Mackenzie Mcdonald and Hiroki Moriya will play each other in the 2nd round of the Seoul Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on COURT 13. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mackenzie Mcdonald who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mackenzie Mcdonald is the pick to win this match.
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 1.082
Hiroki Moriya -> 6.6
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Prediction and head to head Mackenzie Mcdonald vs. Hiroki Moriya
This will be the 2nd time that Mackenzie Mcdonald and Hiroki Moriya play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Mcdonald (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Mcdonald won 6-2 6-3 in the qualifications in the Ilkley Challenger back in 2017.
Mackenzie Mcdonald
26 - 22win/loss
131
37
LWLWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-23 | 18-12 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-30 | 23-15 | 0-6 | 4-3 | 8-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 16-16 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-26 | 15-12 | 12-5 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-16 | 10-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 118, Mackenzie reached the 2nd round after defeating Jie Cui 6-3 6-0.
In the 1st round, Mackenzie had a good straight sets win against Cui (6-3 6-0). During the match, Mcdonald scored 57 points vs Cui’s 29. Mackenzie was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mcdonald recorded 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mackenzie Mcdonald was quite efficient on serve to win 92% (23/25) of his 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Mcdonald broke Cui 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Mcdonald has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (298-228). 18-11 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mcdonald has a compiled 190-126 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the year was conquering the title the Shenzhen Challenger where he overcame Arthur Cazaux in the final 6-4 7-6(4).
Mackenzie has an overall 26-22 win-loss record in 2024, 18-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Seoul Challenger
Hiroki Moriya
31 - 27win/loss
397
143
LWWLWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38-32 | 36-28 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-28 | 31-27 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-30 | 18-19 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| 2021 | 22-28 | 13-17 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 5-5 | 1-2 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 407, Hiroki got to the 2nd round after defeating Seon Yong Han 3-6 6-3 6-1, Duckhee Lee 6-3 6-3 and Guy Den Ouden 5-7 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round against Den Ouden, Moriya recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-4). During the match Moriya scored 109 points vs Den Ouden’s 100. Moriya was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, Moriya scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Hiroki Moriya lost the serve 6 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Moriya put 60% of his first serves in, winning 63% (40/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (19/42) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Den Ouden 7 times after converting 50% of his break points (7/14).
The Japanese’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in M25 Traralgon,M25 Takasaki and M25 Cairns.
Hiroki has a compiled 31-27 win-loss record in 2024, 31-24 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Seoul Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2013 and 2017. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mcdonald | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 75 |
| Pts | 57-29 | 263-230 |
| Total Points | 86 | 493 |
| Winners | 23 | 94 |
| %Winners | 40% | 36% |
Mcdonald played 1 match while Moriya competed in 3 matches. Moriya started his run from the qualifications while Mcdonald had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Hiroki Moriya conceded 2 sets while Mackenzie Mcdonald hasn’t conceded a set so far. Mcdonald has played 6 set(s) less than Moriya (2 vs 8). Therefore, Mcdonald played 60 games less than Moriya. Mackenzie scored 23 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Hiroki struck 94 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mcdonald | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 25/39 | 145/260 |
| %1st in | 64% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 23/25 | 94/145 |
| %1st pts | 92% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 55/115 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 48% |
Mcdonald fired 6 aces . Moriya recorded 4 aces (1.3 per match). Mcdonald won 92% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Moriya won 65% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mcdonald | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 18 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 18/35 |
| % Converted | 50% | 51% |
| Conceded | 0 | 34 |
| Saved | 0 | 22 |
| % Saved | 0% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 12 |
Mackenzie broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The American very solid his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. Moriya broke his opponents 18 times with a 51% conversion rate. Hiroki conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mcdonald | |||
| R1 Cui |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 57-29 | 57-29 | |
| Total points | 86 | 86 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 25/39 | 25/39 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 23/25 | 23/25 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 92% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 9/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Moriya | |||||
| Q1 Yong |
Q3 Hee Lee |
R1 Den |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-1 | 6-3 6-3 | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 18 | 32 | 75 | |
| pts | 84-76 | 70-54 | 109-100 | 263-230 | |
| Total points | 160 | 124 | 209 | 493 | |
| Winners | 31 | 23 | 40 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 33% | 37% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 49/80 | 33/75 | 63/105 | 145/260 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 44% | 60% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 31/49 | 23/33 | 40/63 | 94/145 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 70% | 63% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/31 | 20/42 | 19/42 | 55/115 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 48% | 45% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 5/9 | 7/14 | 18/35 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 56% | 50% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 8 | 13 | 34 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 6/8 | 7/13 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 75% | 54% | 198% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWWWW
LWWLWWLWLW Tennis Scores in Seoul Challenger
- Hiroki MoriyaMoriya – Guy Den OudenDen Ouden (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Sanhui ShinShin (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Hyeon ChungChung – Yunseong ChungChung (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Tung-Lin WuWu – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Kasidit SamrejSamrej – Julian OcleppoOcleppo (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Li TuTu – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili – Terence AtmaneAtmane (6-3 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Maxime JanvierJanvier (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Yan BaiBai (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Kaichi UchidaUchida (6-4 7-69) – See score progression
- Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – Yi ZhouZhou (6-4 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Kaito UesugiUesugi – Ramkumar RamanathanRamanathan (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Taro DanielDaniel – Benoit PairePaire (7-64 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Jie CuiCui (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Alexander BlockxBlockx – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Nicolas Moreno De AlboranMoreno De Alboran – Elias YmerYmer (7-64 6-75 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Hiroki MoriyaMoriya – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili – Tung-Lin WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – Kaito UesugiUesugi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taro DanielDaniel – Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hyeon ChungChung – Li TuTu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas Moreno De AlboranMoreno De Alboran – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kasidit SamrejSamrej – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
