Jessika Ponchet and Lucija Ciric Bagaric will play each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:00 pm on Court 15. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessika Ponchet who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessika Ponchet is the pick to win this match.
Jessika Ponchet -> 1.87
Lucija Ciric Bagaric -> 1.89
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Prediction and head to head Jessika Ponchet vs. Lucija Ciric Bagaric
There is no head to head record between Jessika Ponchet and Lucija Ciric Bagaric since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Jessika Ponchet
27 - 21win/loss
124
104
LWLWWLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-26 | 15-13 | 6-6 | 6-3 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-26 | 10-9 | 7-4 | 25-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-26 | 13-8 | 8-3 | 11-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-19 | 19-9 | 4-3 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| 2020 | 10-12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 143, the French player reached the qualifications after defeating Jana Fett 6-2 6-1.
In the qualifications, Jessika had a good straight sets win against Fett (6-2 6-1). During the match, Ponchet scored 57 points vs Fett’s 31. Jessika was quite aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ponchet managed to score 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Jessika Ponchet was very efficient on serve to win 83% (20/24) of her 1st serve and 78% (14/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ponchet broke Fett 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).
Ponchet has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 60% of her matches (295-197). 8-8 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ponchet has an overall99-65 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
Jessika’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Boutheon and the W100 Ilkley.
Jessika has a compiled 26-21 win-loss record in 2024, 8-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
35 - 13win/loss
198
157
LWLLLLLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-20 | 9-1 | 26-15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-24 | 13-5 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 0-0 | 28-19 | 12-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 175, the Croatian reached the qualifications after beating Aliona Falei 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications against Falei, Lucija recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-3 6-4). During the match Ciric scored 122 points vs Falei’s 108. Ciric was very aggressive to blast 60 winners.
About the serving games, Ciric blasted 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Lucija Ciric Bagaric lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Ciric put 66% of her first serves in, winning 77% (60/78) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (17/41) on the 2nd serve. Lucija broke Falei 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).
Her best result of the season was winning the title the W35 Monastir where she overcame Polina Iatcenko in the final 7-5 6-2 and the W35 Hammamet where she beat Marie Benoit in the final 6-2 7-5 and the W35 Hammamet where she beat Francesca Jones in the final 2-1 ret. and the W35 Alaminos where she defeated Lina Gjorcheska in the final 6-2 6-3.
The Croatian has a compiled 35-12 win-loss record in 2024, 9-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Ciric has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ponchet | Ciric |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 32 |
| Pts | 57-31 | 122-108 |
| Total Points | 88 | 230 |
| Winners | 20 | 60 |
| %Winners | 35% | 49% |
Both Ponchet and Ciric played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Lucija Ciric Bagaric lost 1 set while Jessika Ponchet hasn’t dropped a set so far. Ponchet has played 1 set(s) less than Ciric (2 vs 3). Therefore, Ponchet played 17 games less than Ciric. Jessika scored 20 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Lucija scored 60 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ponchet | Ciric |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3 |
| 1st in | 24/42 | 78/119 |
| %1st in | 57% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 60/78 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 14/18 | 17/41 |
| %2nd pts | 78% | 41% |
Ponchet scored 4 aces . Ciric struck 3 aces . Ponchet won 83% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 78% of the points. On the other side, Ciric won 77% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ponchet | Ciric |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/13 | 4/11 |
| % Converted | 31% | 36% |
| Conceded | 1 | 8 |
| Saved | 1 | 6 |
| % Saved | 100% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
Ponchet broke her opponent 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. Ponchet extremely effective on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Croatian broke her opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Ciric conceded her serve twice and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ponchet | |||
| Q1 Fett |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 57-31 | 57-31 | |
| Total points | 88 | 88 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 24/42 | 24/42 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 20/24 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/18 | 14/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 78% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 4/13 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Ciric | |||
| Q1 Falei |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 122-108 | 122-108 | |
| Total points | 230 | 230 | |
| Winners | 60 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 78/119 | 78/119 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 60/78 | 60/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/41 | 17/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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