Alexander Zverev and Ugo Humbert will square off in the final of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.43
Ugo Humbert -> 2.91
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Ugo Humbert
This will be the 3rd time that Alexander Zverev and Ugo Humbert play each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Zverev won 6-4 6-7(3) 7-6(5) in the 2nd round in Paris back in 2023.
Highlights Alexander Zverev vs Ugo Humbert – Paris 01-November-2023
Alexander Zverev
66 - 20win/loss
2
2
LWWWWWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 69-21 | 29-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-11 | 12-7 | 3-1 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, the German got to the final after defeating Unknown Player bye, Tallon Griekspoor 7-6(2) 6-3, Arthur Fils 6-4 3-6 6-3, Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-5 6-4 and Holger Rune 6-3 7-6(4).
In the semifinal, Zverev had a good straight sets win against Rune (6-3 7-64). During the match, Zverev scored 78 points vs Rune’s 64. The German was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Zverev struck 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Alexander Zverev was very efficient on serve to win 82% (37/45) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The German broke Rune twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Zverev has a tremendous win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 70% of his matches (479-201). 7-2 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zverev has an aggregate 91-42 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-7(3) 7-6(6) 6-4 and in Rome where he defeated Nicolas Jarry in the final 6-4 7-5.
Zverev has an aggregate 65-20 win-loss record in 2024, 7-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Ugo Humbert
39 - 24win/loss
14
13
LWWWWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-24 | 18-9 | 5-7 | 11-4 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-14 | 11-7 | 4-3 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, Ugo got to the final after beating Brandon Nakashima 6-3 4-6 6-4, Marcos Giron 6-3 6-2, Carlos Alcaraz 6-1 3-6 7-5, Jordan Thompson 6-2 7-6(4) and Karen Khachanov 6-7(6) 6-4 6-3.
In the semifinal against Khachanov, Ugo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-76 6-4 6-3). During the match Humbert scored 105 points vs Khachanov’s 93. Humbert was very aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Humbert scored 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Ugo Humbert lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Humbert put 66% of his first serves in, winning 69% (45/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (18/33) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Khachanov 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Marseille where he overcame Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Dubai where he overcame Alexander Bublik in the final 6-4 6-3.
The French player has a composed 39-23 win-loss record in 2024, 11-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zverev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 94 | 127 |
| Pts | 309-269 | 409-341 |
| Total Points | 578 | 750 |
| Winners | 150 | 185 |
| %Winners | 49% | 45% |
Zverev played 4 matches while Humbert competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Zverev surrendered 1 set, while Ugo Humbert lost 3 sets. Zverev has played 4 set(s) less than Humbert (9 vs 13). Therefore, Zverev played 33 games less than Humbert. Zverev scored 150 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Ugo bagged 185 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zverev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 43 | 43 |
| Avg per match | 10.8 | 8.6 |
| 1st in | 188/282 | 244/387 |
| %1st in | 67% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 150/188 | 185/244 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 58/94 | 83/143 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 58% |
Zverev bagged 43 aces (10.8 per match). Humbert recorded 43 aces (8.6 per match). Zverev won 80% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Humbert won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zverev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 17 |
| Converted | 7/19 | 17/32 |
| % Converted | 37% | 53% |
| Conceded | 12 | 14 |
| Saved | 10 | 8 |
| % Saved | 83% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 |
Alexander broke his opponents 7 times with a 37% conversion rate. Alexander surrendered his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Ugo broke his opponents 17 times with a 53% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Zverev | ||||||
| R2 Griekspoor |
R3 Fils |
1/4 Tsitsipas |
1/2 Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 6-3 | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 28 | 22 | 22 | 94 | |
| pts | 71-59 | 89-86 | 71-60 | 78-64 | 309-269 | |
| Total points | 130 | 175 | 131 | 142 | 578 | |
| Winners | 36 | 43 | 34 | 37 | 150 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 48% | 48% | 47% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 43 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 42/68 | 58/86 | 43/61 | 45/67 | 188/282 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 67% | 70% | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 36/42 | 43/58 | 34/43 | 37/45 | 150/188 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 74% | 79% | 82% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 16/28 | 13/18 | 13/22 | 58/94 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 57% | 72% | 59% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 1/1 | 2/6 | 2/7 | 2/5 | 7/19 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 33% | 29% | 40% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 2/3 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 80% | 100% | 67% | 87% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Humbert | |||||||
| R1 Nakashima |
R2 Giron |
R3 Alcaraz |
1/4 Thompson |
1/2 Khachanov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-1 3-6 7-5 | 6-2 7-64 | 6-76 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 17 | 28 | 21 | 32 | 127 | |
| pts | 89-77 | 59-37 | 89-82 | 67-52 | 105-93 | 409-341 | |
| Total points | 166 | 96 | 171 | 119 | 198 | 750 | |
| Winners | 43 | 24 | 39 | 34 | 45 | 185 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 41% | 44% | 51% | 43% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 43 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 51/84 | 31/48 | 54/96 | 43/61 | 65/98 | 244/387 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 65% | 56% | 70% | 66% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 43/51 | 24/31 | 39/54 | 34/43 | 45/65 | 185/244 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 77% | 72% | 79% | 69% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/33 | 10/17 | 25/42 | 10/18 | 18/33 | 83/143 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 59% | 60% | 56% | 55% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 4/5 | 3/6 | 3/7 | 5/10 | 17/32 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 80% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 0/1 | 3/4 | 1/2 | 2/4 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 0% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-1) – H2H and prediction
