – | 67-51 | 152-127 | |
| Total points | 161 | 0 | 118 | 279 | |
| Winners | 51 | 34 | 85 | ||
| %Winners | 60% | 0% | 51% | 56% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 15 | 0 | 5 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 1st in | 64/85 | / | 50/74 | 114/159 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 0% | 68% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 51/64 | / | 34/50 | 85/114 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 0% | 68% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/21 | / | 14/24 | 22/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 0% | 58% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | ||
| Converted | 3/4 | / | 4/4 | 7/8 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 0% | 100% | 88% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 10 | ||
| Saved | 3/4 | 0/ | 5/6 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | – | 83% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | ||
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
LWLWLLLLWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (5-6) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Casper RuudRuud (2-0) – H2H and prediction
