Mateus Alves and Orlando Luz will play each other in the qualifications of the Villa Maria Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 12:30 pm on CANCHA 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Orlando Luz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Orlando Luz is the pick to win this match.
Orlando Luz -> 1.74
Mateus Alves -> 2
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Mateus Alves vs. Orlando Luz
This will be the 2nd time that Mateus Alves and Orlando Luz clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alves (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Alves won 6-4 6-4 in the qualifications in the Sao Leopoldo Challenger back in 2022.
Mateus Alves
40 - 22win/loss
282
279
WWWLWLWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-26 | 3-1 | 43-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-28 | 4-7 | 26-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-15 | 5-1 | 17-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-33 | 21-20 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 45-15 | 45-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 299, Alves reached the qualifications after defeating Leonardo Aboian 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications, Alves had a good straight sets win against Aboian (6-3 6-4). During the match, Alves scored 64 points vs Aboian’s 55. The Brazilian was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alves made 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Mateus Alves was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (30/41) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alves broke Aboian 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Alves has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 59% of his matches (202-141). 36-21 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alves has an overall117-94 record in the last 7 years on clay.
Alves’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Maceio,M25 Marburg and the Bogota Challenger.
Alves has an overall 39-22 win-loss record in 2024, 36-21 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Villa Maria Challenger
Mateus has never competed in this tournament before.
Orlando Luz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-23 | 0-0 | 25-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-21 | 0-1 | 34-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-18 | 0-0 | 24-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-28 | 0-2 | 40-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 399, Luz got to the qualifications after beating Tomas Farjat 6-2 6-1.
In the qualifications, Luz had a good straight sets win against Farjat (6-2 6-1). During the match Luz scored 57 points vs Farjat’s 35. Luz was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Luz managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Orlando Luz was extremely efficient on serve to win 84% (21/25) of his 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Brazilian broke Farjat 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Luz has a composed 18-19 win-loss record in 2024, 18-19 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alves | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 15 |
| Pts | 64-55 | 57-35 |
| Total Points | 119 | 92 |
| Winners | 30 | 21 |
| %Winners | 47% | 37% |
Both Alves and Luz played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Alves and Luz have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Alves played 4 games more than Luz. Mateus scored 30 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian recorded 21 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alves | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 3 |
| 1st in | 41/64 | 25/42 |
| %1st in | 64% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 30/41 | 21/25 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 9/17 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 53% |
Alves made 6 aces . Luz scored 3 aces . Alves won 73% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Luz won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alves | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/9 |
| % Converted | 50% | 56% |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 |
| Saved | 4 | 0 |
| % Saved | 80% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Mateus broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The Brazilian broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Luz was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Alves | |||
| Q1 Aboian |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 64-55 | 64-55 | |
| Total points | 119 | 119 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 41/64 | 41/64 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 30/41 | 30/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 12/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Luz | |||
| Q1 Farjat |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 57-35 | 57-35 | |
| Total points | 92 | 92 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 25/42 | 25/42 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 21/25 | 21/25 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 9/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWLWWLL
WWWLWWLWWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Renzo OlivoOlivo – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro SakamotoSakamoto – Juan Ignacio LonderoIgnacio Londero (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo DellienDellien – Santiago Fa Rodriguez TavernaFa Rodriguez Taverna (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas KickerKicker – Guido Ivan JustoIvan Justo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Andrea CollariniCollarini (8-2) – H2H and prediction
- Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco – Tristan BoyerBoyer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hady HabibHabib – Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mateus De Carvalho CardosoDe Carvalho Cardoso – Orlando LuzLuz (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
