Seongchan Hong and Yosuke Watanuki will square off in the qualifications of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 1:30 pm on SHOW COURT 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yosuke Watanuki who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yosuke Watanuki is the pick to win this match.
Yosuke Watanuki -> 1.68
Seongchan Hong -> 2.08
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Prediction and head to head Seongchan Hong vs. Yosuke Watanuki
This will be the 3rd time that Seongchan Hong and Yosuke Watanuki clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Watanuki won 7-6(4) 7-6(7) in the qualifications in at the Wimbledon back in 2023.
Seongchan Hong
42 - 27win/loss
147
139
LWLWLWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-28 | 41-23 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-34 | 17-18 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-18 | 36-12 | 4-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-8 | 7-3 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 141, Seong reached the qualifications after beating Illya Marchenko 7-6(5) 6-4.
In the qualifications, Seong had a good straight sets win against Marchenko (7-65 6-4). During the match, Chan Hong scored 71 points vs Marchenko’s 65. The Korean was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Chan Hong fired 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Seongchan Hong lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Chan Hong put 66% of his first serves in, winning 64% (27/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 77% (17/22) on the 2nd serve. The Korean broke Marchenko 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Chan Hong has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (260-155). 41-22 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Chan Hong has an aggregate 228-115 record in the last years on hard.
The Korean’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger,the Bengaluru Challenger and the Busan Challenger.
Chan Hong has a composed 42-27 win-loss record in 2024, 41-22 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Yosuke Watanuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9-10 | 9-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 29-12 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-22 | 19-11 | 6-4 | 15-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-17 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 6-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-7 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 337, Yousuke reached the qualifications after defeating Otto Virtanen 6-7(4) 6-2 6-0.
In the qualifications against Virtanen, Watanuki recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-2 6-0). During the match Watanuki scored 96 points vs Virtanen’s 71. Yousuke was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.
About the serving games, Watanuki managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Yosuke Watanuki lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Watanuki put 63% of his first serves in, winning 80% (40/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. Watanuki broke Virtanen 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Watanuki has an aggregate 3-7 win-loss record in 2024, 3-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Chan Hong | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 27 |
| Pts | 71-65 | 96-71 |
| Total Points | 136 | 167 |
| Winners | 27 | 40 |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% |
Both Chan Hong and Watanuki played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Yosuke Watanuki dropped 1 set while Seongchan Hong hasn’t conceded a set so far. Chan Hong has played 1 set(s) less than Watanuki (2 vs 3). Therefore, Chan Hong played 4 games less than Watanuki. Chan Hong scored 27 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Watanuki recorded 40 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Chan Hong | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3 |
| 1st in | 42/64 | 50/80 |
| %1st in | 66% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 27/42 | 40/50 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 17/22 | 15/30 |
| %2nd pts | 77% | 50% |
Chan Hong made 2 aces . Watanuki recorded 3 aces . Chan Hong won 64% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 77% of the points. On the other side, Watanuki won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Chan Hong | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 6 |
| Converted | 3/4 | 6/11 |
| % Converted | 75% | 55% |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 |
| Saved | 3 | 2 |
| % Saved | 60% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Seong broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. Seong lost his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Yousuke broke his opponent 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Chan Hong | |||
| Q1 Marchenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 71-65 | 71-65 | |
| Total points | 136 | 136 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 42/64 | 42/64 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 27/42 | 27/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/22 | 17/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 77% | 77% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/4 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Watanuki | |||
| Q1 Virtanen |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 96-71 | 96-71 | |
| Total points | 167 | 167 | |
| Winners | 40 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 50/80 | 50/80 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 40/50 | 40/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/30 | 15/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWLWWW
LWWWLLWWWW 
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