Keegan Smith and Ye Cong Mo will square off in the quarter of the Jinan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Keegan Smith who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Keegan Smith is the pick to win this match.
Keegan Smith -> 1.54
Ye Cong Mo -> 2.34
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Prediction and head to head Keegan Smith vs. Ye Cong Mo
There is no head to head record between Keegan Smith and Ye Cong Mo since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Keegan Smith
25 - 15win/loss
544
339
LWLWLLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-23 | 30-18 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-26 | 31-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-24 | 26-14 | 3-4 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-4 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 639, Keegan got to the quarter after beating Seita Watanabe 6-4 6-2, Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul 6-4 6-4, Mikalai Haliak 6-4 6-1 and Ji Sung Nam 7-6(6) 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Keegan had a good straight sets win against Sung Nam (7-66 7-5). During the match, Smith scored 84 points vs Sung Nam’s 78. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about the service games, Smith blasted 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Keegan Smith lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Smith put 73% of his first serves in, winning 77% (41/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (8/20) on the 2nd serve. Smith broke Sung Nam 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Smith has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (156-97). 24-13 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Smith has an overall135-73 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M15 Lakewood.
Smith has an aggregate 24-15 win-loss record in 2024, 24-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Jinan Challenger
Smith has never competed in this tournament before.
Ye Cong Mo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-24 | 22-22 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-20 | 36-18 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-9 | 29-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 712, the Chinese reached the quarter after defeating Renlong Pang 6-1 6-2, Egor Agafonov 6-3 6-7(4) 6-3, Makoto Ochi 6-2 6-3 and Yan Bai 6-4 6-7(5) 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Ye defeated Bai (6-4 6-75 6-4). During the match Cong scored 111 points vs Bai’s 100. Ye was extremely aggressive to blast 55 winners.
Talking about serving, Cong made 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Ye Cong Mo lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Cong put 64% of his first serves in, winning 74% (55/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (21/42) on the 2nd serve. Cong broke Bai 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ye started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The Chinese’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Luan.
Cong has a compiled 19-16 win-loss record in 2024, 16-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Smith | Cong |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 80 | 96 |
| Pts | 272-199 | 337-270 |
| Total Points | 471 | 607 |
| Winners | 127 | 148 |
| %Winners | 47% | 44% |
Both Smith and Cong played 4 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Ye Cong Mo dropped 2 sets while Keegan Smith hasn’t lost a set so far. Smith has played 2 set(s) less than Cong (8 vs 10). Therefore, Smith played 16 games less than Cong. The American scored 127 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Ye scored 148 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Smith | Cong |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 153/210 | 195/314 |
| %1st in | 73% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 127/153 | 148/195 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 36/57 | 64/119 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 54% |
Smith scored 21 aces (5.3 per match). Cong blasted 18 aces (4.5 per match). Smith won 83% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Cong won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Smith | Cong |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 18 |
| Converted | 12/32 | 18/33 |
| % Converted | 38% | 55% |
| Conceded | 8 | 18 |
| Saved | 5 | 13 |
| % Saved | 63% | 72% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Smith broke his opponents 12 times with a 38% conversion rate. Keegan dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The Chinese broke his opponents 18 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.
| Smith | ||||||
| Q1 Watanabe |
Q3 Trongcharoenchaikul |
R1 Haliak |
R2 Sung Nam |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-1 | 7-66 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 17 | 25 | 80 | |
| pts | 63-37 | 67-50 | 58-34 | 84-78 | 272-199 | |
| Total points | 100 | 117 | 92 | 162 | 471 | |
| Winners | 30 | 28 | 28 | 41 | 127 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 42% | 48% | 49% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 34/41 | 33/48 | 33/48 | 53/73 | 153/210 | |
| % 1st in | 83% | 69% | 69% | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 30/34 | 28/33 | 28/33 | 41/53 | 127/153 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 85% | 85% | 77% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/7 | 13/15 | 9/15 | 8/20 | 36/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 86% | 87% | 60% | 40% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 2/6 | 4/9 | 3/10 | 12/32 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 33% | 44% | 30% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 5/6 | 0/2 | 5 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 83% | 0% | 21% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Cong | ||||||
| Q1 Pang |
Q3 Agafonov |
R1 Ochi |
R2 Bai |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-74 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-75 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 31 | 17 | 33 | 96 | |
| pts | 61-35 | 101-85 | 64-50 | 111-100 | 337-270 | |
| Total points | 96 | 186 | 114 | 211 | 607 | |
| Winners | 26 | 39 | 28 | 55 | 148 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 39% | 44% | 50% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 31/44 | 52/94 | 38/60 | 74/116 | 195/314 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 55% | 63% | 64% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 26/31 | 39/52 | 28/38 | 55/74 | 148/195 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 75% | 74% | 74% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/13 | 22/42 | 13/22 | 21/42 | 64/119 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 52% | 59% | 50% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 7/10 | 3/6 | 4/5 | 18/33 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 70% | 50% | 80% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 18 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 8/11 | 2/2 | 3/5 | 13 | |
| Saved % | – | 73% | 100% | 60% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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