Luca Nardi and Denis Yevseyev will face off in the semifinal of the Helsinki Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Nardi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luca Nardi is the pick to win this match.
Luca Nardi -> 1.63
Denis Yevseyev -> 2.17
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Prediction and head to head Luca Nardi vs. Denis Yevseyev
There is no head to head record between Luca Nardi and Denis Yevseyev since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Luca Nardi
25 - 25win/loss
105
70
LWWWWLLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-26 | 13-14 | 8-5 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-36 | 20-10 | 8-13 | 12-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 5-2 | 11-10 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-24 | 3-3 | 26-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-9 | 7-2 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 102, Luca got to the semifinal after beating Goncalo Oliveira 6-3 ret., August Holmgren 7-6(6) 7-6(2) and Jan Choinski 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter, Nardi had a good straight sets win against Choinski (6-4 6-3). During the match, Nardi scored 64 points vs Choinski’s 49. Luca was very aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nardi scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Luca Nardi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Nardi put 56% of his first serves in, winning 57% (17/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 71% (17/24) on the 2nd serve. Luca broke Choinski 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Luca hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Nardi has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 55% of his matches (146-118). 3-2 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Nardi has an aggregate37-35 record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Naples Challenger where he overcame Pierre-Hugues Herbert in the final 5-7 7-6(3) 6-2.
The Italian has a compiled 25-25 win-loss record in 2024, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Helsinki Challenger
Luca has never competed in this tournament before.
Denis Yevseyev
33 - 33win/loss
204
153
LWWWLWLLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-34 | 14-14 | 10-11 | 7-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-36 | 23-16 | 16-14 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 39-31 | 11-9 | 12-12 | 14-9 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2021 | 36-30 | 4-5 | 22-15 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-14 | 10-9 | 2-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 218, Yevseyev got to the semifinal after beating Oliver Ojakaar 6-2 6-4, Federico Arnaboldi 6-2 6-4 and Otto Virtanen 6-4 7-5.
In the quarter, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Virtanen (6-4 7-5). During the match Yevseyev scored 72 points vs Virtanen’s 63. Yevseyev was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about serving, Yevseyev recorded 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Denis Yevseyev lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Yevseyev put 48% of his first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (23/36) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Virtanen 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Kazakhstani hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Yevseyev’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Tenerife 1 Challenger and the Oeiras 4 Challenger.
The Kazakhstani has an aggregate 33-33 win-loss record in 2024, 7-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Helsinki Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nardi | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 54 | 58 |
| Pts | 179-150 | 186-146 |
| Total Points | 329 | 332 |
| Winners | 71 | 61 |
| %Winners | 40% | 33% |
Both Nardi and Yevseyev played 3 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Nardi and Yevseyev have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Nardi played 4 games less than Yevseyev. The Italian scored 71 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Denis fired 61 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nardi | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 100/159 | 87/166 |
| %1st in | 63% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 71/100 | 61/87 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 37/59 | 55/79 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 70% |
Nardi recorded 10 aces (3.3 per match). Yevseyev managed to score 9 aces (3 per match). Nardi won 71% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Yevseyev won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 70% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nardi | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 10 |
| Converted | 9/14 | 10/15 |
| % Converted | 64% | 67% |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 |
| Saved | 4 | 7 |
| % Saved | 44% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 |
The Italian broke his opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. Nardi conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. Yevseyev broke his opponents 10 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nardi | |||||
| R1 Oliveira |
R2 Holmgren |
1/4 Choinski |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 ret. | 7-66 7-62 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 9 | 26 | 19 | 54 | |
| pts | 28-21 | 87-80 | 64-49 | 179-150 | |
| Total points | 49 | 167 | 113 | 329 | |
| Winners | 12 | 42 | 17 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 48% | 27% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 7 | 1 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 14/21 | 56/84 | 30/54 | 100/159 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | 56% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 12/14 | 42/56 | 17/30 | 71/100 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 75% | 57% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/7 | 16/28 | 17/24 | 37/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | 71% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/4 | 5/8 | 9/14 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 50% | 63% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/3 | 3/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 33% | 50% | 28% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Yevseyev | |||||
| R1 Ojakaar |
R2 Arnaboldi |
1/4 Virtanen |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | 22 | 58 | |
| pts | 61-46 | 53-37 | 72-63 | 186-146 | |
| Total points | 107 | 90 | 135 | 332 | |
| Winners | 24 | 14 | 23 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 26% | 32% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 36/53 | 18/44 | 33/69 | 87/166 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 41% | 48% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 24/36 | 14/18 | 23/33 | 61/87 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 78% | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/17 | 19/26 | 23/36 | 55/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 76% | 73% | 64% | 70% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 10/15 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 80% | 60% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/1 | 6/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 86% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLLLLW
LWWWLWLLLL Tennis Scores in Helsinki Challenger
- Luca NardiNardi – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Max Hans RehbergHans Rehberg – Henri SquireSquire (7-65 7-65) – See score progression
- Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Denys Molchanov/David PichlerMolchanov/David Pichler – Geoffrey Blancaneaux/Luca SanchezBlancaneaux/Luca Sanchez (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Max Hans RehbergHans Rehberg – Henri SquireSquire (7-6(5) 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Luca NardiNardi – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Denis YevseyevYevseyev – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
