Jack Draper and Karen Khachanov will square off in the final of the Erste Bank Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.69
Karen Khachanov -> 2.17
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Jack Draper vs. Karen Khachanov
This will be the 4th time that Jack Draper and Karen Khachanov face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Khachanov (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Draper won 6-4 7-6(3) in the quarter in Adelaide back in 2023.
Highlights Jack Draper vs Karen Khachanov – Adelaide 12-January-2023
Jack Draper
36 - 21win/loss
15
15
LWWWWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-22 | 19-10 | 5-7 | 7-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 17-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 18 (career-high), Draper got to the final after defeating Kei Nishikori 7-6(5) 7-5, Luciano Darderi 7-5 6-1, Tomas Machac 6-3 3-6 6-1 and Lorenzo Musetti 6-2 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Musetti (6-2 6-4). During the match, Draper scored 85 points vs Musetti’s 67. The Brit was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Draper made 8 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Jack Draper lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Draper put 67% of his first serves in, winning 71% (44/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 30% (9/30) on the 2nd serve. Jack broke Musetti 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Draper has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Draper has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 68% of his matches (223-103). 4-2 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Draper has a composed76-26 record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Stuttgart where he beat Matteo Berrettini in the final 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4.
Jack has a compiled 36-21 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Vienna
Jack has never competed in this tournament before.
Karen Khachanov
33 - 20win/loss
19
8
LWWWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-22 | 14-12 | 8-4 | 14-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-18 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-25 | 17-11 | 9-7 | 6-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-24 | 17-9 | 5-6 | 8-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-15 | 12-6 | 4-3 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, the Russian got to the final after defeating Thiago Seyboth Wild 6-2 6-4, Brandon Nakashima 1-6 6-3 6-4, Matteo Berrettini 6-1 6-4 and Alex De Minaur 6-2 6-4.
In the semifinal, Khachanov had a good straight sets win against De Minaur (6-2 6-4). During the match Khachanov and De Minaur scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 18 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Khachanov was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
About the serving games, Khachanov wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Karen Khachanov conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Khachanov has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Doha where he beat Jakub Mensik in the final 7-6(12) 6-4 and in Almaty where he overcame Gabriel Diallo in the final 6-2 5-7 6-3.
Khachanov has a compiled 33-20 win-loss record in 2024, 10-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Vienna
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2016, 2019 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Draper | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 87 | 79 |
| Pts | 330-267 | 203-162 |
| Total Points | 597 | 365 |
| Winners | 164 | 90 |
| %Winners | 50% | 44% |
Both Draper and Khachanov played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jack Draper surrendered 1 set, while Karen Khachanov conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Draper and Khachanov have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Draper played 8 games more than Khachanov. The Brit scored 164 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Karen made 90 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Draper | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 45 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 11.3 | 4.8 |
| 1st in | 205/297 | 114/171 |
| %1st in | 69% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 164/205 | 90/114 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 37/92 | 36/57 |
| %2nd pts | 40% | 63% |
Draper recorded 45 aces (11.3 per match). Khachanov made 19 aces (4.8 per match). Draper won 80% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Draper | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 8 |
| Converted | 14/33 | 8/25 |
| % Converted | 42% | 32% |
| Conceded | 20 | 5 |
| Saved | 16 | 3 |
| % Saved | 80% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Jack broke his opponents 14 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Khachanov broke his opponents 8 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Draper | ||||||
| R1 Nishikori |
R2 Darderi |
1/4 Machac |
1/2 Musetti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 7-5 | 7-5 6-1 | 6-3 3-6 6-1 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 19 | 25 | 18 | 87 | |
| pts | 79-69 | 68-49 | 98-82 | 85-67 | 330-267 | |
| Total points | 148 | 117 | 180 | 152 | 597 | |
| Winners | 41 | 31 | 48 | 44 | 164 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 46% | 49% | 52% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 11 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 45 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 48/71 | 34/46 | 61/88 | 62/92 | 205/297 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 74% | 69% | 67% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 41/48 | 31/34 | 48/61 | 44/62 | 164/205 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 91% | 79% | 71% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/23 | 6/12 | 12/27 | 9/30 | 37/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 50% | 44% | 30% | 40% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 4/10 | 3/8 | 5/11 | 14/33 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 40% | 38% | 45% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 20 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 1/1 | 7/8 | 8/10 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 100% | 88% | 80% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| Khachanov | ||||||
| R1 Seyboth |
R2 Nakashima |
1/4 Berrettini |
1/2 De Minaur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 1-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-1 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 26 | 17 | 18 | 79 | |
| pts | 67-48 | 76-71 | 60-43 | – | 203-162 | |
| Total points | 115 | 147 | 103 | 0 | 365 | |
| Winners | 27 | 37 | 26 | 90 | ||
| %Winners | 40% | 49% | 43% | 0% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | ||
| 1st in | 33/52 | 48/67 | 33/52 | / | 114/171 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 72% | 63% | 0% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 37/48 | 26/33 | / | 90/114 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 77% | 79% | 0% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 12/19 | 13/19 | / | 36/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 63% | 68% | 0% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | ||
| Converted | 3/3 | 2/10 | 3/12 | / | 8/25 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 20% | 25% | 0% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | ||
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/2 | 2/2 | 0/ | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 100% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | ||
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWLW
LWWWWLWWWW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jack DraperDraper – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (1-2) – H2H and prediction
