Daria Kasatkina and Sofia Kenin will face off in the quarter of the Toray Pan Pacific Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on SHOW COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.4
Sofia Kenin -> 2.95
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Sofia Kenin
This will be the 5th time that Daria Kasatkina and Sofia Kenin clash against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Kasatkina and Kenin (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Kasatkina won 2-6 6-4 6-4 in the 2nd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.
Highlights Daria Kasatkina vs Sofia Kenin – U.S. Open 31-August-2023
Daria Kasatkina
40 - 21win/loss
9
8
LLWWWWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Kasatkina reached the quarter after beating Mccartney Kessler 3-6 6-3 6-1.
In the 2nd round against Kessler, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-1). During the match, Kasatkina scored 87 points vs Kessler’s 78. Darya was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kasatkina made 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 72% of her first serves in, winning 67% (38/57) of the points behind her 1st serve and 27% (6/22) on the 2nd serve. Kasatkina broke Kessler 7 times after converting 58% of her break points (7/12).
Kasatkina has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (357-205). 24-15 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Kasatkina has a composed 159-118 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Eastbourne where she beat Leylah Annie Fernandez in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Ningbo where she overcame Mirra Andreeva in the final 6-0 4-6 6-4.
The Russian has a composed 40-21 win-loss record in 2024, 24-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Sofia Kenin
12 - 24win/loss
81
4
LWWLWWWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-26 | 10-17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-21 | 17-12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-17 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-10 | 7-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 24-9 | 12-6 | 6-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 155, Sofia got to the quarter after beating Xinyu Wang 6-1 6-4 and Clara Tauson 6-7(8) 6-4 7-6(6).
In the 2nd round against Tauson, Sofia recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-78 6-4 7-66). During the match Kenin scored 120 points vs Tauson’s 114. Sofia was extremely aggressive to blast 56 winners.
About the serving games, Kenin struck 5 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Sofia Kenin was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (56/77) of her 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Sofia broke Tauson twice after converting 33% of her break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Sofia has a composed 12-24 win-loss record in 2024, 6-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 25 | 53 |
| Pts | 87-78 | 191-163 |
| Total Points | 165 | 354 |
| Winners | 38 | 86 |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% |
Kasatkina played 1 match while Kenin competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daria Kasatkina lost 1 set, while Sofia Kenin dropped 1 set. Kasatkina has played 2 set(s) less than Kenin (3 vs 5). Therefore, Kasatkina played 28 games less than Kenin. Kasatkina scored 38 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Sofia struck 86 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 57/79 | 113/159 |
| %1st in | 72% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 38/57 | 86/113 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 6/22 | 25/46 |
| %2nd pts | 27% | 54% |
Kasatkina recorded 3 aces . Kenin recorded 7 aces (3.5 per match). Kasatkina won 67% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 27% of the points. On the other side, Kenin won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 5 |
| Converted | 7/12 | 5/14 |
| % Converted | 58% | 36% |
| Conceded | 9 | 2 |
| Saved | 5 | 1 |
| % Saved | 56% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 |
Darya broke her opponent 7 times with a 58% conversion rate. Darya conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded. Sofia broke her opponents 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | |||
| R2 Kessler |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 87-78 | 87-78 | |
| Total points | 165 | 165 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 57/79 | 57/79 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 38/57 | 38/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/22 | 6/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 27% | 27% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/12 | 7/12 | |
| Converted % | 58% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Kenin | ||||
| R1 Wang |
R2 Tauson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-78 6-4 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 36 | 53 | |
| pts | 71-49 | 120-114 | 191-163 | |
| Total points | 120 | 234 | 354 | |
| Winners | 30 | 56 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 47% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 36/48 | 77/111 | 113/159 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 69% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 30/36 | 56/77 | 86/113 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 73% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 18/34 | 25/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 53% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 2/6 | 5/14 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 33% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWLWL
LWWLWWWWLL Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Patrik Niklas-SalminenNiklas-Salminen – Bart Van Den BergVan Den Berg (6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jelle SelsSels – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Harri HeliovaaraHeliovaara – Denys KlokKlok (3-1 def.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZhurbinZhurbin – Ryan NijboerNijboer (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Sofia KeninKenin – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
