Lucas Pouille and Gijs Brouwer will fight against each other in the final of the St. Tropez Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL TAG HEUER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lucas Pouille who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lucas Pouille is the pick to win this match.
Lucas Pouille -> 1.39
Gijs Brouwer -> 2.81
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Prediction and head to head Lucas Pouille vs. Gijs Brouwer
This will be the 3rd time that Lucas Pouille and Gijs Brouwer clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Pouille and Brouwer (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Pouille won 6-4 7-6(3) in the 1st round in the Pau Challenger back in February 2024.
Lucas Pouille
34 - 15win/loss
97
10
LWWWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-17 | 15-5 | 8-5 | 15-7 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 16-10 | 3-2 | 7-5 | 4-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-24 | 7-3 | 2-7 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 142, the French player got to the final after defeating Louis Tessa 6-0 6-3, Liam Broady 6-3 6-2, Duje Ajdukovic 6-2 7-6(5) and Kamil Majchrzak 6-4 7-5.
In the semifinal, Pouille had a good straight sets win against Majchrzak (6-4 7-5). During the match, Pouille scored 77 points vs Majchrzak’s 64. The French player was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pouille blasted 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Lucas Pouille lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Pouille put 68% of his first serves in, winning 78% (38/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 30% (7/23) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Majchrzak 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Pouille has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (240-184). 15-4 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Pouille has a composed 78-63 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Mauthausen Challenger where he beat Jozef Kovalik in the final 6-3 6-3.
Lucas has a composed 34-15 win-loss record in 2024, 15-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the St. Tropez Challenger
The French player has never competed in this tournament before.
Gijs Brouwer
30 - 26win/loss
179
114
LWWWWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-27 | 14-12 | 6-5 | 4-5 | 7-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-34 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 12-15 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-27 | 12-5 | 13-5 | 14-12 | 8-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 47-25 | 9-5 | 12-10 | 21-10 | 0-0 | 5-0 |
| 2020 | 20-10 | 13-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 223, Gijs got to the final after defeating Dan Added 6-3 6-4, Nikolay Vylegzhanin 6-1 6-0, Luca Van Assche 6-3 6-2, Martin Landaluce 7-5 6-0, Benjamin Bonzi 4-6 6-3 7-5 and Ugo Blanchet 6-4 7-5.
In the semifinal, Gijs had a good straight sets win against Blanchet (6-4 7-5). During the match Brouwer scored 74 points vs Blanchet’s 62. Gijs was very aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Brouwer managed to score 3 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Gijs Brouwer was quite effective on serve to win 72% (41/57) of his 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Gijs broke Blanchet 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gijs started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Brouwer’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Noumea Challenger and the St. Tropez Challenger.
The Dutch has an aggregate 30-26 win-loss record in 2024, 13-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the St. Tropez Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pouille | Brouwer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 75 | 120 |
| Pts | 271-199 | 428-313 |
| Total Points | 470 | 741 |
| Winners | 108 | 187 |
| %Winners | 40% | 44% |
Pouille played 4 matches while Brouwer competed in 6 matches. Brouwer started his run from the qualifications while Pouille had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Gijs Brouwer surrendered 1 set while Lucas Pouille hasn’t dropped a set so far. Pouille has played 5 set(s) less than Brouwer (8 vs 13). Therefore, Pouille played 45 games less than Brouwer. Lucas scored 108 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Gijs scored 187 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pouille | Brouwer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 31 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 7.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st in | 139/225 | 249/349 |
| %1st in | 62% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 108/139 | 187/249 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 50/86 | 63/100 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 63% |
Pouille made 31 aces (7.8 per match). Brouwer blasted 23 aces (3.8 per match). Pouille won 78% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Brouwer won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pouille | Brouwer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 24 |
| Converted | 14/25 | 24/51 |
| % Converted | 56% | 47% |
| Conceded | 17 | 22 |
| Saved | 14 | 16 |
| % Saved | 82% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 6 |
The French player broke his opponents 14 times with a 56% conversion rate. The French player lost his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Gijs broke his opponents 24 times with a 47% conversion rate. Gijs conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Pouille | ||||||
| R1 Tessa |
R2 Broady |
1/4 Ajdukovic |
1/2 Majchrzak |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 7-65 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 75 | |
| pts | 65-38 | 56-37 | 73-60 | 77-64 | 271-199 | |
| Total points | 103 | 93 | 133 | 141 | 470 | |
| Winners | 21 | 23 | 26 | 38 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 41% | 36% | 49% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 11 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 27/45 | 28/48 | 35/60 | 49/72 | 139/225 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 58% | 58% | 68% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 21/27 | 23/28 | 26/35 | 38/49 | 108/139 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 82% | 74% | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/18 | 13/20 | 16/25 | 7/23 | 50/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 65% | 64% | 30% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/4 | 3/6 | 4/6 | 14/25 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 75% | 50% | 67% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 17 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 7/9 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 75% | 78% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Brouwer | ||||||||
| Q1 Added |
Q3 Vylegzhanin |
R1 Van |
R2 Landaluce |
1/4 Bonzi |
1/2 Blanchet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-1 6-0 | 6-3 6-2 | 7-5 6-0 | 4-6 6-3 7-5 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 31 | 22 | 120 | |
| pts | 63-43 | 53-17 | 67-50 | 63-37 | 108-104 | 74-62 | 428-313 | |
| Total points | 106 | 70 | 117 | 100 | 212 | 136 | 741 | |
| Winners | 28 | 18 | 25 | 27 | 48 | 41 | 187 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 34% | 37% | 43% | 44% | 55% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 39/53 | 21/29 | 32/51 | 32/42 | 68/104 | 57/70 | 249/349 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 72% | 63% | 76% | 65% | 81% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 28/39 | 18/21 | 25/32 | 27/32 | 48/68 | 41/57 | 187/249 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 86% | 78% | 84% | 71% | 72% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/14 | 6/8 | 13/19 | 9/10 | 18/36 | 7/13 | 63/100 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 75% | 68% | 90% | 50% | 54% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 6/10 | 3/7 | 4/9 | 4/10 | 3/7 | 24/51 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 60% | 43% | 44% | 40% | 43% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 22 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 0/0 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 7/10 | 5/6 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | 100% | – | 70% | 83% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Lucas PouillePouille – Gijs BrouwerBrouwer (1-1) – H2H and prediction
