Andrey Rublev and Grigor Dimitrov will fight against each other in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.75
Grigor Dimitrov -> 2.08
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Grigor Dimitrov
This will be the 8th time that Andrey Rublev and Grigor Dimitrov play each other. The head to head is 4-3 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Rublev won 7-6(7) 6-3 in the semifinal in Shanghai back in 2023.
Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Grigor Dimitrov – Shanghai 14-October-2023
Andrey Rublev
37 - 18win/loss
9
5
WLLWWLWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-23 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, the Russian got to the 4th round after beating Thiago Seyboth Wild 6-3 7-6(3) 7-5, Arthur Rinderknech 4-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 6-2 and Jiri Lehecka 6-3 7-5 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Andrey had a good straight sets win against Lehecka (6-3 7-5 6-4). During the match, Rublev scored 109 points vs Lehecka’s 87. Andrey was extremely aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rublev scored 13 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Andrey Rublev lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 61% of his first serves in, winning 89% (48/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (14/34) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Lehecka 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rublev has lost 2 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (427-237). 24-8 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rublev has a composed 177-90 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Hong Kong where he defeated Emil Ruusuvuori in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Madrid where he beat Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.
The Russian has an aggregate 37-17 win-loss record in 2024, 24-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Grigor Dimitrov
37 - 13win/loss
10
3
LWWLWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-11 | 8-5 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, the Bulgarian got to the 4th round after defeating Kyrian Jacquet 6-3 6-4 6-2, Rinky Hijikata 6-1 6-1 7-6(4) and Tallon Griekspoor 6-3 6-3 6-1.
In the 3rd round, The Bulgarian had a good straight sets win against Griekspoor (6-3 6-3 6-1). During the match Dimitrov scored 83 points vs Griekspoor’s 57. The Bulgarian was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Dimitrov made 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov was pretty efficient on serve to win 92% (35/38) of his 1st serve and 56% (18/32) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Grigor broke Griekspoor 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Bulgarian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Brisbane where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 7-6(5) 6-4.
Grigor has a compiled 36-13 win-loss record in 2024, 18-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 110 | 79 |
| Pts | 386-311 | 283-194 |
| Total Points | 697 | 477 |
| Winners | 157 | 104 |
| %Winners | 41% | 37% |
Both Rublev and Dimitrov played 3 matches. At the moment, Andrey Rublev dropped 2 sets while Grigor Dimitrov hasn’t conceded a set so far. Rublev has played 2 sets more than Dimitrov (11 vs 9). Therefore, Rublev played 31 games more than Dimitrov. Andrey scored 157 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Dimitrov managed to score 104 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 55 | 37 |
| Avg per match | 18.3 | 12.3 |
| 1st in | 195/339 | 116/217 |
| %1st in | 58% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 157/195 | 104/116 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 90% |
| 2nd pts | 76/144 | 56/101 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 55% |
Rublev made 55 aces (18.3 per match). Dimitrov scored 37 aces (12.3 per match). Rublev won 81% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Dimitrov won 90% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 17 |
| Converted | 18/45 | 17/34 |
| % Converted | 40% | 50% |
| Conceded | 33 | 7 |
| Saved | 25 | 5 |
| % Saved | 76% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 2 |
Andrey broke his opponents 18 times with a 40% conversion rate. Rublev dropped his serve 8 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Grigor broke his opponents 17 times with a 50% conversion rate. Dimitrov conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | |||||
| R1 Seyboth |
R2 Rinderknech |
R3 Lehecka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-63 7-5 | 4-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 45 | 31 | 110 | |
| pts | 108-83 | 169-141 | 109-87 | 386-311 | |
| Total points | 191 | 310 | 196 | 697 | |
| Winners | 41 | 68 | 48 | 157 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 40% | 44% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 16 | 26 | 13 | 55 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 8 | 6 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 52/86 | 89/165 | 54/88 | 195/339 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 54% | 61% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 41/52 | 68/89 | 48/54 | 157/195 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 76% | 89% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/34 | 35/76 | 14/34 | 76/144 | |
| % 2nd pts | 79% | 46% | 41% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 9 | 5 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 9/23 | 5/16 | 18/45 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 39% | 31% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 24 | 7 | 33 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 19/24 | 5/7 | 25 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 79% | 71% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | |
| Dimitrov | |||||
| R1 Jacquet |
R2 Hijikata |
R3 Griekspoor |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | 6-1 6-1 7-64 | 6-3 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | 25 | 79 | |
| pts | 98-71 | 102-66 | 83-57 | 283-194 | |
| Total points | 169 | 168 | 140 | 477 | |
| Winners | 33 | 36 | 35 | 104 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 35% | 42% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 11 | 15 | 11 | 37 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 6 | 3 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 38/80 | 40/67 | 38/70 | 116/217 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 60% | 54% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 33/38 | 36/40 | 35/38 | 104/116 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 90% | 92% | 90% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/42 | 16/27 | 18/32 | 56/101 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 59% | 56% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 6/16 | 6/12 | 5/6 | 17/34 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 50% | 83% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 0% | – | 28% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLWWLWLLW
LWWLWLWWWL Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-74 6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Jakub MensikMensik (6-75 6-1 3-6 7-66 6-0) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (7-5 6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-75 6-3 6-1 7-63) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Juncheng ShangShang (6-71 3-6 6-0 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Ben SheltonShelton (4-6 7-5 6-75 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-4 6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (5-7 7-5 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-3 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-2 3-6 6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Jakub MensikMensik (6-7(5) 6-1 3-6 7-6(6) 6-0) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-7(4) 6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (7-5 6-2 7-6(5)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrey RublevRublev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (4-3) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Tommy PaulPaul (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Tomas MachacMachac (0-3) – H2H and prediction
