Jannik Sinner and Jack Draper will play each other in the semifinal of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.198
Jack Draper -> 4.8
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Jack Draper
This will be the 2nd time that Jannik Sinner and Jack Draper clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Draper (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Draper won 7-6(6) 7-6(2) in the 1st round in London back in 2021.
Highlights Jack Draper vs Jannik Sinner – London 14-June-2021
Jannik Sinner
53 - 5win/loss
1
1
WWWWWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 66-6 | 40-3 | 11-2 | 6-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 2-6 | 7-3 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Italian got to the semifinal after defeating Mackenzie Mcdonald 2-6 6-2 6-1 6-2, Alex Michelsen 6-4 6-0 6-2, Christopher O Connell 6-1 6-4 6-2, Tommy Paul 7-6(3) 7-6(5) 6-1 and Daniil Medvedev 6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4.
In the quarter, Sinner defeated Medvedev (6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4). During the match, Sinner scored 115 points vs Medvedev’s 91. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Jannik Sinner was quite efficient on serve to win 76% (39/51) of his 1st serve and 61% (28/46) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Jannik broke Medvedev 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 73% of his matches (326-118). 28-2 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has a compiled126-43 record in the last 7 years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Miami where he defeated Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-3 6-1 and in Halle where he overcame Hubert Hurkacz in the final 7-6(8) 7-6(2) and in Cincinnati where he overcame Frances Tiafoe in the final 7-6(4) 6-2.
Jannik has a composed 53-5 win-loss record in 2024, 28-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Jack Draper
30 - 17win/loss
15
15
LWWWWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-22 | 19-10 | 5-7 | 7-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 17-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 25 (career-high), Draper reached the semifinal after defeating Zhizhen Zhang 6-3 6-0 4-0 ret., Facundo Diaz Acosta 6-4 6-2 6-2, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-4 6-2, Tomas Machac 6-3 6-1 6-2 and Alex De Minaur 6-3 7-5 6-2.
In the quarter, Jack had a good straight sets win against De Minaur (6-3 7-5 6-2). During the match Draper scored 105 points vs De Minaur’s 76. Draper was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.
About the serving games, Draper recorded 11 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Jack Draper lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Draper put 56% of his first serves in, winning 84% (42/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (19/39) on the 2nd serve. Jack broke De Minaur 6 times after converting 30% of his break points (6/20).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Draper hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Stuttgart where he overcame Matteo Berrettini in the final 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4.
The Brit has an overall 30-17 win-loss record in 2024, 17-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 17 | 16 |
| Tot Games | 145 | 125 |
| Pts | 517-377 | 459-318 |
| Total Points | 894 | 777 |
| Winners | 184 | 175 |
| %Winners | 36% | 38% |
Both Sinner and Draper played 5 matches. At the moment, Jannik Sinner lost 2 sets while Jack Draper hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sinner has played 1 set more than Draper (17 vs 16). Therefore, Sinner played 20 games more than Draper. Jannik scored 184 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit struck 175 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 43 | 46 |
| Avg per match | 8.6 | 9.2 |
| 1st in | 233/423 | 216/401 |
| %1st in | 55% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 184/233 | 175/216 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 108/190 | 103/185 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 56% |
Sinner struck 43 aces (8.6 per match). Draper scored 46 aces (9.2 per match). Sinner won 79% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Draper won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 30 | 29 |
| Converted | 30/70 | 29/57 |
| % Converted | 43% | 51% |
| Conceded | 28 | 28 |
| Saved | 18 | 25 |
| % Saved | 64% | 89% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 3 |
Sinner broke his opponents 30 times with a 43% conversion rate. Jannik lost his serve 10 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Draper broke his opponents 29 times with a 51% conversion rate. Jack conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | |||||||
| R1 Mcdonald |
R2 Michelsen |
R3 O |
R4 Paul |
1/4 Medvedev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-2 6-1 6-2 | 6-4 6-0 6-2 | 6-1 6-4 6-2 | 7-63 7-65 6-1 | 6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 24 | 25 | 33 | 32 | 145 | |
| pts | 109-83 | 85-53 | 92-57 | 116-93 | 115-91 | 517-377 | |
| Total points | 192 | 138 | 149 | 209 | 206 | 894 | |
| Winners | 39 | 30 | 37 | 39 | 39 | 184 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 35% | 40% | 34% | 34% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 11 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 43 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 52/94 | 37/65 | 45/69 | 48/98 | 51/97 | 233/423 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 57% | 65% | 49% | 53% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 39/52 | 30/37 | 37/45 | 39/48 | 39/51 | 184/233 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 81% | 82% | 81% | 76% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/42 | 15/28 | 16/24 | 28/50 | 28/46 | 108/190 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 54% | 67% | 56% | 61% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 8 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 30 | |
| Converted | 8/15 | 8/16 | 5/10 | 4/14 | 5/15 | 30/70 | |
| Converted % | 53% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 33% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 28 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 6/8 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 60% | – | 50% | 75% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Draper | |||||||
| R1 Zhang |
R2 Diaz |
R3 Van De Zandschulp |
R4 Machac |
1/4 De Minaur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 4-0 ret. | 6-4 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 26 | 27 | 24 | 29 | 125 | |
| pts | 70-35 | 96-67 | 99-77 | 89-63 | 105-76 | 459-318 | |
| Total points | 105 | 163 | 176 | 152 | 181 | 777 | |
| Winners | 23 | 34 | 47 | 29 | 42 | 175 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 35% | 47% | 33% | 40% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 5 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 46 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 30/50 | 38/77 | 61/106 | 37/79 | 50/89 | 216/401 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 49% | 58% | 47% | 56% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 23/30 | 34/38 | 47/61 | 29/37 | 42/50 | 175/216 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 89% | 77% | 78% | 84% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/20 | 23/39 | 20/45 | 26/42 | 19/39 | 103/185 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 59% | 44% | 62% | 49% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 29 | |
| Converted | 7/10 | 5/10 | 5/8 | 6/9 | 6/20 | 29/57 | |
| Converted % | 70% | 50% | 63% | 67% | 30% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 4/4 | 9/10 | 6/6 | 5/7 | 25 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 90% | 100% | 71% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWLWW
LWWWWWWWLW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Jack DraperDraper – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-3 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Alexander ZverevZverev (7-62 3-6 6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow – Wesley Koolhof/Nikola MekticKoolhof/Nikola Mektic (6-1 6-75 6-4) – See score progression
- Max Purcell/Jordan ThompsonPurcell/Jordan Thompson – Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Neal Skupski/Michael VenusSkupski/Michael Venus (7-61 6-1) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-3 6-75 6-3 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (6-711 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jack DraperDraper (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-1) – H2H and prediction
