Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida will face off in the 2nd round of the Villa Maria Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:00 pm on CANCHA 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is the pick to win this match.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida -> 1.58
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi -> 2.26

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Prediction and head to head Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

There is no head to head record between Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

36 - 23win/loss

Clay
36-23
Rank
406
High
367
LLLWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 42-30 1-3 41-27 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 45-23 0-0 45-23 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 29-14 0-1 29-13 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 367 (career-high), Emanuel Ambrogi reached the 2nd round after beating Mateus Alves 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Alves (6-4 6-4). During the match, Emanuel Ambrogi scored 62 points vs Alves’s 51. Emanuel Ambrogi was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Emanuel Ambrogi couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the match and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi was extremely effective on serve to win 78% (32/41) of his 1st serve and 73% (8/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Emanuel Ambrogi broke Alves twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Emanuel Ambrogi has a solid match record in the last 3 years having won 65% of his matches (110-59). 36-22 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Emanuel Ambrogi has a compiled110-58 match record in the last 3 years on clay.

Luciano’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Bragado.

Emanuel Ambrogi has an overall 36-22 win-loss record in 2024, 36-22 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Villa Maria Challenger

Emanuel Ambrogi has never competed in this tournament before.

Villa Maria Challenger
Emanuel Ambrogi's Record

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

28 - 21win/loss

Clay
28-21
Rank
303
High
190
LLLWWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 38-27 0-1 38-26 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 20-25 1-3 19-22 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 29-29 1-3 27-24 0-0 1-2 0-0
2021 72-29 0-0 72-29 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 17-9 13-7 4-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 374, Pucinelli De Almeida got to the 2nd round after beating Juan Manuel La Serna 6-3 6-2, Alex Barrena 6-3 6-3 and Francisco Comesana 7-6(4) 6-4.

In the 1st round, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Comesana (7-64 6-4). During the match Pucinelli De Almeida scored 70 points vs Comesana’s 67. Pucinelli De Almeida was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Pucinelli De Almeida scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Pucinelli De Almeida put 62% of his first serves in, winning 70% (33/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (13/29) on the 2nd serve. Pucinelli De Almeida broke Comesana 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Pucinelli De Almeida’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Piracicaba Challenger and M25 Maribor.

Matheus has a compiled 27-21 win-loss record in 2024, 27-21 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Villa Maria Challenger
Pucinelli De Almeida's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

L.Emanuel Ambrogi
M.Pucinelli Almeida
1h:27
1h:27
Time on court​
!
4h:45
4h:45
1h:27
1h:27
Last match​
1h:52
1h:52
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
20
20
Games Played​
58
58
2
2
Set played​​
6
6
62
62
Total points​
207
207
62
62
Avg point​
69
69
32
32
Winners
79
79
32
32
Avg Winners​
26.3
26.3
52%
52%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
0
0
Aces
2
2
0
0
Avg Aces
0.7
0.7
0
0
Double Faults
4
4
0
0
Avg Double Faults
1.3
1.3
32/41
32/41
1st won total​
79/111
79/111
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
8/11
8/11
2nd won total​
35/66
35/66
!
73%
73%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
2/5
2/5
BP won
12/23
12/23
2/5
2/5
Avg BP won
4/7.7
4/7.7
40%
40%
Won
!
52%
52%
0
0
Conceded
10
10
0
0
Avg Conceded
3.3
3.3
0
0
Broken
5
5
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1.7
1.7
0
0
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Emanuel Ambrogi Pucinelli De Almeida
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 2 6
Tot Games 20 58
Pts 62-51 207-161
Total Points 113 368
Winners 32 79
%Winners 52% 38%

