Karen Khachanov and Gabriel Diallo will face off in the final of the Almaty Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karen Khachanov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karen Khachanov is the pick to win this match.
Karen Khachanov -> 1.58
Gabriel Diallo -> 2.38
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Prediction and head to head Karen Khachanov vs. Gabriel Diallo
This will be the 2nd time that Karen Khachanov and Gabriel Diallo face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Khachanov (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, Khachanov won 6-4 6-4 in the 1st round in Montreal back in August 2024.
Karen Khachanov
28 - 20win/loss
19
8
LWWWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-22 | 14-12 | 8-4 | 14-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-18 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-25 | 17-11 | 9-7 | 6-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-24 | 17-9 | 5-6 | 8-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-15 | 12-6 | 4-3 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 26, Khachanov reached the final after defeating Unknown Player bye, Otto Virtanen 7-6(2) 7-6(3), Beibit Zhukayev 6-2 6-4 and Aleksandar Vukic 6-7(3) 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal against Vukic, Karen recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-3 6-4). During the match, Khachanov scored 108 points vs Vukic’s 90. Karen was quite aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Regarding the service games, Khachanov made 15 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Karen Khachanov was extremely effective on serve to win 78% (46/59) of his 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Russian broke Vukic 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Khachanov has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Khachanov has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (364-236). 5-1 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Khachanov has a compiled 93-61 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Doha where he overcame Jakub Mensik in the final 7-6(12) 6-4.
Khachanov has an overall 28-20 win-loss record in 2024, 5-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Almaty
Gabriel Diallo
47 - 23win/loss
86
86
LWWLWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49-25 | 30-12 | 7-6 | 9-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-28 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 24-10 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 17-6 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 118, Gabriel reached the final after defeating Christopher O Connell 7-6(5) 6-2, Borna Coric 7-6(1) 6-4, Alejandro Tabilo 3-6 6-3 6-4 and Francisco Cerundolo 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Cerundolo (6-4 6-2). During the match Diallo scored 57 points vs Cerundolo’s 42. The Canadian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Diallo scored 5 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Gabriel Diallo was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (30/38) of his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Diallo was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Cerundolo 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Diallo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Chicago Challenger where he overcame Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 7-6(3).
Diallo has an overall 47-23 win-loss record in 2024, 7-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Khachanov | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 76 | 90 |
| Pts | 248-198 | 288-248 |
| Total Points | 446 | 536 |
| Winners | 111 | 157 |
| %Winners | 45% | 55% |
Khachanov played 3 matches while Diallo competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Karen Khachanov surrendered 1 set, while Gabriel Diallo conceded 1 set. Khachanov has played 2 set(s) less than Diallo (7 vs 9). Therefore, Khachanov played 14 games less than Diallo. The Russian scored 111 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian made 157 winners (55%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Khachanov | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 28 |
| Avg per match | 7.3 | 7 |
| 1st in | 135/206 | 200/263 |
| %1st in | 66% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 111/135 | 157/200 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 43/71 | 35/63 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 56% |
Khachanov struck 22 aces (7.3 per match). Diallo blasted 28 aces (7 per match). Khachanov won 82% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Diallo won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Khachanov | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 8 |
| Converted | 8/20 | 8/19 |
| % Converted | 40% | 42% |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Saved | 4 | 7 |
| % Saved | 57% | 88% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
Karen broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Russian lost his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. Gabriel conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.
| Khachanov | |||||
| R2 Virtanen |
1/4 Zhukayev |
1/2 Vukic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 7-63 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-73 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 18 | 32 | 76 | |
| pts | 77-61 | 63-47 | 108-90 | 248-198 | |
| Total points | 138 | 110 | 198 | 446 | |
| Winners | 37 | 28 | 46 | 111 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 44% | 43% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 2 | 15 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 42/67 | 34/48 | 59/91 | 135/206 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 71% | 65% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 37/42 | 28/34 | 46/59 | 111/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 82% | 78% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/25 | 9/14 | 17/32 | 43/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 64% | 53% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 1/1 | 3/10 | 4/9 | 8/20 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 30% | 44% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 0/0 | 3/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 60% | 37% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| Diallo | ||||||
| R1 O |
R2 Coric |
1/4 Tabilo |
1/2 Cerundolo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-2 | 7-61 6-4 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 23 | 28 | 18 | 90 | |
| pts | 70-60 | 72-65 | 89-81 | 57-42 | 288-248 | |
| Total points | 130 | 137 | 170 | 99 | 536 | |
| Winners | 43 | 40 | 44 | 30 | 157 | |
| %Winners | 61% | 56% | 49% | 53% | 55% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 52/62 | 48/67 | 62/82 | 38/52 | 200/263 | |
| % 1st in | 84% | 72% | 76% | 73% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 43/52 | 40/48 | 44/62 | 30/38 | 157/200 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | 71% | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/10 | 9/19 | 14/20 | 8/14 | 35/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 47% | 70% | 57% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 1/4 | 2/6 | 3/3 | 8/19 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 25% | 33% | 100% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 2/2 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 125% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Gabriel DialloDiallo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
