H2H, prediction of Otto Virtanen vs Lucas Pouille at the U.S. Open with odds, preview, pick | 22nd August 2024

PREVIEW. New York. Virtanen and Pouille will fight against each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Thursday the 22nd of August

By
Mark Hall
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Prediction and head to head Otto Virtanen vs. Lucas Pouille

Otto Virtanen and Lucas Pouille will face off in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on Court 15. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lucas Pouille who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Lucas Pouille is the pick to win this match.
Lucas Pouille -> 1.56
Otto Virtanen -> 2.375

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

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Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Otto Virtanen vs. Lucas Pouille

This will be the 2nd time that Otto Virtanen and Lucas Pouille fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Virtanen (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Virtanen won 7-6(5) 7-6(3) in the quarter in the Pau Challenger back in February 2024.

Otto Virtanen

Otto Virtanen
Otto Virtanen

33 - 19win/loss

Hard
7-8
I Hard
16-1
Clay
5-7
Grass
5-3
Rank
125
High
109
WWLWWLWLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 33-19 7-8 5-7 16-1 5-3 0-0
2023 33-31 4-6 4-10 22-11 3-4 0-0
2022 46-31 4-1 7-12 25-13 8-3 2-2
2021 40-21 2-2 16-11 19-6 0-0 3-2
2020 24-9 2-2 1-2 21-5 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 125, Otto got to the qualifications after defeating Liam Broady 7-5 7-6(7) and Paul Jubb 6-3 6-7(3) 6-3.

In the qualifications, The Finn defeated Jubb (6-3 6-73 6-3). During the match, Virtanen scored 111 points vs Jubb’s 103. Otto was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Regarding the service games, Virtanen scored 14 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Otto Virtanen lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Virtanen put 61% of his first serves in, winning 69% (45/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (21/41) on the 2nd serve. Otto broke Jubb 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Virtanen started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Virtanen has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (195-127). 7-8 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Virtanen has a composed19-21 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Pau Challenger where he overcame Leandro Riedi in the final 7-5 7-5 and the Lugano Challenger where he defeated Daniel Masur in the final 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3).

Otto has an overall 33-19 win-loss record in 2024, 7-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Virtanen
U.S. Open
Virtanen's Record

Lucas Pouille

Lucas Pouille
Lucas Pouille

28 - 13win/loss

Hard
11-3
I Hard
4-5
Clay
8-5
Grass
5-0
Rank
151
High
10
WWLWWWWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 28-13 11-3 8-5 4-5 5-0 0-0
2023 16-10 3-2 7-5 4-2 2-1 0-0
2022 7-15 0-3 3-6 4-4 0-2 0-0
2021 18-24 7-3 2-7 7-10 2-4 0-0
2020 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 151, the French player got to the qualifications after defeating Jaime Faria 6-1 6-4 and Harold Mayot 6-2 1-6 7-6(12).

In the qualifications, Pouille defeated Mayot (6-2 1-6 7-612). During the match Pouille scored 95 points vs Mayot’s 91. Lucas was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.

About the serving games, Pouille fired 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Lucas Pouille was quite efficient on serve to win 80% (40/50) of his 1st serve and 55% (24/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Pouille broke Mayot twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Lucas started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Mauthausen Challenger where he defeated Jozef Kovalik in the final 6-3 6-3.

Lucas has a composed 28-13 win-loss record in 2024, 11-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2016. See his history.

