Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula will clash against each other in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 10th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.26
Jessica Pegula -> 4.05
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Jessica Pegula
This will be the 10th time that Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula play each other. The head to head is 6-3 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 5-3 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Swiatek won 6-1 6-0 in the final in Cancun back in 2023.
Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula – Cancun 06-November-2023
Iga Swiatek
59 - 7win/loss
2
1
WWWWLWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Pole got to the quarter after beating Kamilla Rakhimova 6-4 7-6(6), Ena Shibahara 6-0 6-1, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-4 6-2 and Liudmila Samsonova 6-4 6-1.
In the 4th round, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Samsonova (6-4 6-1). During the match, Swiatek scored 63 points vs Samsonova’s 45. Swiatek was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Swiatek scored 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Iga Swiatek conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 62% of her first serves in, win 88% (29/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. Swiatek broke Samsonova 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Iga hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 82% of her matches (344-74). 29-4 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has an overall162-41 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Australia where she beat Angelique Kerber in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Doha where she beat Elena Rybakina in the final 7-6(8) 6-2 and in Indian Wells where she defeated Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-0 and in Madrid where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7) and in Rome where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-2 6-3 and at the French Open where she beat Jasmine Paolini in the final 6-2 6-1.
Swiatek has an aggregate 59-7 win-loss record in 2024, 29-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Jessica Pegula
34 - 11win/loss
7
3
LLLWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, the American reached the quarter after defeating Shelby Rogers 6-4 6-3, Sofia Kenin 7-6(4) 6-3, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-3 6-3 and Diana Shnaider 6-4 6-2.
In the 4th round, Jessica had a good straight sets win against Shnaider (6-4 6-2). During the match Pegula scored 74 points vs Shnaider’s 62. Pegula was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Pegula made 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve twice and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 53% of her first serves in, winning 80% (28/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (12/31) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Shnaider 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pegula hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Berlin where she beat Anna Kalinskaya in the final 6-7(0) 6-4 7-6(3) and in Toronto where she defeated Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-3 2-6 6-1.
The American has an overall 34-11 win-loss record in 2024, 24-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 71 | 77 |
| Pts | 263-187 | 283-225 |
| Total Points | 450 | 508 |
| Winners | 100 | 116 |
| %Winners | 38% | 41% |
Both Swiatek and Pegula played 4 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Swiatek and Pegula have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Swiatek played 6 games less than Pegula. Swiatek scored 100 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Pegula recorded 116 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 126/202 | 153/259 |
| %1st in | 62% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 100/126 | 116/153 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 49/76 | 50/106 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 47% |
Swiatek blasted 12 aces (3 per match). Pegula bagged 18 aces (4.5 per match). Swiatek won 79% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Pegula won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 16 |
| Converted | 14/28 | 16/32 |
| % Converted | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded | 4 | 26 |
| Saved | 2 | 19 |
| % Saved | 50% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 7 |
The Pole broke her opponents 14 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Pole conceded her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Pegula broke her opponents 16 times with a 50% conversion rate. Pegula conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | ||||||
| R1 Rakhimova |
R2 Shibahara |
R3 Pavlyuchenkova |
R4 Samsonova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-66 | 6-0 6-1 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 13 | 18 | 17 | 71 | |
| pts | 76-68 | 60-29 | 64-45 | 63-45 | 263-187 | |
| Total points | 144 | 89 | 109 | 108 | 450 | |
| Winners | 27 | 20 | 24 | 29 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 33% | 38% | 46% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 38/67 | 24/34 | 31/48 | 33/53 | 126/202 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 71% | 65% | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 27/38 | 20/24 | 24/31 | 29/33 | 100/126 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 83% | 77% | 88% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/29 | 8/10 | 12/17 | 9/20 | 49/76 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 80% | 71% | 45% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/9 | 3/5 | 3/8 | 14/28 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 56% | 60% | 38% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | – | – | 13% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Pegula | ||||||
| R1 Rogers |
R2 Kenin |
R3 Bouzas |
R4 Shnaider |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-64 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 22 | 18 | 18 | 77 | |
| pts | 67-57 | 75-64 | 67-42 | 74-62 | 283-225 | |
| Total points | 124 | 139 | 109 | 136 | 508 | |
| Winners | 33 | 30 | 25 | 28 | 116 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 40% | 37% | 38% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 44/74 | 46/70 | 28/49 | 35/66 | 153/259 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 66% | 57% | 53% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 33/44 | 30/46 | 25/28 | 28/35 | 116/153 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 65% | 89% | 80% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/30 | 13/24 | 12/21 | 12/31 | 50/106 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 54% | 57% | 39% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 4/7 | 4/9 | 5/10 | 16/32 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 57% | 44% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 26 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 4/7 | 3/4 | 7/9 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 57% | 75% | 78% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWLWLWWW
LLLWLWWLWW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Kristina Mladenovic/Shuai ZhangMladenovic/Shuai Zhang – Nicole Melichar/Ellen PerezMelichar/Ellen Perez (7-62 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Johan NiklesNikles – Manuel Pena LopezPena Lopez (3-6 6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo – Nino PortalesPortales (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Ignacio GalarzaIgnacio Galarza – Alexandar LazarovLazarov (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Jessica PegulaPegula (6-3) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Emma NavarroNavarro (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
