Jelle Sels and Mathias Bourgue will face off in the 1st round of the Mouilleron for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:30 pm on ANNEXE. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelle Sels who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelle Sels is the pick to win this match.
Jelle Sels -> 1.57
Mathias Bourgue -> 2.28
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Prediction and head to head Jelle Sels vs. Mathias Bourgue
This will be the 3rd time that Jelle Sels and Mathias Bourgue face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Bourgue (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Bourgue won 6-1 7-6(6) in the 1st round in the Pau Challenger back in 2023.
Jelle Sels
43 - 21win/loss
292
127
LLLLWLLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48-29 | 13-6 | 28-15 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-27 | 5-4 | 3-14 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-33 | 0-0 | 26-17 | 22-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-31 | 2-3 | 14-13 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2020 | 18-10 | 0-1 | 14-8 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 319, Jelle reached the 1st round after defeating Lucas Miedler 6-3 6-2 and Arthur Reymond 7-5 7-6(3).
In the qualifications, Jelle had a good straight sets win against Reymond (7-5 7-63). During the match, Sels scored 84 points vs Reymond’s 71. Sels was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sels bagged 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Jelle Sels was quite efficient on serve to win 74% (35/47) of his 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Dutch broke Reymond 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jelle started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Sels has winning record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (321-254). 2-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sels has a composed 65-58 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The Dutch’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Mandya,M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio,M25 Santa Margherita di Pula,M25 Reggio Emilia and the Dobrich 2 Challenger.
Jelle has an aggregate 43-21 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Le
Mathias Bourgue
18 - 25win/loss
485
140
LLWWWLWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-28 | 3-4 | 11-16 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-28 | 6-4 | 22-13 | 16-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 22-19 | 5-5 | 7-10 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 6-7 | 11-9 | 12-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 376, Mathias got to the 1st round after defeating Jonathan Eysseric 7-6(6) 6-1 and Martin Sabas 7-6(7) 6-2.
In the qualifications, Mathias had a good straight sets win against Sabas (7-67 6-2). During the match Bourgue scored 82 points vs Sabas’s 67. Bourgue was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.
About the serving games, Bourgue scored 14 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mathias Bourgue lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Bourgue put 79% of his first serves in, winning 77% (40/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (6/14) on the 2nd serve. Mathias broke Sabas 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mathias started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.
Mathias has a compiled 18-25 win-loss record in 2024, 7-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Le
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sels | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 41 |
| Pts | 140-104 | 157-120 |
| Total Points | 244 | 277 |
| Winners | 68 | 71 |
| %Winners | 49% | 45% |
Both Sels and Bourgue played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sels and Bourgue have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Sels played 1 game more than Bourgue. The Dutch scored 68 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Bourgue struck 71 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sels | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 10.5 |
| 1st in | 84/116 | 87/122 |
| %1st in | 72% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 68/84 | 71/87 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 19/32 | 22/35 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 63% |
Sels made 17 aces (8.5 per match). Bourgue made 21 aces (10.5 per match). Sels won 81% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Bourgue won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sels | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 5 |
| Converted | 6/13 | 5/19 |
| % Converted | 46% | 26% |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 |
| Saved | 0 | 5 |
| % Saved | 0% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Sels broke his opponents 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Sels surrendered his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Bourgue broke his opponents 5 times with a 26% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sels | ||||
| Q1 Miedler |
Q3 Reymond |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 7-5 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 25 | 42 | |
| pts | 56-33 | 84-71 | 140-104 | |
| Total points | 89 | 155 | 244 | |
| Winners | 33 | 35 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 59% | 42% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 6 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 37/46 | 47/70 | 84/116 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 67% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 33/37 | 35/47 | 68/84 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 74% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/9 | 15/23 | 19/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 65% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/9 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 33% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Bourgue | ||||
| Q1 Eysseric |
Q3 Sabas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-1 | 7-67 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 21 | 41 | |
| pts | 75-53 | 82-67 | 157-120 | |
| Total points | 128 | 149 | 277 | |
| Winners | 31 | 40 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 49% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 14 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 35/56 | 52/66 | 87/122 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 79% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 31/35 | 40/52 | 71/87 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 77% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/21 | 6/14 | 22/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 76% | 43% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 3/11 | 5/19 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 27% | 26% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 4/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 80% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLLLWW
LLWWWLWWLL Tennis Scores in Le
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- Calvin HemeryHemery – Martin DammDamm (3-6 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Quentin HalysHalys – Matteo MartineauMartineau (6-3 4-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dino PrizmicPrizmic – Lucas PoullainPoullain (7-5 1-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Richard GasquetGasquet – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gregoire BarrereBarrere – Alexey VatutinVatutin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mathias BourgueBourgue – Jelle SelsSels (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel MasurMasur – Alexis GautierGautier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Quentin HalysHalys – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Manuel GuinardGuinard – Elias YmerYmer (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre RecoReco – Harold MayotMayot (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Buvaysar GadamauriGadamauri – Clement ChidekhChidekh (0-1) – H2H and prediction