Pouille
U.S. Open
Pouille's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

O.Virtanen
L.Pouille
4h:35
4h:35
Time on court​
3h:17
3h:17
!
2h:21
2h:21
Last match​
!
2h:08
2h:08
2
2
Match played
2
2
56
56
Games Played​
45
45
5
5
Set played​​
5
5
210
210
Total points​
159
159
105
105
Avg point​
79.5
79.5
83
83
Winners
65
65
41.5
41.5
Avg Winners​
32.5
32.5
40%
40%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
23
23
Aces
16
16
!
11.5
11.5
Avg Aces
8
8
9
9
Double Faults
9
9
4.5
4.5
Avg Double Faults
4.5
4.5
83/112
83/112
1st won total​
65/82
65/82
!
74%
74%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
32/75
32/75
2nd won total​
37/68
37/68
43%
43%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
8/26
8/26
BP won
6/15
6/15
4/13
4/13
Avg BP won
3/7.5
3/7.5
31%
31%
Won
40%
40%
15
15
Conceded
12
12
7.5
7.5
Avg Conceded
6
6
5
5
Broken
3
3
2.5
2.5
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
10
10
Saved
9
9
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Virtanen Pouille
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 56 45
Pts 210-194 159-138
Total Points 404 297
Winners 83 65
%Winners 40% 41%

Both Virtanen and Pouille played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Otto Virtanen conceded 1 set, while Lucas Pouille dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Virtanen and Pouille have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Virtanen played 11 games more than Pouille. Virtanen scored 83 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The French player fired 65 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Virtanen Pouille
Aces 23 16
Avg per match 11.5 8
1st in 112/187 82/150
%1st in 60% 55%
1st pts 83/112 65/82
%1st pts 74% 79%
2nd pts 32/75 37/68
%2nd pts 43% 54%

Virtanen recorded 23 aces (11.5 per match). Pouille scored 16 aces (8 per match). Virtanen won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Pouille won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Virtanen Pouille
Won 8 6
Converted 8/26 6/15
% Converted 31% 40%
Conceded 15 12
Saved 10 9
% Saved 67% 75%
Times Broken 5 3

Otto broke his opponents 8 times with a 31% conversion rate. Virtanen surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Pouille broke his opponents 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. Lucas conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Virtanen
Q1
Broady		 Q2
Jubb		 Total
Score 7-5 7-67 6-3 6-73 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 25 31 56
pts 99-91 111-103 210-194
Total points 190 214 404
Winners 38 45 83
%Winners 38% 41% 40%
SERVE
Aces 9 14 23
Double Faults 7 2 9
1st in 47/81 65/106 112/187
% 1st in 58% 61% 60%
1st pts 38/47 45/65 83/112
% 1st pts 81% 69% 74%
2nd pts 11/34 21/41 32/75
% 2nd pts 32% 51% 43%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/13 4/13 8/26
Converted % 31% 31% 31%
Conceded 9 6 15
Saved 6/9 4/6 10
Saved % 67% 67% 67%
Times Broken 3 2 5
Pouille
Q1
Faria		 Q2
Mayot		 Total
Score 6-1 6-4 6-2 1-6 7-612
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 17 28 45
pts 64-47 95-91 159-138
Total points 111 186 297
Winners 25 40 65
%Winners 39% 42% 41%
SERVE
Aces 9 7 16
Double Faults 5 4 9
1st in 32/56 50/94 82/150
% 1st in 57% 53% 55%
1st pts 25/32 40/50 65/82
% 1st pts 78% 80% 79%
2nd pts 13/24 24/44 37/68
% 2nd pts 54% 55% 54%
Breaks
Won 4 2 6
Converted 4/11 2/4 6/15
Converted % 36% 50% 40%
Conceded 5 7 12
Saved 4/5 5/7 9
Saved % 80% 71% 76%
Times Broken 1 2 3

Head 2 Head

Otto Virtanen
  • 0Slam
  • 0Main
  • 5Chall
  • 3Minor
Lucas Pouille
  • 0Slam
  • 5Main
  • 2Chall
  • 4Minor

Otto
Virtanen

1:0

Lucas
Pouille

Rank

125

High

109

4h:35Played

1I.hard0

Rank

151

High

10

3h:17Played
Win Loss
Virtanen
WWLWWLWLWL
Pouille
WWLWWWWWLW
2024 2023 2022
32 - 19
28 - 13
7-8
Hard
11-3
15-1
I Hard
4-5
5-7
Clay
8-5
5-3
Grass
5-0

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

Virtanen Otto Virtanen
More Stats
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Pouille
Lucas Pouille