Rio Noguchi and Yibing Wu will fight against each other in the final of the Jinan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:30 am on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yibing Wu who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yibing Wu is the pick to win this match.
Yibing Wu -> 1.22
Rio Noguchi -> 3.98
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Prediction and head to head Rio Noguchi vs. Yibing Wu
There is no head to head record between Rio Noguchi and Yibing Wu since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Rio Noguchi
30 - 22win/loss
298
201
LLLLLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-31 | 36-22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-31 | 12-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-22 | 41-10 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-26 | 18-18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-12 | 5-6 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 333, the Japanese got to the final after beating Bogdan Bobrov 7-5 6-4, Aidan Mchugh 6-3 6-3, Woobin Shin 6-3 6-2 and Yuta Shimizu 7-6(4) 3-6 7-5.
In the semifinal, Noguchi defeated Shimizu (7-64 3-6 7-5). During the match, Noguchi scored 112 points vs Shimizu’s 109. The Japanese was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Regarding the service games, Noguchi scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 3 double faults. Rio Noguchi lost the serve 8 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Noguchi put 68% of his first serves in, winning 60% (46/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (16/37) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Shimizu 7 times after converting 64% of his break points (7/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rio has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
Noguchi has a winning win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 59% of his matches (318-218). 25-14 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Noguchi has an aggregate213-132 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Noguchi’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Swan Hill.
Noguchi has an aggregate 30-21 win-loss record in 2024, 25-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Jinan Challenger
Noguchi has never competed in this tournament before.
Yibing Wu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-17 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 9-1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-7 | 20-5 | 10-2 | 10-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 582, the Chinese reached the final after defeating Stefanos Sakellaridis 4-6 6-1 6-4, Tung-Lin Wu 7-5 7-5, Fajing Sun 6-3 6-2 and Keegan Smith 3-6 6-0 6-2.
In the semifinal against Smith, The Chinese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-0 6-2). During the match Wu scored 78 points vs Smith’s 58. The Chinese was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Wu blasted 8 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Yibing Wu was extremely efficient on serve to win 71% (32/45) of his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Chinese broke Smith 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Wu has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Yibing’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Jinan Challenger.
Yibing has a composed 6-1 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Noguchi | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 91 | 91 |
| Pts | 309-249 | 299-251 |
| Total Points | 558 | 550 |
| Winners | 130 | 127 |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% |
Both Noguchi and Wu played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Rio Noguchi conceded 1 set, while Yibing Wu conceded 2 sets. Noguchi has played 1 set(s) less than Wu (9 vs 10). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (91). The Japanese scored 130 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Yibing struck 127 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Noguchi | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 6 |
| 1st in | 179/268 | 181/286 |
| %1st in | 67% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 130/179 | 127/181 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 48/89 | 58/105 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 55% |
Noguchi recorded 5 aces (1.3 per match). Wu managed to score 24 aces (6 per match). Noguchi won 73% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Wu won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Noguchi | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 18 |
| Converted | 17/38 | 18/29 |
| % Converted | 45% | 62% |
| Conceded | 20 | 22 |
| Saved | 10 | 15 |
| % Saved | 50% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 7 |
The Japanese broke his opponents 17 times with a 45% conversion rate. Rio lost his serve 10 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Wu broke his opponents 18 times with a 62% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Noguchi | ||||||
| R1 Bobrov |
R2 Mchugh |
1/4 Shin |
1/2 Shimizu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 7-64 3-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 18 | 17 | 34 | 91 | |
| pts | 75-60 | 67-46 | 55-34 | 112-109 | 309-249 | |
| Total points | 135 | 113 | 89 | 221 | 558 | |
| Winners | 36 | 22 | 26 | 46 | 130 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 33% | 47% | 41% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 45/63 | 27/46 | 30/45 | 77/114 | 179/268 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 59% | 67% | 68% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 36/45 | 22/27 | 26/30 | 46/77 | 130/179 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 81% | 87% | 60% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 14/19 | 8/15 | 16/37 | 48/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 74% | 53% | 43% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/10 | 4/9 | 7/11 | 17/38 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 30% | 44% | 64% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 20 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 6/14 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 80% | – | 0% | 43% | 31% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | |
| Wu | ||||||
| R1 Sakellaridis |
R2 Wu |
1/4 Sun |
1/2 Smith |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-1 6-4 | 7-5 7-5 | 6-3 6-2 | 3-6 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 24 | 17 | 23 | 91 | |
| pts | 83-77 | 78-67 | 60-49 | 78-58 | 299-251 | |
| Total points | 160 | 145 | 109 | 136 | 550 | |
| Winners | 39 | 32 | 24 | 32 | 127 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 41% | 40% | 41% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 55/83 | 48/79 | 33/59 | 45/65 | 181/286 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 61% | 56% | 69% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 39/55 | 32/48 | 24/33 | 32/45 | 127/181 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 67% | 73% | 71% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/28 | 18/31 | 13/26 | 13/20 | 58/105 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 58% | 50% | 65% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 5/8 | 4/5 | 5/6 | 18/29 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 63% | 80% | 83% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 22 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 8/11 | 3/4 | 2/3 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 73% | 75% | 67% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Yibing WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
