Rio Noguchi and Yibing Wu will fight against each other in the final of the Jinan Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:30 am on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yibing Wu who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Yibing Wu is the pick to win this match.
Yibing Wu -> 1.22
Rio Noguchi -> 3.98

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Prediction and head to head Rio Noguchi vs. Yibing Wu

There is no head to head record between Rio Noguchi and Yibing Wu since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Rio Noguchi

Ranked no. 333, the Japanese got to the final after beating Bogdan Bobrov 7-5 6-4, Aidan Mchugh 6-3 6-3, Woobin Shin 6-3 6-2

and Yuta Shimizu 7-6(4) 3-6 7-5.

In the semifinal, Noguchi defeated Shimizu (7-6⁴ 3-6 7-5). During the match, Noguchi scored 112 points vs Shimizu’s 109. The Japanese was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Regarding the service games, Noguchi scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 3 double faults. Rio Noguchi lost the serve 8 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Noguchi put 68% of his first serves in, winning 60% (46/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (16/37) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Shimizu 7 times after converting 64% of his break points (7/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rio has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.

Noguchi has a winning win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 59% of his matches (318-218). 25-14 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Noguchi has an aggregate213-132 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.

Noguchi’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Swan Hill.

Noguchi has an aggregate 30-21 win-loss record in 2024, 25-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Jinan Challenger

Noguchi has never competed in this tournament before.

Yibing Wu

Ranked no. 582, the Chinese reached the final after defeating Stefanos Sakellaridis 4-6 6-1 6-4, Tung-Lin Wu 7-5 7-5, Fajing Sun 6-3 6-2 and Keegan Smith 3-6 6-0 6-2.

In the semifinal against Smith, The Chinese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-0 6-2). During the match Wu scored 78 points vs Smith’s 58. The Chinese was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

About the serving games, Wu blasted 8 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Yibing Wu was extremely efficient on serve to win 71% (32/45) of his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Chinese broke Smith 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Wu has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Yibing’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Jinan Challenger.

Yibing has a composed 6-1 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Noguchi	Wu
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	10
Tot Games	91	91
Pts	309-249	299-251
Total Points	558	550
Winners	130	127
%Winners	42%	42%

Both Noguchi and Wu played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Rio Noguchi conceded 1 set, while Yibing Wu conceded 2 sets. Noguchi has played 1 set(s) less than Wu (9 vs 10). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (91). The Japanese scored 130 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Yibing struck 127 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Noguchi	Wu
Aces	5	24
Avg per match	1.3	6
1st in	179/268	181/286
%1st in	67%	63%
1st pts	130/179	127/181
%1st pts	73%	70%
2nd pts	48/89	58/105
%2nd pts	54%	55%

Noguchi recorded 5 aces (1.3 per match). Wu managed to score 24 aces (6 per match). Noguchi won 73% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Wu won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Noguchi	Wu
Won	17	18
Converted	17/38	18/29
% Converted	45%	62%
Conceded	20	22
Saved	10	15
% Saved	50%	68%
Times Broken	10	7

The Japanese broke his opponents 17 times with a 45% conversion rate. Rio lost his serve 10 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Wu broke his opponents 18 times with a 62% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

Noguchi
	R1 Bobrov	R2 Mchugh	1/4 Shin	1/2 Shimizu	Total
Score	7-5 6-4	6-3 6-3	6-3 6-2	7-64 3-6 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	22	18	17	34	91
pts	75-60	67-46	55-34	112-109	309-249
Total points	135	113	89	221	558
Winners	36	22	26	46	130
%Winners	48%	33%	47%	41%	42%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	2	1	5
Double Faults	1	1	1	3	6
1st in	45/63	27/46	30/45	77/114	179/268
% 1st in	71%	59%	67%	68%	67%
1st pts	36/45	22/27	26/30	46/77	130/179
% 1st pts	80%	81%	87%	60%	73%
2nd pts	10/18	14/19	8/15	16/37	48/89
% 2nd pts	56%	74%	53%	43%	54%
Breaks
Won	3	3	4	7	17
Converted	3/8	3/10	4/9	7/11	17/38
Converted %	38%	30%	44%	64%	45%
Conceded	5	0	1	14	20
Saved	4/5	0/0	0/1	6/14	10
Saved %	80%	–	0%	43%	31%
Times Broken	1	0	1	8	10

Wu
	R1 Sakellaridis	R2 Wu	1/4 Sun	1/2 Smith	Total
Score	4-6 6-1 6-4	7-5 7-5	6-3 6-2	3-6 6-0 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	2	3	10
Tot Games	27	24	17	23	91
pts	83-77	78-67	60-49	78-58	299-251
Total points	160	145	109	136	550
Winners	39	32	24	32	127
%Winners	47%	41%	40%	41%	42%
SERVE
Aces	4	8	4	8	24
Double Faults	5	3	2	0	10
1st in	55/83	48/79	33/59	45/65	181/286
% 1st in	66%	61%	56%	69%	63%
1st pts	39/55	32/48	24/33	32/45	127/181
% 1st pts	71%	67%	73%	71%	70%
2nd pts	14/28	18/31	13/26	13/20	58/105
% 2nd pts	50%	58%	50%	65%	55%
Breaks
Won	4	5	4	5	18
Converted	4/10	5/8	4/5	5/6	18/29
Converted %	40%	63%	80%	83%	62%
Conceded	4	11	4	3	22
Saved	2/4	8/11	3/4	2/3	15
Saved %	50%	73%	75%	67%	66%
Times Broken	2	3	1	1	7

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Yibing WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction