Alex De Minaur and Daniel Evans will clash against each other in the 3^rd round of the U.S. Open for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.25
Daniel Evans -> 3.96

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Daniel Evans

This will be the 5^th time that Alex De Minaur and Daniel Evans fight against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Evans (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Evans won 6-1 2-6 6-4 in the Rubber 2 in Davis Cup, Group B, Manchester back in 2023.

Alex De Minaur

Alex De Minaur

38 - 12win/loss

Hard

17-5

I Hard

4-1

Clay

10-5

Grass

7-1

Rank
10

High
6

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See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2024	38-12	17-5	10-5	4-1	7-1	0-0
2023	46-26	26-12	4-5	10-6	6-3	0-0
2022	47-25	19-10	9-6	12-5	7-4	0-0
2021	25-25	10-10	4-5	3-7	8-3	0-0
2020	13-10	6-5	0-2	7-3	0-0	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 10, Alex got to the 3^rd round after defeating Marcos Giron 6-3 6-4 5-7 6-4 and Otto Virtanen 7-5 6-1 7-6(3).

In the 2^nd round, De Minaur had a good straight sets win against Virtanen (7-5 6-1 7-6³). During the match, De Minaur scored 116 points vs Virtanen’s 86. Alex was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Regarding the service games, De Minaur managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was very effective on serve to win 72% (28/39) of his 1st serve and 72% (34/47) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Australian broke Virtanen 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

De Minaur has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.

De Minaur has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (356-199). 17-5 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Minaur has a composed 169-85 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Acapulco where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Hertogenbosch where he overcame Sebastian Korda in the final 6-2 6-4.

The Australian has a compiled 38-12 win-loss record in 2024, 17-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open

De Minaur's Record

Daniel Evans

Daniel Evans

11 - 20win/loss

Hard

5-8

I Hard

0-0

Clay

3-8

Grass

3-4

Rank
184

High
21

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Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2024	11-20	5-8	3-8	0-0	3-4	0-0
2023	19-27	11-15	5-7	2-2	1-3	0-0
2022	35-27	19-13	4-7	6-4	6-3	0-0
2021	27-24	12-11	6-6	3-4	6-3	0-0
2020	19-14	11-6	0-3	8-5	0-0	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 184, Evans got to the 3^rd round after defeating Karen Khachanov 6-7(6) 7-6(2) 7-6(4) 4-6 6-4 and Mariano Navone 6-4 6-3 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Evans had a good straight sets win against Navone (6-4 6-3 6-3). During the match Evans scored 109 points vs Navone’s 81. Evans was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Evans struck 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Daniel Evans lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Evans put 55% of his first serves in, winning 79% (38/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (19/39) on the 2nd serve. Evans broke Navone 7 times after converting 44% of his break points (7/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brit has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Evans has an overall 11-20 win-loss record in 2024, 5-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2021. See his history.

U.S. Open

Evans's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Both De Minaur and Evans played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur surrendered 1 set, while Daniel Evans dropped 2 sets. De Minaur has played 1 set(s) less than Evans (7 vs 8). Therefore, De Minaur played 14 games less than Evans. De Minaur scored 66 winners (25% of the total points). On the other side, Evans fired 118 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

De Minaur scored 14 aces (7 per match). Evans struck 17 aces (8.5 per match). De Minaur won 69% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Evans won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Alex broke his opponents 11 times with a 39% conversion rate. Alex surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Evans broke his opponents 15 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.

Head 2 Head

• 0Slam
• 9Main
• 1Chall
• 1Minor

• 0Slam
• 2Main
• 9Chall
• 13Minor

Alex
De Minaur

1:3

Daniel
Evans

Rank

10

High

6

5h:47Played

0Hard2

0I.hard1

1Grass0

Rank

184

High

21

8h:12Played

Win Loss

De Minaur

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Evans

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2024 2023 2022

38 - 12

11 - 20

17-5

Hard

5-8

4-1

I Hard

0-0

10-5

Clay

3-8

7-1

Grass

3-4

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Tomas MachacMachac – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Max PurcellPurcell (7-5 6-0 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Zizou BergsBergs (4-6 6-3 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-7⁴ 2-6 6-2 7-6⁵ 7-6³) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-3 6-2 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (7-5 6-1 7-6³) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-2 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Arthur FilsFils (7-5 6-7³ 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-4 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Mattia BellucciBellucci (6-3 6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-6² 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (6-4 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-1 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-4 6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Daniel EvansEvans – Mariano NavoneNavone (6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• David GoffinGoffin – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-7⁸ 6-3 6-2 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-2 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 6-2 2-6 7-6³) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-4 7-6⁵ 6-1) – See score progression
• Juncheng ShangShang – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-2 6-3 7-6²) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Laslo DjereDjere (6-4 6-4 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-3 4-6 6-4 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-4 6-1 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (6-7⁵ 0-6 6-4 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Arthur CazauxCazaux (6-4 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-3 7-6¹ 6-1) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Ugo HumbertHumbert (5-7 6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (3-6 6-4 6-4 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (4-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-1 6-1 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-1 2-0 ret.) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jannik SinnerSinner – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Tommy PaulPaul (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• David GoffinGoffin – Tomas MachacMachac (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel EvansEvans (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Casper RuudRuud – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Andrey RublevRublev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-3) – H2H and prediction

De Minaur

More Stats

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Evans