Emanuel Ambrogi played 1 match while Pucinelli De Almeida competed in 3 matches. Pucinelli De Almeida started his run from the qualifications while Emanuel Ambrogi had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Emanuel Ambrogi has played 4 set(s) less than Pucinelli De Almeida (2 vs 6). Therefore, Emanuel Ambrogi played 38 games less than Pucinelli De Almeida. Luciano scored 32 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian blasted 79 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Emanuel Ambrogi Pucinelli De Almeida
Aces 0 2
Avg per match 0 0.7
1st in 41/52 111/177
%1st in 79% 63%
1st pts 32/41 79/111
%1st pts 78% 71%
2nd pts 8/11 35/66
%2nd pts 73% 53%

Emanuel Ambrogi didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Pucinelli De Almeida made 2 aces (0.7 per match). Emanuel Ambrogi won 78% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 73% of the points. On the other side, Pucinelli De Almeida won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Emanuel Ambrogi Pucinelli De Almeida
Won 2 12
Converted 2/5 12/23
% Converted 40% 52%
Conceded 0 10
Saved 0 5
% Saved 0% 50%
Times Broken 0 5

Emanuel Ambrogi broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. The Argentine had a solid display on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Brazilian broke his opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. Matheus conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Emanuel Ambrogi
R1
Alves
Total
Score 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 20
pts 62-51 62-51
Total points 113 113
Winners 32 32
%Winners 52% 52%
SERVE
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 41/52 41/52
% 1st in 79% 79%
1st pts 32/41 32/41
% 1st pts 78% 78%
2nd pts 8/11 8/11
% 2nd pts 73% 73%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/5 2/5
Converted % 40% 40%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Pucinelli De Almeida
Q1
Manuel La Serna
Q3
Barrena
R1
Comesana
Total
Score 6-3 6-2 6-3 6-3 7-64 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 17 18 23 58
pts 64-42 73-52 70-67 207-161
Total points 106 125 137 368
Winners 20 26 33 79
%Winners 31% 36% 47% 38%
SERVE
Aces 0 1 1 2
Double Faults 2 0 2 4
1st in 29/52 35/49 47/76 111/177
% 1st in 56% 71% 62% 63%
1st pts 20/29 26/35 33/47 79/111
% 1st pts 69% 74% 70% 71%
2nd pts 13/23 9/14 13/29 35/66
% 2nd pts 57% 64% 45% 53%
Breaks
Won 5 4 3 12
Converted 5/7 4/12 3/4 12/23
Converted % 71% 33% 75% 52%
Conceded 3 2 5 10
Saved 1/3 1/2 3/5 5
Saved % 33% 50% 60% 143%
Times Broken 2 1 2 5

Tennis Scores in Villa Maria Challenger

  • Luciano Emanuel AmbrogiEmanuel AmbrogiMateus AlvesAlves (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Boris Arias/Federico ZeballosArias/Federico ZeballosTristan Boyer/Juan Pablo FicovichBoyer/Juan Pablo Ficovich (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
  • Facundo MenaMenaLautaro MidonMidon (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
  • Federico CoriaCoriaGonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva (6-4 7-67) – See score progression
  • Andrea CollariniCollariniJuan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (2-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
  • Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPucinelli De AlmeidaFrancisco ComesanaComesana (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
  • Scott Duncan/Hunter ReeseDuncan/Hunter ReeseMateo Del Pino/Juan Manuel La SernaDel Pino/Juan Manuel La Serna (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
  • Hugo DellienDellienSantiago Rodriguez TavernaRodriguez Taverna (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
  • Gustavo HeideHeideNicolas KickerKicker (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
  • Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres BurruchagaGenaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
  • Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni AlvesHady HabibHabib (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
  • Tristan BoyerBoyerMurkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Federico Agustin GomezAgustin GomezAlvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza (3-6 7-5 7-60) – See score progression
  • Adolfo Daniel VallejoDaniel VallejoGonzalo BuenoBueno (5-7 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel CerundoloJuan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
  • Jesper De JongDe JongJuan Bautista TorresBautista Torres (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo CarabelliRenzo OlivoOlivo (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
  • Pedro SakamotoSakamotoJuan Ignacio LonderoIgnacio Londero (7-5 6-73 6-0) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw