Holger Rune and Kei Nishikori will fight against each other in the quarter of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 6:00 pm on COLOSSEUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.66
Kei Nishikori -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Kei Nishikori
There is no head to head record between Holger Rune and Kei Nishikori since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Holger Rune
35 - 19win/loss
11
4
LWWWWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-23 | 21-11 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 32-16 | 1-3 | 28-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, the Dane reached the quarter after defeating Alejandro Tabilo 6-2 5-7 6-4 and Yoshihito Nishioka 6-2 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Rune had a good straight sets win against Nishioka (6-2 6-4). During the match, Rune scored 60 points vs Nishioka’s 35. The Dane was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rune recorded 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Holger Rune lost the serve once. Furthermore, Rune put 79% of his first serves in, winning 88% (30/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (4/9) on the 2nd serve. The Dane broke Nishioka 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rune has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Rune has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 66% of his matches (241-125). 18-9 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rune has a compiled48-39 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Rune’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Brisbane.
The Dane has a composed 35-19 win-loss record in 2024, 18-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
The Dane has never competed in this tournament before.
Kei Nishikori
11 - 7win/loss
132
4
WLWWWLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-11 | 7-5 | 5-3 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 10-3 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-17 | 15-9 | 7-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 200, Nishikori reached the quarter after beating Marin Cilic 6-4 3-6 6-3 and Jordan Thompson 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Thompson (6-2 6-3). During the match Nishikori scored 58 points vs Thompson’s 40. Nishikori was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Nishikori scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Kei Nishikori lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Nishikori put 64% of his first serves in, winning 66% (21/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 72% (13/18) on the 2nd serve. Nishikori broke Thompson 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kei has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Japanese has an aggregate 11-7 win-loss record in 2024, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 45 |
| Pts | 158-125 | 136-119 |
| Total Points | 283 | 255 |
| Winners | 77 | 64 |
| %Winners | 49% | 47% |
Both Rune and Nishikori played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Holger Rune conceded 1 set, while Kei Nishikori surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Rune and Nishikori have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Rune played 3 games more than Nishikori. Holger scored 77 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese scored 64 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 10.5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 94/135 | 89/131 |
| %1st in | 70% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 77/94 | 64/89 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 19/41 | 23/42 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 55% |
Rune managed to score 21 aces (10.5 per match). Nishikori scored 8 aces (4 per match). Rune won 82% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Nishikori won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 8 |
| Converted | 8/17 | 8/14 |
| % Converted | 47% | 57% |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Saved | 3 | 3 |
| % Saved | 50% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
The Dane broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Dane dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Kei broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Kei conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | ||||
| R1 Tabilo |
R2 Nishioka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 5-7 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 18 | 48 | |
| pts | 98-90 | 60-35 | 158-125 | |
| Total points | 188 | 95 | 283 | |
| Winners | 47 | 30 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 50% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 11 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 60/92 | 34/43 | 94/135 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 79% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 47/60 | 30/34 | 77/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 88% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/32 | 4/9 | 19/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 44% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/8 | 8/17 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 50% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 0/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 0% | 30% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Nishikori | ||||
| R1 Cilic |
R2 Thompson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 17 | 45 | |
| pts | 78-79 | 58-40 | 136-119 | |
| Total points | 157 | 98 | 255 | |
| Winners | 43 | 21 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 36% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 1 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 57/81 | 32/50 | 89/131 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 64% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 43/57 | 21/32 | 64/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 66% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/24 | 13/18 | 23/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 72% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/7 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 71% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/2 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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