Holger Rune and Alexander Bublik will face off in the 2nd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 4:00 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.28
Alexander Bublik -> 3.68
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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Alexander Bublik
This will be the 3rd time that Holger Rune and Alexander Bublik face off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, Rune won 6-1 4-6 7-6(9) in the 2nd round in Madrid back in 2023.
Highlights Holger Rune vs Alexander Bublik – Madrid 28-April-2023
Holger Rune
42 - 22win/loss
13
4
WLWWWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-22 | 21-11 | 11-6 | 7-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 32-16 | 1-3 | 28-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, the Dane reached the 2nd round after defeating Matteo Arnaldi 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, Rune had a good straight sets win against Arnaldi (6-4 6-4). During the match, Rune scored 71 points vs Arnaldi’s 63. The Dane was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rune fired 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Holger Rune was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (34/48) of his 1st serve and 62% (18/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Holger broke Arnaldi twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Rune has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 66% of his matches (248-128). 7-3 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rune has an overall65-25 win-loss record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
Holger’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Brisbane.
The Dane has an overall 42-22 win-loss record in 2024, 7-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Alexander Bublik
25 - 24win/loss
33
17
WLLLLWLLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-24 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-3 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-17 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 33, Alexander reached the 2nd round after beating Fabio Fognini 7-5 7-5.
In the 1st round, Alexander had a good straight sets win against Fognini (7-5 7-5). During the match Bublik scored 77 points vs Fognini’s 61. Alexander was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Bublik struck 15 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Alexander Bublik lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 57% of his first serves in, winning 88% (35/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. Bublik broke Fognini 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
His best result of the year was winning the title in Montpellier where he defeated Borna Coric in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3.
Bublik has an overall 25-24 win-loss record in 2024, 6-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 24 |
| Pts | 71-63 | 77-61 |
| Total Points | 134 | 138 |
| Winners | 34 | 35 |
| %Winners | 48% | 45% |
Both Rune and Bublik played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rune and Bublik have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Rune played 4 games less than Bublik. Rune scored 34 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Kazakhstani fired 35 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 15 |
| 1st in | 48/77 | 40/70 |
| %1st in | 62% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 34/48 | 35/40 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 88% |
| 2nd pts | 18/29 | 15/30 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 50% |
Rune fired 7 aces . Bublik managed to score 15 aces . Rune won 71% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Bublik won 88% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 3 |
| Converted | 2/3 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 67% | 60% |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 |
| Saved | 5 | 2 |
| % Saved | 100% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Holger broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. Rune very solid his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 5 break points. Bublik broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Bublik conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | |||
| R1 Arnaldi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 71-63 | 71-63 | |
| Total points | 134 | 134 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 48/77 | 48/77 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 34/48 | 34/48 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/29 | 18/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 2/3 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Bublik | |||
| R1 Fognini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 24 | |
| pts | 77-61 | 77-61 | |
| Total points | 138 | 138 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 15 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 40/70 | 40/70 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 35/40 | 35/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/30 | 15/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWLWWLW
WLLLLWLLLL Tennis Scores in Paris
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden – Marcelo Melo/Alexander ZverevMelo/Alexander Zverev (6-4 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Casper RuudRuud (7-63 3-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Andrey RublevRublev (7-66 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (5-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Marcos GironGiron (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (1-2) – H2H and prediction
