Alexander Zverev and Ugo Humbert will square off in the final of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.43
Ugo Humbert -> 2.91

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Ugo Humbert

This will be the 3^rd time that Alexander Zverev and Ugo Humbert play each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they fought against each other, Zverev won 6-4 6-7(3) 7-6(5) in the 2^nd round in Paris back in 2023.

Highlights Alexander Zverev vs Ugo Humbert – Paris 01-November-2023

Alexander Zverev

Ranked no. 3, the German got to the final after defeating Unknown Player bye, Tallon Griekspoor 7-6(2) 6-3, Arthur Fils 6-4 3-6 6-3, Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-5 6-4 and Holger Rune 6-3 7-6(4).

In the semifinal, Zverev had a good straight sets win against Rune (6-3 7-6⁴). During the match, Zverev scored 78 points vs Rune’s 64. The German was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about the service games, Zverev struck 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Alexander Zverev was very efficient on serve to win 82% (37/45) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The German broke Rune twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The German has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Zverev has a tremendous win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 70% of his matches (479-201). 7-2 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zverev has an aggregate 91-42 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-7(3) 7-6(6) 6-4 and in Rome where he defeated Nicolas Jarry in the final 6-4 7-5.

Zverev has an aggregate 65-20 win-loss record in 2024, 7-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Ugo Humbert

Ranked no. 18, Ugo got to the final after beating Brandon Nakashima 6-3 4-6 6-4, Marcos Giron 6-3 6-2, Carlos Alcaraz 6-1 3-6 7-5, Jordan Thompson 6-2 7-6(4) and Karen Khachanov 6-7(6) 6-4 6-3.

In the semifinal against Khachanov, Ugo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7⁶ 6-4 6-3). During the match Humbert scored 105 points vs Khachanov’s 93. Humbert was very aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about serving, Humbert scored 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Ugo Humbert lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Humbert put 66% of his first serves in, winning 69% (45/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (18/33) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Khachanov 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Marseille where he overcame Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Dubai where he overcame Alexander Bublik in the final 6-4 6-3.

The French player has a composed 39-23 win-loss record in 2024, 11-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2020. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Zverev	Humbert
Match played	4	5
Tot Set	9	13
Tot Games	94	127
Pts	309-269	409-341
Total Points	578	750
Winners	150	185
%Winners	49%	45%

Zverev played 4 matches while Humbert competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Zverev surrendered 1 set, while Ugo Humbert lost 3 sets. Zverev has played 4 set(s) less than Humbert (9 vs 13). Therefore, Zverev played 33 games less than Humbert. Zverev scored 150 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Ugo bagged 185 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Zverev	Humbert
Aces	43	43
Avg per match	10.8	8.6
1st in	188/282	244/387
%1st in	67%	63%
1st pts	150/188	185/244
%1st pts	80%	76%
2nd pts	58/94	83/143
%2nd pts	62%	58%

Zverev bagged 43 aces (10.8 per match). Humbert recorded 43 aces (8.6 per match). Zverev won 80% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Humbert won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Zverev	Humbert
Won	7	17
Converted	7/19	17/32
% Converted	37%	53%
Conceded	12	14
Saved	10	8
% Saved	83%	57%
Times Broken	2	6

Alexander broke his opponents 7 times with a 37% conversion rate. Alexander surrendered his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Ugo broke his opponents 17 times with a 53% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.

Zverev
	R2 Griekspoor	R3 Fils	1/4 Tsitsipas	1/2 Rune	Total
Score	7-62 6-3	6-4 3-6 6-3	7-5 6-4	6-3 7-64
Tot Set	2	3	2	2	9
Tot Games	22	28	22	22	94
pts	71-59	89-86	71-60	78-64	309-269
Total points	130	175	131	142	578
Winners	36	43	34	37	150
%Winners	51%	48%	48%	47%	49%
SERVE
Aces	9	16	9	9	43
Double Faults	2	2	2	3	9
1st in	42/68	58/86	43/61	45/67	188/282
% 1st in	62%	67%	70%	67%	67%
1st pts	36/42	43/58	34/43	37/45	150/188
% 1st pts	86%	74%	79%	82%	80%
2nd pts	16/26	16/28	13/18	13/22	58/94
% 2nd pts	62%	57%	72%	59%	62%
Breaks
Won	1	2	2	2	7
Converted	1/1	2/6	2/7	2/5	7/19
Converted %	100%	33%	29%	40%	37%
Conceded	3	5	1	3	12
Saved	3/3	4/5	1/1	2/3	10
Saved %	100%	80%	100%	67%	87%
Times Broken	0	1	0	1	2

Humbert
	R1 Nakashima	R2 Giron	R3 Alcaraz	1/4 Thompson	1/2 Khachanov	Total
Score	6-3 4-6 6-4	6-3 6-2	6-1 3-6 7-5	6-2 7-64	6-76 6-4 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	3	2	3	13
Tot Games	29	17	28	21	32	127
pts	89-77	59-37	89-82	67-52	105-93	409-341
Total points	166	96	171	119	198	750
Winners	43	24	39	34	45	185
%Winners	48%	41%	44%	51%	43%	45%
SERVE
Aces	9	9	8	8	9	43
Double Faults	1	0	3	2	4	10
1st in	51/84	31/48	54/96	43/61	65/98	244/387
% 1st in	61%	65%	56%	70%	66%	63%
1st pts	43/51	24/31	39/54	34/43	45/65	185/244
% 1st pts	84%	77%	72%	79%	69%	76%
2nd pts	20/33	10/17	25/42	10/18	18/33	83/143
% 2nd pts	61%	59%	60%	56%	55%	58%
Breaks
Won	2	4	3	3	5	17
Converted	2/4	4/5	3/6	3/7	5/10	17/32
Converted %	50%	80%	50%	43%	50%	53%
Conceded	3	1	4	2	4	14
Saved	2/3	0/1	3/4	1/2	2/4	8
Saved %	67%	0%	75%	50%	50%	61%
Times Broken	1	1	1	1	2	6

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alexander ZverevZverev – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-1) – H2H and prediction