Mackenzie Mcdonald and Rio Noguchi will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Shenzhen Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 10:30 am on COURT 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mackenzie Mcdonald who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mackenzie Mcdonald is the pick to win this match.
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 1.105
Rio Noguchi -> 5.85
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Prediction and head to head Mackenzie Mcdonald vs. Rio Noguchi
There is no head to head record between Mackenzie Mcdonald and Rio Noguchi since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Mackenzie Mcdonald
19 - 21win/loss
132
37
LWLWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-23 | 18-12 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-30 | 23-15 | 0-6 | 4-3 | 8-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 16-16 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-26 | 15-12 | 12-5 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-16 | 10-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 137, the American reached the 2nd round after defeating Thomas Fancutt 7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-1.
In the 1st round, The American defeated Fancutt (7-65 6-75 6-1). During the match, Mcdonald scored 115 points vs Fancutt’s 100. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mcdonald managed to score 11 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Mackenzie Mcdonald was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (48/62) of his 1st serve and 57% (27/47) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mackenzie broke Fancutt 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Mcdonald has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (291-227). 13-11 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mcdonald has an overall 185-126 match record in the last years on hard.
Mackenzie’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Nonthaburi 4 Challenger and the Hangzhou Challenger.
Mcdonald has a compiled 19-21 win-loss record in 2024, 13-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Shenzhen Challenger
Mackenzie has never competed in this tournament before.
Rio Noguchi
41 - 26win/loss
301
201
LLLLLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-31 | 36-22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-31 | 12-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-22 | 41-10 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-26 | 18-18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-12 | 5-6 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 260, Noguchi reached the 2nd round after beating Yusuke Takahashi 6-3 6-2.
In the 1st round, Noguchi had a good straight sets win against Takahashi (6-3 6-2). During the match Noguchi scored 56 points vs Takahashi’s 35. Noguchi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 17 winners.
About the serving games, Noguchi made 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Rio Noguchi lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Noguchi put 64% of his first serves in, winning 63% (17/27) of the points behind his 1st serve and 80% (12/15) on the 2nd serve. Noguchi broke Takahashi 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Rio’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Swan Hill,the Jinan Challenger and M25 Cairns.
The Japanese has an aggregate 41-26 win-loss record in 2024, 36-19 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mcdonald | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 17 |
| Pts | 115-100 | 56-35 |
| Total Points | 215 | 91 |
| Winners | 48 | 17 |
| %Winners | 42% | 30% |
Both Mcdonald and Noguchi played 1 match. At the moment, Mackenzie Mcdonald dropped 1 set while Rio Noguchi hasn’t dropped a set so far. Mcdonald has played 1 set more than Noguchi (3 vs 2). Therefore, Mcdonald played 16 games more than Noguchi. The American scored 48 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Noguchi managed to score 17 winners (30%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mcdonald | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 2 |
| 1st in | 62/109 | 27/42 |
| %1st in | 57% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 48/62 | 17/27 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 27/47 | 12/15 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 80% |
Mcdonald bagged 11 aces . Noguchi recorded 2 aces . Mcdonald won 77% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Noguchi won 63% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 80% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mcdonald | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 43% | 63% |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 67% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
The American broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Mackenzie surrendered his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Rio conceded his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mcdonald | |||
| R1 Fancutt |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-75 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 115-100 | 115-100 | |
| Total points | 215 | 215 | |
| Winners | 48 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 62/109 | 62/109 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 48/62 | 48/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/47 | 27/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Noguchi | |||
| R1 Takahashi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 56-35 | 56-35 | |
| Total points | 91 | 91 | |
| Winners | 17 | 17 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 27/42 | 27/42 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 17/27 | 17/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/15 | 12/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 80% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWWWW
LLLLLWWWWW Tennis Scores in Shenzhen Challenger
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- Saba PurtseladzePurtseladze – Billy HarrisHarris (6-4 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Adam WaltonWalton – Fajing SunSun (7-65 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- James McCabeMcCabe – Linang XiaoXiao (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kris Van WykVan Wyk – Ramkumar RamanathanRamanathan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur WeberWeber – Rigele TeTe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Saba PurtseladzePurtseladze – Yan BaiBai (0-0) – H2H and prediction
