Mackenzie Mcdonald and Rio Noguchi will fight against each other in the 2^nd round of the Shenzhen Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 10:30 am on COURT 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mackenzie Mcdonald who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mackenzie Mcdonald is the pick to win this match.
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 1.105
Rio Noguchi -> 5.85

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Prediction and head to head Mackenzie Mcdonald vs. Rio Noguchi

There is no head to head record between Mackenzie Mcdonald and Rio Noguchi since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Mackenzie Mcdonald

Ranked no. 137, the American reached the 2^nd round after defeating Thomas Fancutt 7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-1.

In the 1^st round, The American defeated Fancutt (7-6⁵ 6-7⁵ 6-1). During the match, Mcdonald scored 115 points vs Fancutt’s 100. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 48 winners.

Talking about the service games, Mcdonald managed to score 11 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Mackenzie Mcdonald was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (48/62) of his 1st serve and 57% (27/47) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mackenzie broke Fancutt 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Mcdonald has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (291-227). 13-11 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mcdonald has an overall 185-126 match record in the last years on hard.

Mackenzie’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Nonthaburi 4 Challenger and the Hangzhou Challenger.

Mcdonald has a compiled 19-21 win-loss record in 2024, 13-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Shenzhen Challenger

Mackenzie has never competed in this tournament before.

Rio Noguchi

Ranked no. 260, Noguchi reached the 2^nd round after beating Yusuke Takahashi 6-3 6-2.

In the 1^st round, Noguchi had a good straight sets win against Takahashi (6-3 6-2). During the match Noguchi scored 56 points vs Takahashi’s 35. Noguchi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 17 winners.

About the serving games, Noguchi made 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Rio Noguchi lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Noguchi put 64% of his first serves in, winning 63% (17/27) of the points behind his 1st serve and 80% (12/15) on the 2nd serve. Noguchi broke Takahashi 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Rio’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Swan Hill,the Jinan Challenger and M25 Cairns.

The Japanese has an aggregate 41-26 win-loss record in 2024, 36-19 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Mcdonald	Noguchi
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	2
Tot Games	33	17
Pts	115-100	56-35
Total Points	215	91
Winners	48	17
%Winners	42%	30%

Both Mcdonald and Noguchi played 1 match. At the moment, Mackenzie Mcdonald dropped 1 set while Rio Noguchi hasn’t dropped a set so far. Mcdonald has played 1 set more than Noguchi (3 vs 2). Therefore, Mcdonald played 16 games more than Noguchi. The American scored 48 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Noguchi managed to score 17 winners (30%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Mcdonald	Noguchi
Aces	11	2
Avg per match	11	2
1st in	62/109	27/42
%1st in	57%	64%
1st pts	48/62	17/27
%1st pts	77%	63%
2nd pts	27/47	12/15
%2nd pts	57%	80%

Mcdonald bagged 11 aces . Noguchi recorded 2 aces . Mcdonald won 77% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Noguchi won 63% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 80% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Mcdonald	Noguchi
Won	3	5
Converted	3/7	5/8
% Converted	43%	63%
Conceded	3	2
Saved	2	0
% Saved	67%	0%
Times Broken	1	2

The American broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Mackenzie surrendered his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Rio conceded his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Mcdonald
	R1 Fancutt	Total
Score	7-65 6-75 6-1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	33	33
pts	115-100	115-100
Total points	215	215
Winners	48	48
%Winners	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	11	11
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	62/109	62/109
% 1st in	57%	57%
1st pts	48/62	48/62
% 1st pts	77%	77%
2nd pts	27/47	27/47
% 2nd pts	57%	57%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/7	3/7
Converted %	43%	43%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	2/3	2
Saved %	67%	67%
Times Broken	1	1

Noguchi
	R1 Takahashi	Total
Score	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	17	17
pts	56-35	56-35
Total points	91	91
Winners	17	17
%Winners	30%	30%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	27/42	27/42
% 1st in	64%	64%
1st pts	17/27	17/27
% 1st pts	63%	63%
2nd pts	12/15	12/15
% 2nd pts	80%	80%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/8	5/8
Converted %	63%	63%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	0/2	0
Saved %	0%	0%
Times Broken	2	2

Tennis Scores in Shenzhen Challenger

• Yan BaiBai – Mukund SasikumarSasikumar (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Saba PurtseladzePurtseladze – Billy HarrisHarris (6-4 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Adam WaltonWalton – Fajing SunSun (7-6⁵ 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• James McCabeMcCabe – Linang XiaoXiao (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Kris Van WykVan Wyk – Ramkumar RamanathanRamanathan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur WeberWeber – Rigele TeTe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Saba PurtseladzePurtseladze – Yan BaiBai (0-0) – H2H and prediction