Aryna Sabalenka and Cori Gauff will play each other in the semifinal of the WTA Finals for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.52
Cori Gauff -> 2.6
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Cori Gauff
This will be the 9th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Cori Gauff clash against each other. The head to head is 4-4 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Sabalenka won 1-6 6-4 6-4 in the semifinal in Wuhan back in October 2024.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Cori Gauff – Wuhan 12-October-2024
Aryna Sabalenka
56 - 13win/loss
1
1
LWWWWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56-13 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Aryna got to the semifinal after defeating Qinwen Zheng 6-3 6-4 and Jasmine Paolini 6-3 7-5.
Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 69% of her matches (374-167). 2-1 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has an overall31-16 win-loss record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
Her best result of the season was winning the title at the Australian Open where she overcame Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Cincinnati where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 7-5 and at the U.S. Open where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 7-5 and in Wuhan where she overcame Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 5-7 6-3.
Sabalenka has an overall 56-13 win-loss record in 2024, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Riyadh
Cori Gauff
52 - 17win/loss
3
2
LWWLWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52-17 | 31-9 | 14-5 | 2-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-8 | 7-5 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Gauff got to the semifinal after beating Jessica Pegula 6-3 6-2 and Iga Swiatek 6-3 6-4.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Auckland where she beat Elina Svitolina in the final 6-7(4) 6-3 6-3 and in Beijing where she overcame Karolina Muchova in the final 6-1 6-3.
Gauff has a compiled 52-17 win-loss record in 2024, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 40 | 36 |
| Pts | 133-107 | 142-114 |
| Total Points | 240 | 256 |
| Winners | 63 | 51 |
| %Winners | 47% | 36% |
Both Sabalenka and Gauff played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Gauff have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Sabalenka played 4 games more than Gauff. Aryna scored 63 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Cori blasted 51 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2 |
| 1st in | 77/122 | 76/130 |
| %1st in | 63% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 63/77 | 51/76 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 20/45 | 25/54 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 46% |
Sabalenka fired 8 aces (4 per match). Gauff scored 4 aces (2 per match). Sabalenka won 82% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Gauff won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 10 |
| Converted | 7/13 | 10/20 |
| % Converted | 54% | 50% |
| Conceded | 7 | 11 |
| Saved | 4 | 7 |
| % Saved | 57% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
The Belarussian broke her opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Aryna surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Cori broke her opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. Cori conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||||
| Round Robin Rybakina |
Round Robin Paolini |
Round Robin Zheng |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 6-1 | 6-3 7-5 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 21 | 19 | 66 | |
| pts | – | 73-58 | 60-49 | 133-107 | |
| Total points | 0 | 131 | 109 | 240 | |
| Winners | 32 | 31 | 63 | ||
| %Winners | 0% | 44% | 52% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 1 | 7 | ||
| 1st in | / | 44/68 | 33/54 | 77/122 | |
| % 1st in | 0% | 65% | 61% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | / | 32/44 | 31/33 | 63/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 0% | 73% | 94% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | / | 10/24 | 10/21 | 20/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 0% | 42% | 48% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | ||
| Converted | / | 5/9 | 2/4 | 7/13 | |
| Converted % | 0% | 56% | 50% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 7 | ||
| Saved | 0/ | 3/6 | 1/1 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | ||
| Gauff | |||||
| Round Robin Krejcikova |
Round Robin Swiatek |
Round Robin Pegula |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 19 | 17 | 58 | |
| pts | – | 79-64 | 63-50 | 142-114 | |
| Total points | 0 | 143 | 113 | 256 | |
| Winners | 29 | 22 | 51 | ||
| %Winners | 0% | 37% | 35% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 2 | 13 | ||
| 1st in | / | 43/71 | 33/59 | 76/130 | |
| % 1st in | 0% | 61% | 56% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | / | 29/43 | 22/33 | 51/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 0% | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | / | 12/28 | 13/26 | 25/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 0% | 43% | 50% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | ||
| Converted | / | 5/12 | 5/8 | 10/20 | |
| Converted % | 0% | 42% | 63% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 3 | 11 | ||
| Saved | 0/ | 6/8 | 1/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 33% | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | ||
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWLW
LWWLWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Riyadh
- Diego HidalgoHidalgo – Gerardo Lopez VillasenorLopez Villasenor (7-64 7-68) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Facundo MenaMena – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Cori GauffGauff (4-4) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
