Kimberly Birrell and Aoi Ito will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:30 pm on Center Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Kimberly Birrell who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Kimberly Birrell is the pick to win this match.
Kimberly Birrell -> 1.61
Aoi Ito -> 2.32
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Prediction and head to head Kimberly Birrell vs. Aoi Ito
This will be the 2nd time that Kimberly Birrell and Aoi Ito fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Birrell (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Birrell won 7-6(6) 7-5 in the quarter in the W75 Fukuoka back in May 2024.
Kimberly Birrell
38 - 25win/loss
114
100
LWLLWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-29 | 22-19 | 1-1 | 1-5 | 12-4 | 5-0 |
| 2023 | 42-33 | 32-21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| 2022 | 41-25 | 38-20 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 150, Kimberly got to the semifinal after beating Sayaka Ishii 6-2 3-6 6-3, Jessika Ponchet 7-5 3-6 6-2, Saisai Zheng 6-2 6-3, Elise Mertens 3-6 7-5 4-1 ret. and Sara Saito 7-5 6-4.
In the quarter, Kimberly had a good straight sets win against Saito (7-5 6-4). During the match, Birrell scored 74 points vs Saito’s 61. Birrell was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Birrell bagged 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Kimberly Birrell lost the serve once. Furthermore, Birrell put 70% of her first serves in, winning 67% (30/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Saito 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Birrell started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has dropped 2 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points she played.
Birrell has winning record in the last 10 years having won 55% of her matches (207-172). 20-17 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Birrell has an overall 150-114 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title the W75 Fukuoka where she defeated Emina Bektas in the final 6-2 6-4.
Birrell has a compiled 38-25 win-loss record in 2024, 20-17 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Osaka
Kimberly has never competed in this tournament before.
Aoi Ito
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 62-24 | 50-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12-3 |
| 2023 | 50-29 | 44-22 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 3-4 |
| 2022 | 26-11 | 17-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 4-2 |
| 2021 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 188 (career-high), Aoi reached the semifinal after defeating Emina Bektas 6-3 6-4, Arianne Hartono 3-6 6-3 6-4, Sofia Kenin 6-2 3-6 7-5, Elisabetta Cocciaretto 6-4 6-3 and Eva Lys 6-7(8) 6-2 6-3.
In the quarter against Lys, The Japanese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-78 6-2 6-3). During the match Ito scored 109 points vs Lys’s 94. The Japanese was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Ito managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Aoi Ito lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Ito put 72% of her first serves in, winning 64% (43/67) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Lys 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ito started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title the W50 Nanao where she beat Ayano Shimizu in the final 6-2 6-1.
Aoi has a compiled 56-21 win-loss record in 2024, 48-19 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Osaka
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Birrell | Ito |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 14 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 120 | 125 |
| Pts | 415-354 | 440-390 |
| Total Points | 769 | 830 |
| Winners | 166 | 197 |
| %Winners | 40% | 45% |
Both Birrell and Ito played 5 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Kimberly Birrell lost 3 sets, while Aoi Ito dropped 3 sets. Birrell has played 1 set more than Ito (14 vs 13). However, it’s interesting to notice that Birrell played 5 games less than Ito. Kimberly scored 166 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Aoi bagged 197 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Birrell | Ito |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st in | 236/364 | 329/433 |
| %1st in | 65% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 166/236 | 197/329 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 60% |
| 2nd pts | 72/128 | 51/104 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 49% |
Birrell struck 18 aces (3.6 per match). Ito bagged 16 aces (3.2 per match). Birrell won 70% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Ito won 60% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Birrell | Ito |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 28 |
| Converted | 20/46 | 28/47 |
| % Converted | 43% | 60% |
| Conceded | 27 | 43 |
| Saved | 18 | 25 |
| % Saved | 67% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 18 |
Birrell broke her opponents 20 times with a 43% conversion rate. Kimberly conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Aoi broke her opponents 28 times with a 60% conversion rate. Ito conceded her serve 18 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded.
| Birrell | |||||||
| Q1 Ishii |
Q3 Ponchet |
R1 Zheng |
R2 Mertens |
1/4 Saito |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | 7-5 3-6 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | 3-6 7-5 4-1 ret. | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 29 | 17 | 26 | 22 | 120 | |
| pts | 95-81 | 90-88 | 59-32 | 97-92 | 74-61 | 415-354 | |
| Total points | 176 | 178 | 91 | 189 | 135 | 769 | |
| Winners | 36 | 42 | 20 | 38 | 30 | 166 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 47% | 34% | 39% | 41% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 51/77 | 58/88 | 23/41 | 59/94 | 45/64 | 236/364 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | 56% | 63% | 70% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 36/51 | 42/58 | 20/23 | 38/59 | 30/45 | 166/236 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 72% | 87% | 64% | 67% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/26 | 13/30 | 11/18 | 18/35 | 13/19 | 72/128 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 43% | 61% | 51% | 68% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 4/7 | 5/8 | 4/12 | 3/6 | 20/46 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 57% | 63% | 33% | 50% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 27 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 10/13 | 0/1 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | 67% | 77% | 0% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | |
| Ito | |||||||
| Q1 Bektas |
Q3 Hartono |
R1 Kenin |
R2 Cocciaretto |
1/4 Lys |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 3-6 7-5 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-78 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 28 | 29 | 19 | 30 | 125 | |
| pts | 68-55 | 91-87 | 104-96 | 68-58 | 109-94 | 440-390 | |
| Total points | 123 | 178 | 200 | 126 | 203 | 830 | |
| Winners | 42 | 34 | 45 | 33 | 43 | 197 | |
| %Winners | 62% | 37% | 43% | 49% | 39% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 6 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 54/67 | 68/88 | 87/112 | 53/73 | 67/93 | 329/433 | |
| % 1st in | 81% | 77% | 78% | 73% | 72% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 42/54 | 34/68 | 45/87 | 33/53 | 43/67 | 197/329 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 50% | 52% | 62% | 64% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/13 | 11/20 | 14/25 | 6/20 | 14/26 | 51/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 55% | 56% | 30% | 54% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 2 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 28 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 8/12 | 7/12 | 5/9 | 6/10 | 28/47 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 67% | 58% | 56% | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 43 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 3/10 | 12/18 | 2/5 | 4/6 | 25 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 30% | 67% | 40% | 67% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWLWWWW
WWLWWWWLLW Tennis Scores in Osaka
- Cheong-Eui KimKim – Quentin RobertRobert (6-1 5-7 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- David Perez SanzPerez Sanz – Marco BrugnerottoBrugnerotto (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Suzan LamensLamens – Diane ParryParry (0-1) – H2H and prediction
