H2H, prediction of Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz in Beijing with odds, preview, pick | 2nd October 2024

PREVIEW. Beijing. Sinner and Alcaraz will fight against each other in the final of the China Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Wednesday the 2nd of October

Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz

Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz will face off in the final of the China Open for the 11th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 5:00 pm on CAPITAL GROUP DIAMOND. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.72
Jannik Sinner -> 2.12

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This will be the 11th time that Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz square off. The head to head is 6-4 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Alcaraz won 2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3 in the semifinal in at the French Open back in June 2024.

Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner – French Open 07-June-2024

Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner
Jannik Sinner

59 - 5win/loss

Hard
34-2
I Hard
5-0
Clay
11-2
Grass
9-1
Rank
1
High
1
WWWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 65-6 40-3 11-2 5-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0
2020 20-14 2-6 7-3 11-5 0-0 0-0

Currently world no. 1 the Italian got to the final after beating Nicolas Jarry 4-6 6-3 6-1, Roman Safiullin 3-6 6-2 6-3, Jiri Lehecka 6-2 7-6(6) and Bu Yunchaokete 6-3 7-6(3).

In the semifinal, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Yunchaokete (6-3 7-63). During the match, Sinner scored 86 points vs Yunchaokete’s 70. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sinner scored 11 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Jannik Sinner was very efficient on serve to win 73% (38/52) of his 1st serve and 68% (17/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Yunchaokete once after converting 11% of his break points (1/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sinner has lost 2 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 74% of his matches (332-118). 34-2 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has an overall132-43 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the season was conquering the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Miami where he overcame Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-3 6-1 and in Halle where he overcame Hubert Hurkacz in the final 7-6(8) 7-6(2) and in Cincinnati where he overcame Frances Tiafoe in the final 7-6(4) 6-2 and at the U.S. Open where he beat Taylor Fritz in the final 6-3 6-4 7-5.

Jannik has a compiled 59-5 win-loss record in 2024, 34-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Sinner
Beijing
Sinner's Record

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz

47 - 9win/loss

Hard
18-4
I Hard
4-0
Clay
17-4
Grass
8-1
Rank
2
High
1
LWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 51-10 22-5 17-4 4-0 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 3, the Spaniard reached the final after defeating Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-4 6-4, Tallon Griekspoor 6-1 6-2, Karen Khachanov 7-5 6-2 and Daniil Medvedev 7-5 6-3.

In the semifinal, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Medvedev (7-5 6-3). During the match Alcaraz scored 67 points vs Medvedev’s 52. Alcaraz was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Alcaraz managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was pretty efficient on serve to win 75% (27/36) of his 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Carlos broke Medvedev 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alcaraz hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Indian Wells where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 and at the Wimbledon where he overcame Novak Djokovic in the final 6-2 6-2 7-6(4).

Carlos has a compiled 47-9 win-loss record in 2024, 18-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.

Alcaraz
Beijing
Alcaraz's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Sinner
C.Alcaraz
!
8h:05
8h:05
Time on court​
5h:20
5h:20
!
2h:05
2h:05
Last match​
1h:27
1h:27
4
4
Match played
4
4
95
95
Games Played​
76
76
10
10
Set played​​
8
8
336
336
Total points​
258
258
84
84
Avg point​
64.5
64.5
146
146
Winners
100
100
36.5
36.5
Avg Winners​
25
25
43%
43%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
23
23
Aces
14
14
5.8
5.8
Avg Aces
3.5
3.5
7
7
Double Faults
4
4
1.8
1.8
Avg Double Faults
1
1
146/182
146/182
1st won total​
100/126
100/126
!
80%
80%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
61/105
61/105
2nd won total​
49/76
49/76
58%
58%
2nd won %
!
64%
64%
-- Break Points --
11/34
11/34
BP won
15/32
15/32
2.8/8.5
2.8/8.5
Avg BP won
3.8/8
3.8/8
32%
32%
Won
47%
47%
16
16
Conceded
7
7
4
4
Avg Conceded
1.8
1.8
3
3
Broken
3
3
!
0.8
0.8
Avg Broken
!
0.8
0.8
13
13
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sinner Alcaraz
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 10 8
Tot Games 95 76
Pts 336-268 258-190
Total Points 604 448
Winners 146 100
%Winners 43% 39%

Both Sinner and Alcaraz played 4 matches. At the moment, Jannik Sinner lost 2 sets while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sinner has played 2 sets more than Alcaraz (10 vs 8). Therefore, Sinner played 19 games more than Alcaraz. Jannik scored 146 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard bagged 100 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sinner Alcaraz
Aces 23 14
Avg per match 5.8 3.5
1st in 182/287 126/202
%1st in 63% 62%
1st pts 146/182 100/126
%1st pts 80% 79%
2nd pts 61/105 49/76
%2nd pts 58% 64%

Sinner blasted 23 aces (5.8 per match). Alcaraz bagged 14 aces (3.5 per match). Sinner won 80% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Alcaraz won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sinner Alcaraz
Won 11 15
Converted 11/34 15/32
% Converted 32% 47%
Conceded 16 7
Saved 13 4
% Saved 81% 57%
Times Broken 3 3

Sinner broke his opponents 11 times with a 32% conversion rate. Jannik surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 15 times with a 47% conversion rate. Alcaraz conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
R1
Jarry
R2
Safiullin
1/4
Lehecka
1/2
Yunchaokete
Total
Score 4-6 6-3 6-1 3-6 6-2 6-3 6-2 7-66 6-3 7-63
Tot Set 3 3 2 2 10
Tot Games 26 26 21 22 95
pts 84-60 91-79 75-59 86-70 336-268
Total points 144 170 134 156 604
Winners 37 36 35 38 146
%Winners 44% 40% 47% 44% 43%
SERVE
Aces 1 4 7 11 23
Double Faults 1 3 3 0 7
1st in 45/66 45/77 40/67 52/77 182/287
% 1st in 68% 58% 60% 68% 63%
1st pts 37/45 36/45 35/40 38/52 146/182
% 1st pts 82% 80% 88% 73% 80%
2nd pts 14/21 15/32 15/27 17/25 61/105
% 2nd pts 67% 47% 56% 68% 58%
Breaks
Won 4 4 2 1 11
Converted 4/8 4/13 2/4 1/9 11/34
Converted % 50% 31% 50% 11% 32%
Conceded 5 6 2 3 16
Saved 4/5 4/6 2/2 3/3 13
Saved % 80% 67% 100% 100% 87%
Times Broken 1 2 0 0 3
Alcaraz
R1
Mpetshi
R2
Griekspoor
1/4
Khachanov
1/2
Medvedev
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-1 6-2 7-5 6-2 7-5 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 20 15 20 21 76
pts 61-50 55-29 75-59 67-52 258-190
Total points 111 84 134 119 448
Winners 25 23 25 27 100
%Winners 41% 42% 33% 40% 39%
SERVE
Aces 5 4 2 3 14
Double Faults 1 0 2 1 4
1st in 34/56 23/41 33/52 36/53 126/202
% 1st in 61% 56% 63% 68% 62%
1st pts 25/34 23/23 25/33 27/36 100/126
% 1st pts 74% 100% 76% 75% 79%
2nd pts 18/22 9/18 13/19 9/17 49/76
% 2nd pts 82% 50% 68% 53% 64%
Breaks
Won 2 4 4 5 15
Converted 2/2 4/7 4/12 5/11 15/32
Converted % 100% 57% 33% 45% 47%
Conceded 3 0 2 2 7
Saved 3/3 0/0 1/2 0/2 4
Saved % 100% 50% 0% 38%
Times Broken 0 0 1 2 3

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Sinner
WWWWWWLWWW
Alcaraz
LWWWWWWWWW
2024 2023 2022
65 - 6
49 - 10
40-3
Hard
22-5
5-0
I Hard
2-0
11-2
Clay
17-4
9-1
Grass
8-1
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Jannik SinnerSinnerCarlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (4-6) – H2H and prediction