Mateus Alves and Orlando Luz will square off in the qualifications of the Villa Maria Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:30 pm on CANCHA 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Orlando Luz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Orlando Luz is the pick to win this match.
Orlando Luz -> 1.74
Mateus Alves -> 2
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Prediction and head to head Mateus Alves vs. Orlando Luz
This will be the 2nd time that Mateus Alves and Orlando Luz fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alves (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Alves won 6-4 6-4 in the qualifications in the Sao Leopoldo Challenger back in 2022.
Mateus Alves
39 - 22win/loss
299
293
WLWLLWWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-22 | 3-1 | 36-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-28 | 4-7 | 26-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-15 | 5-1 | 17-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-33 | 21-20 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 45-15 | 45-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 299, the Brazilian got to the qualifications after defeating Leonardo Aboian 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications, Alves had a good straight sets win against Aboian (6-3 6-4). During the match, Alves scored 64 points vs Aboian’s 55. Alves was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alves managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Mateus Alves was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (30/41) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Brazilian broke Aboian 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Alves has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 59% of his matches (202-141). 36-21 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alves has a composed117-94 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.
The Brazilian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Maceio,M25 Marburg and the Bogota Challenger.
Mateus has a composed 39-22 win-loss record in 2024, 36-21 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Villa Maria Challenger
Alves has never competed in this tournament before.
Orlando Luz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-19 | 0-0 | 18-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-21 | 0-1 | 34-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-18 | 0-0 | 24-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-28 | 0-2 | 40-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 399, Orlando got to the qualifications after beating Tomas Farjat 6-2 6-1.
In the qualifications, Orlando had a good straight sets win against Farjat (6-2 6-1). During the match Luz scored 57 points vs Farjat’s 35. The Brazilian was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Luz struck 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Orlando Luz was very effective on serve to win 84% (21/25) of his 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Luz broke Farjat 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Luz has an overall 18-19 win-loss record in 2024, 18-19 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alves | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 15 |
| Pts | 64-55 | 57-35 |
| Total Points | 119 | 92 |
| Winners | 30 | 21 |
| %Winners | 47% | 37% |
Both Alves and Luz played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Alves and Luz have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Alves played 4 games more than Luz. The Brazilian scored 30 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Luz blasted 21 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alves | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 3 |
| 1st in | 41/64 | 25/42 |
| %1st in | 64% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 30/41 | 21/25 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 9/17 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 53% |
Alves made 6 aces . Luz bagged 3 aces . Alves won 73% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Luz won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alves | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/9 |
| % Converted | 50% | 56% |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 |
| Saved | 4 | 0 |
| % Saved | 80% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Alves broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Brazilian lost his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Orlando broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Orlando was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Alves | |||
| Q1 Aboian |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 64-55 | 64-55 | |
| Total points | 119 | 119 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 41/64 | 41/64 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 30/41 | 30/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 12/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Luz | |||
| Q1 Farjat |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 57-35 | 57-35 | |
| Total points | 92 | 92 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 25/42 | 25/42 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 21/25 | 21/25 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 9/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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