Daria Kasatkina and Peyton Stearns will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on Court 5. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.66
Peyton Stearns -> 2.23
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Peyton Stearns
This will be the 5th time that Daria Kasatkina and Peyton Stearns face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Stearns won 7-5 6-2 in the 2nd round in at the French Open back in May 2024.
Daria Kasatkina
30 - 17win/loss
13
8
WLWLLLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-17 | 14-11 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, the Russian reached the 2nd round after defeating Jaqueline Cristian 6-2 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Cristian (6-2 6-4). During the match, Kasatkina scored 60 points vs Cristian’s 47. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kasatkina fired 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 62% of her first serves in, winning 62% (21/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Cristian 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Kasatkina has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (347-201). 14-11 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Kasatkina has an aggregate 149-114 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Eastbourne where she defeated Leylah Annie Fernandez in the final 6-3 6-4.
The Russian has a compiled 30-17 win-loss record in 2024, 14-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Peyton Stearns
22 - 20win/loss
47
43
WLWWLLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-20 | 10-12 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-23 | 19-13 | 19-7 | 6-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-15 | 29-12 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 8-9 | 8-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 47, the American got to the 2nd round after defeating Lesya Tsurenko 6-1 7-5.
In the 1st round, Stearns had a good straight sets win against Tsurenko (6-1 7-5). During the match Stearns scored 81 points vs Tsurenko’s 63. The American was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Stearns blasted 8 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Peyton Stearns lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Stearns put 61% of her first serves in, winning 71% (35/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (12/31) on the 2nd serve. Peyton broke Tsurenko 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Rabat where she overcame Mayar Sherif in the final 6-2 6-1.
The American has a composed 22-20 win-loss record in 2024, 10-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 19 |
| Pts | 60-47 | 81-63 |
| Total Points | 107 | 144 |
| Winners | 21 | 35 |
| %Winners | 35% | 43% |
Both Kasatkina and Stearns played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kasatkina and Stearns have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Kasatkina played 1 game less than Stearns. Kasatkina scored 21 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Stearns made 35 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 8 |
| 1st in | 34/55 | 49/80 |
| %1st in | 62% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 21/34 | 35/49 |
| %1st pts | 62% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 12/31 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 39% |
Kasatkina scored 2 aces . Stearns made 8 aces . Kasatkina won 62% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Stearns won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 39% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/10 |
| % Converted | 63% | 50% |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 |
| Saved | 2 | 4 |
| % Saved | 50% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
The Russian broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Kasatkina conceded her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Stearns conceded her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | |||
| R1 Cristian |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 60-47 | 60-47 | |
| Total points | 107 | 107 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 34/55 | 34/55 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 21/34 | 21/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 11/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Stearns | |||
| R1 Tsurenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 81-63 | 81-63 | |
| Total points | 144 | 144 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 49/80 | 49/80 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 35/49 | 35/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/31 | 12/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 39% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLLLWWWW
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