Bernard Tomic and Naoki Nakagawa will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Charleston Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 10:00 am on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Bernard Tomic who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Bernard Tomic is the pick to win this match.
Bernard Tomic -> 1.63
Naoki Nakagawa -> 2.17
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Prediction and head to head Bernard Tomic vs. Naoki Nakagawa
There is no head to head record between Bernard Tomic and Naoki Nakagawa since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Bernard Tomic
40 - 21win/loss
232
17
WLWWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-21 | 28-15 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-27 | 35-19 | 4-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-12 | 24-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-12 | 4-4 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 232, Bernard reached the 2nd round after defeating Denis Kudla 6-4 2-6 7-6(3).
In the 1st round, Tomic defeated Kudla (6-4 2-6 7-63).During the match, Tomic scored less points (3) than Kudla. In fact, the world no. 232 won 109 points vs Kudla’s. That means that Tomic was more focused during the important points. Bernard was very aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Tomic recorded 8 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Bernard Tomic lost the serve 4 times and he saved 15 break points. Furthermore, Tomic put 48% of his first serves in, winning 77% (43/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (26/60) on the 2nd serve. Tomic broke Kudla 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Tomic has winning record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (247-193). 28-15 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Tomic has a composed 164-100 match record in the last years on hard.
Tomic’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Chennai,M25 Xalapa and M25 Tulsa.
The Australian has an overall 40-21 win-loss record in 2024, 28-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Charleston Challenger
Naoki Nakagawa
20 - 10win/loss
335
334
WWWWWWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-10 | 11-9 | 1-1 | 8-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 42-19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-27 | 16-16 | 10-9 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-15 | 32-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-4 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 335, Nakagawa reached the 2nd round after beating Henry Lieberman 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round, Naoki had a good straight sets win against Lieberman (6-2 6-2). During the match Nakagawa scored 64 points vs Lieberman’s 42. Naoki was pretty aggressive to blast 13 winners.
About the serving games, Nakagawa recorded 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Naoki Nakagawa conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Nakagawa put 40% of his first serves in, winning 68% (13/19) of the points behind his 1st serve and 79% (23/29) on the 2nd serve. Naoki broke Lieberman 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Columbus Challenger where he defeated James Kent Trotter in the final 7-6(8) 5-7 7-6(5).
Nakagawa has an overall 20-10 win-loss record in 2024, 11-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Charleston Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tomic | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 16 |
| Pts | 109-112 | 64-42 |
| Total Points | 221 | 106 |
| Winners | 43 | 13 |
| %Winners | 39% | 20% |
Both Tomic and Nakagawa played 1 match. At the moment, Bernard Tomic conceded 1 set while Naoki Nakagawa hasn’t conceded a set so far. Tomic has played 1 set more than Nakagawa (3 vs 2). Therefore, Tomic played 15 games more than Nakagawa. Tomic scored 43 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Naoki recorded 13 winners (20%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tomic | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 2 |
| 1st in | 56/116 | 19/48 |
| %1st in | 48% | 40% |
| 1st pts | 43/56 | 13/19 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 26/60 | 23/29 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 79% |
Tomic managed to score 8 aces . Nakagawa managed to score 2 aces . Tomic won 77% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Nakagawa won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 79% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tomic | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/9 | 4/8 |
| % Converted | 33% | 50% |
| Conceded | 19 | 3 |
| Saved | 15 | 3 |
| % Saved | 79% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 |
The Australian broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Tomic lost his serve 4 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Nakagawa broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Japanese was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.
| Tomic | |||
| R1 Kudla |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 2-6 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 109-112 | 109-112 | |
| Total points | 221 | 221 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 56/116 | 56/116 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 48% | |
| 1st pts | 43/56 | 43/56 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/60 | 26/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 19 | 19 | |
| Saved | 15/19 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 79% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Nakagawa | |||
| R1 Lieberman |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 64-42 | 64-42 | |
| Total points | 106 | 106 | |
| Winners | 13 | 13 | |
| %Winners | 20% | 20% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 19/48 | 19/48 | |
| % 1st in | 40% | 40% | |
| 1st pts | 13/19 | 13/19 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/29 | 23/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 79% | 79% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWLWWLWW
WWWWWWLLWW Tennis Scores in Charleston Challenger
- Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Abedallah ShelbayhShelbayh (6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Andres MartinMartin (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Learner TienTien – Ernesto EscobedoEscobedo (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tristan BoyerBoyer – Remy BertolaBertola (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Bernard TomicTomic – Naoki NakagawaNakagawa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jeff WolfWolf – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tristan BoyerBoyer – (0-2) – H2H and prediction
