Arina Rodionova and Mananchaya Sawangkaew will play each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:00 pm on Court 11. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mananchaya Sawangkaew who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mananchaya Sawangkaew is the pick to win this match.
Mananchaya Sawangkaew -> 1.87
Arina Rodionova -> 1.89
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Prediction and head to head Arina Rodionova vs. Mananchaya Sawangkaew
This will be the 3rd time that Arina Rodionova and Mananchaya Sawangkaew fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Rodionova won 6-1 6-1 in the semifinal in the W75 Kurume back in May 2024.
Arina Rodionova
26 - 24win/loss
132
97
LWLLLWWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-30 | 18-20 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 2-4 | 6-2 |
| 2023 | 78-27 | 40-16 | 4-4 | 22-3 | 8-3 | 4-1 |
| 2022 | 18-12 | 12-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-24 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-12 | 7-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 118, the Australian got to the qualifications after defeating Elsa Jacquemot 6-1 7-6(5) and Irina Maria Bara 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Rodionova had a good straight sets win against Maria Bara (6-4 6-4). During the match, Rodionova scored 62 points vs Maria Bara’s 51. Arina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rodionova scored just 1 ace in the encounter and she committed only 3 double faults. Arina Rodionova lost the serve 4 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Rodionova put 73% of her first serves in, winning 61% (25/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (7/15) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Maria Bara 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rodionova started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Rodionova has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 56% of her matches (301-235). 15-15 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Rodionova has a compiled 185-146 record in the last years on hard.
The Australian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the W100 Gifu and the W75 Kurume.
The Australian has an aggregate 25-24 win-loss record in 2024, 15-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
34 - 20win/loss
139
133
WWWLWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-27 | 45-21 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| 2023 | 44-19 | 44-18 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-9 | 25-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-4 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 182 (career-high), Sawangkaew reached the qualifications after beating Laura Pigossi 6-4 6-0 and Celine Naef 6-2 7-6(5).
In the qualifications, Mananchaya had a good straight sets win against Naef (6-2 7-65). During the match Sawangkaew scored 82 points vs Naef’s 70. Sawangkaew was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Sawangkaew scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Mananchaya Sawangkaew lost the serve 4 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Sawangkaew put 50% of her first serves in, winning 59% (26/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (22/44) on the 2nd serve. The Thai broke Naef 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Thai started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 56% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title the W50 Nonthaburi where she beat Antonia Ruzic in the final 6-1 2-6 6-2.
Mananchaya has an overall 34-19 win-loss record in 2024, 28-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
The Thai has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rodionova | Sawangkaew |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 40 | 37 |
| Pts | 126-99 | 144-113 |
| Total Points | 225 | 257 |
| Winners | 48 | 49 |
| %Winners | 38% | 34% |
Both Rodionova and Sawangkaew played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rodionova and Sawangkaew have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Rodionova played 3 games more than Sawangkaew. Rodionova scored 48 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Mananchaya bagged 49 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rodionova | Sawangkaew |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 77/109 | 74/145 |
| %1st in | 71% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 48/77 | 49/74 |
| %1st pts | 62% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 14/32 | 33/71 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 46% |
Rodionova managed to score 1 ace (0.5 per match). Sawangkaew also struck 2 aces (1 per match). Rodionova won 62% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Sawangkaew won 66% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rodionova | Sawangkaew |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 12 |
| Converted | 12/17 | 12/20 |
| % Converted | 71% | 60% |
| Conceded | 8 | 17 |
| Saved | 1 | 11 |
| % Saved | 13% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 6 |
Rodionova broke her opponents 12 times with a 71% conversion rate. Rodionova dropped her serve 7 times and she saved 13% of the break points that she conceded. Sawangkaew broke her opponents 12 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Thai conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rodionova | ||||
| Q1 Jacquemot |
Q2 Maria Bara |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-65 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | 40 | |
| pts | 64-48 | 62-51 | 126-99 | |
| Total points | 112 | 113 | 225 | |
| Winners | 23 | 25 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 40% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 36/53 | 41/56 | 77/109 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 73% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 23/36 | 25/41 | 48/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 61% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 7/15 | 14/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 47% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 6/10 | 12/17 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 60% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 1/5 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 20% | 10% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Sawangkaew | ||||
| Q1 Pigossi |
Q2 Naef |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 6-2 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 21 | 37 | |
| pts | 62-43 | 82-70 | 144-113 | |
| Total points | 105 | 152 | 257 | |
| Winners | 23 | 26 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 32% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 30/57 | 44/88 | 74/145 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 50% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 23/30 | 26/44 | 49/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 59% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/27 | 22/44 | 33/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 50% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/11 | 12/20 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 55% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 12 | 17 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 8/12 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 67% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWWLLW
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- Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Eva LysLys – Yuriko MiyazakiMiyazaki (1-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Ann LiLi – Lea BoskovicBoskovic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marina Bassols RiberaBassols Ribera – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Despina PapamichailPapamichail – Varvara LepchenkoLepchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nao HibinoHibino – Su Jeong JangJeong Jang (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Arina RodionovaRodionova – Mananchaya SawangkaewSawangkaew (1-1) – H2H and prediction
