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H2H, prediction of Cori Gauff vs Paula Badosa in Beijing with odds, preview, pick | 5th October 2024

PREVIEW. Beijing. Gauff and Badosa will square off in the semifinal of the China Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Saturday the 5th of October

Mark Hall

4 October 2024

Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Paula Badosa

Cori Gauff and Paula Badosa will square off in the semifinal of the China Open for the 6^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CAPITAL GROUP DIAMOND. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Cori Gauff is the pick to win this match.
Cori Gauff -> 1.75
Paula Badosa -> 2.08

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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Paula Badosa

This will be the 6^th time that Cori Gauff and Paula Badosa fight against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Badosa (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Gauff won 5-7 6-4 6-1 in the 4^th round in Rome back in May 2024.

Highlights Cori Gauff vs Paula Badosa – Rome 13-May-2024

Cori Gauff

45 - 15win/loss

Hard

26-8

I Hard

0-0

Clay

14-5

Grass

5-2

Rank
3

High
2

WWLWWLWWWW

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2024	54-17	31-9	14-5	4-1	5-2	0-0
2023	51-16	40-9	7-4	0-0	4-3	0-0
2022	38-23	23-16	10-4	0-1	5-2	0-0
2021	36-16	16-10	16-4	0-0	4-2	0-0
2020	12-8	7-5	2-2	3-1	0-0	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 6, Cori got to the semifinal after beating Clara Burel 7-5 6-3, Katie Boulter 7-5 6-2, Naomi Osaka 3-6 6-4 ret. and Yuliia Starodubtseva 2-6 6-2 6-2.

In the quarter against Starodubtseva, Gauff recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-2 6-2). During the match, Gauff scored 84 points vs Starodubtseva’s 70. Gauff was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Gauff recorded 2 aces and she was not very steady on her 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve 3 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 54% of her first serves in, winning 79% (33/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (15/36) on the 2nd serve. Gauff broke Starodubtseva 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Cori has conceded 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points she played.

Gauff has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 69% of her matches (220-97). 26-8 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Gauff has an overall125-56 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Auckland where she beat Elina Svitolina in the final 6-7(4) 6-3 6-3.

Cori has a compiled 45-15 win-loss record in 2024, 26-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Beijing

Gauff's Record

Paula Badosa

34 - 16win/loss

Hard

23-9

I Hard

0-0

Clay

6-5

Grass

5-2

Rank
12

High
2

LLWWWLWWWW

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2024	37-19	26-11	6-5	0-1	5-2	0-0
2023	18-9	6-4	11-4	0-0	1-1	0-0
2022	32-22	20-13	8-5	1-2	3-2	0-0
2021	43-17	19-9	17-3	4-3	3-2	0-0
2020	14-9	7-6	6-2	1-1	0-0	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 19, Paula reached the semifinal after beating Unknown Player bye, Viktoriya Tomova 6-3 6-2, Rebecca Sramkova 7-5 7-5, Jessica Pegula 6-4 6-0 and Shuai Zhang 6-1 7-6(4).

In the quarter, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Zhang (6-1 7-6⁴). During the match Badosa scored 74 points vs Zhang’s 52. Paula was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about serving, Badosa recorded 10 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Paula Badosa lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 60% of her first serves in, winning 78% (31/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. Paula broke Zhang 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Washington where she defeated Marie Bouzkova in the final 6-1 4-6 6-4.

The Spaniard has an aggregate 34-16 win-loss record in 2024, 23-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2019. See her history.

Beijing

Badosa's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Gauff

P.Badosa

6h:23

Time on court

5h:40

1h:51

Last match

1h:23

Match played

Games Played

Set played

299

Total points

278

74.8

Avg point

69.5

117

Winners

102

29.3

Avg Winners

25.5

39%

Ratio winners

37%

-- Serve --

Aces

3.5

Avg Aces

3.8

Double Faults

6.5

Avg Double Faults

4.8

117/157

1st won total

102/143

75%

1st won %

71%

42/103

2nd won total

59/113

41%

2nd won %

52%

-- Break Points --

19/42

BP won

18/31

4.8/10.5

Avg BP won

4.5/7.8

45%

Won

58%

Conceded

6.5

Avg Conceded

Broken

Avg Broken

1.5

Saved

See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Gauff	Badosa
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	8
Tot Games	84	77
Pts	299-255	278-205
Total Points	554	483
Winners	117	102
%Winners	39%	37%

Both Gauff and Badosa played 4 matches. At the moment, Cori Gauff lost 2 sets while Paula Badosa hasn’t conceded a set so far. Gauff has played 2 sets more than Badosa (10 vs 8). Therefore, Gauff played 7 games more than Badosa. Gauff scored 117 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard blasted 102 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Gauff	Badosa
Aces	14	15
Avg per match	3.5	3.8
1st in	157/260	143/256
%1st in	60%	56%
1st pts	117/157	102/143
%1st pts	75%	71%
2nd pts	42/103	59/113
%2nd pts	41%	52%

Gauff recorded 14 aces (3.5 per match). Badosa scored 15 aces (3.8 per match). Gauff won 75% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Gauff	Badosa
Won	19	18
Converted	19/42	18/31
% Converted	45%	58%
Conceded	26	20
Saved	14	14
% Saved	54%	70%
Times Broken	12	6

Cori broke her opponents 19 times with a 45% conversion rate. Gauff conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded. Badosa broke her opponents 18 times with a 58% conversion rate. Paula conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.

	R2 Burel	R3 Boulter	R4 Osaka	1/4 Starodubtseva	Total
Gauff
Score	7-5 6-3	7-5 6-2	3-6 6-4 ret.	2-6 6-2 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	21	20	19	24	84
pts	82-72	66-50	67-63	84-70	299-255
Total points	154	116	130	154	554
Winners	31	32	21	33	117
%Winners	38%	48%	31%	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	1	5	6	2	14
Double Faults	6	3	6	11	26
1st in	44/68	39/55	32/59	42/78	157/260
% 1st in	65%	71%	54%	54%	60%
1st pts	31/44	32/39	21/32	33/42	117/157
% 1st pts	70%	82%	66%	79%	75%
2nd pts	9/24	8/16	10/27	15/36	42/103
% 2nd pts	38%	50%	37%	42%	41%
Breaks
Won	5	4	5	5	19
Converted	5/17	4/7	5/11	5/7	19/42
Converted %	29%	57%	45%	71%	45%
Conceded	6	1	6	13	26
Saved	3/6	0/1	1/6	10/13	14
Saved %	50%	0%	17%	77%	36%
Times Broken	3	1	5	3	12

	R2 Tomova	R3 Sramkova	R4 Pegula	1/4 Zhang	Total
Badosa
Score	6-3 6-2	7-5 7-5	6-4 6-0	6-1 7-6⁴
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	17	24	16	20	77
pts	67-47	80-72	57-34	74-52	278-205
Total points	114	152	91	126	483
Winners	23	30	18	31	102
%Winners	34%	38%	32%	42%	37%
SERVE
Aces	2	3	0	10	15
Double Faults	4	5	5	5	19
1st in	33/63	51/76	19/50	40/67	143/256
% 1st in	52%	67%	38%	60%	56%
1st pts	23/33	30/51	18/19	31/40	102/143
% 1st pts	70%	59%	95%	78%	71%
2nd pts	17/30	15/25	15/31	12/27	59/113
% 2nd pts	57%	60%	48%	44%	52%
Breaks
Won	4	5	5	4	18
Converted	4/9	5/12	5/5	4/5	18/31
Converted %	44%	42%	100%	80%	58%
Conceded	6	10	2	2	20
Saved	5/6	7/10	1/2	1/2	14
Saved %	83%	70%	50%	50%	63%
Times Broken	1	3	1	1	6