Naoki Nakagawa and Bruno Kuzuhara will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Charlottesville Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 3:00 pm on BRENDA MYERS COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naoki Nakagawa who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Naoki Nakagawa is the pick to win this match.
Naoki Nakagawa -> 1.54
Bruno Kuzuhara -> 2.35
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Prediction and head to head Naoki Nakagawa vs. Bruno Kuzuhara
There is no head to head record between Naoki Nakagawa and Bruno Kuzuhara since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Naoki Nakagawa
22 - 11win/loss
373
334
LWLWLLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-16 | 13-12 | 1-1 | 11-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 42-19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-27 | 16-16 | 10-9 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-15 | 32-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-4 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 385, Nakagawa reached the qualifications after defeating Ozan Baris 6-7(3) 7-6(5) 7-6(1).
In the qualifications against Baris, The Japanese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 7-65 7-61). During the match, Nakagawa scored 127 points vs Baris’s 125. Nakagawa was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nakagawa bagged 6 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Naoki Nakagawa was extremely effective on serve to win 71% (44/62) of his 1st serve and 53% (36/68) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 4 times. The Japanese broke Baris 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Nakagawa has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (278-178). 9-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Nakagawa has a composed 17-9 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Columbus Challenger where he overcame James Kent Trotter in the final 7-6(8) 5-7 7-6(5).
Nakagawa has a composed 21-11 win-loss record in 2024, 9-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Charlottesville Challenger
Nakagawa has never competed in this tournament before.
Bruno Kuzuhara
28 - 31win/loss
530
394
LLWLLLLLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-32 | 12-16 | 15-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-30 | 13-6 | 28-23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-23 | 8-13 | 20-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-13 | 6-6 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 435, Kuzuhara reached the qualifications after defeating Keegan Smith 6-4 6-3.
In the qualifications, Kuzuhara had a good straight sets win against Smith (6-4 6-3). During the match Kuzuhara scored 64 points vs Smith’s 51. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Kuzuhara couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 4 double faults. Bruno Kuzuhara lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Kuzuhara put 80% of his first serves in, winning 67% (34/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (5/13) on the 2nd serve. Kuzuhara was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Smith 4 times.
Kuzuhara’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in M25 Pensacola.
The American has an overall 28-30 win-loss record in 2024, 1-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nakagawa | Kuzuhara |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 19 |
| Pts | 127-125 | 64-51 |
| Total Points | 252 | 115 |
| Winners | 44 | 34 |
| %Winners | 35% | 53% |
Both Nakagawa and Kuzuhara played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Naoki Nakagawa lost 1 set while Bruno Kuzuhara hasn’t conceded a set so far. Nakagawa has played 1 set more than Kuzuhara (3 vs 2). Therefore, Nakagawa played 20 games more than Kuzuhara. The Japanese scored 44 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Kuzuhara bagged 34 winners (53%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nakagawa | Kuzuhara |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 0 |
| 1st in | 62/130 | 51/64 |
| %1st in | 48% | 80% |
| 1st pts | 44/62 | 34/51 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 36/68 | 5/13 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 38% |
Nakagawa recorded 6 aces . Kuzuhara didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Nakagawa won 71% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Kuzuhara won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 38% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nakagawa | Kuzuhara |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/4 |
| % Converted | 44% | 100% |
| Conceded | 11 | 7 |
| Saved | 7 | 6 |
| % Saved | 64% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Naoki surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Kuzuhara broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nakagawa | |||
| Q1 Baris |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 7-65 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 39 | 39 | |
| pts | 127-125 | 127-125 | |
| Total points | 252 | 252 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 62/130 | 62/130 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 48% | |
| 1st pts | 44/62 | 44/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 36/68 | 36/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Kuzuhara | |||
| Q1 Smith |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 64-51 | 64-51 | |
| Total points | 115 | 115 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 53% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 51/64 | 51/64 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 80% | |
| 1st pts | 34/51 | 34/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/13 | 5/13 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 38% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/4 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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